Central plant control system with multi-level non-granular asset allocation

ABSTRACT

A method for controlling equipment includes grouping a plurality of granular assets to form one or more general assets and generating models of the general assets based on the granular assets that form the general assets. Each model corresponds to a general asset and defines a relationship between resources produced by the general asset and resources consumed by the general asset. The method includes performing a first control process using the models of the general assets to determine a first allocation of resources among the general assets. The first allocation defines amounts of the resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets. The method includes operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the resources in accordance with the first allocation.

CROSS-REFERENCE TO RELATED PATENT APPLICATION

This application is a continuation of U.S. patent application Ser. No. 16/415,170 filed May 17, 2019, the entirety of which is incorporated by reference herein.

BACKGROUND

The present disclosure relates generally to a central plant configured to provide thermal energy, electricity, or other resources to a building and more particularly to a control system for a central plant that allocates resources across various types of central plant equipment (e.g., boilers, chillers, energy storage, etc.) and other types of building assets (e.g., airside units, HVAC equipment, etc.).

In some cases, with large and complex building systems, it becomes intractable to determine optimal resource distribution by modeling the entire system at its bare assets. Determining a solution using the bare assets of a system can be intractable or can require processing capabilities which are not readily available. It would be desirable to provide a solution that is tractable and does not require excessive processing capabilities.

SUMMARY

One implementation of the present disclosure is a method for controlling equipment in a building system, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the method includes identifying granular assets of the building system, each of the granular assets representing one or more devices of the equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources in the building system, defining one or more general assets by grouping the granular assets into groups, each general asset including granular assets that have been grouped together to form the general asset, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the method includes performing a non-granular optimization to determine a non-granular allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets, the non-granular allocation defining an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets at each time step in a time period. In some embodiments, the method includes performing a granular optimization for each general asset to determine a granular allocation of the one or more resources among the granular assets that form the general asset, the granular allocation defining an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset at each time step in the time period, and operating the equipment of the building system to consume, produce, or store the amount of each of the one or more resources defined by granular allocation.

In some embodiments, the granular assets include one or more subplants configured to convert one or more input resources into one or more output resources, one or more storage devices configured to store one or more resources, and one or more sinks configured to consume one or more of the resources. In some embodiments, at least one of the general assets include the one or more subplants, the one or more storage devices, and the one or more sinks.

In some embodiments, one or more of the general assets include multiple sub-general assets. In some embodiments, each of the sub-general assets including granular assets. In some embodiments, the method further includes performing an intermediate optimization for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resources among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.

In some embodiments, the method further includes generating constraints based on the non-granular allocation defining the amount of each of the one or more resources consumed produced, or stored by each of the general assets, and using one or more of the constraints that apply to a general asset to constrain the granular optimization performed for the general asset.

In some embodiments, the method further includes receiving a resource diagram of the building system via a user interface. In some embodiments, the resource diagram defines a number and type of the granular assets and defines interconnections between the granular assets.

In some embodiments, the method includes obtaining a model of each general asset. In some embodiments, the model defines a relationship between one or more of the resources produced by the general asset and one or more resources consumed by the general asset. In some embodiments, the method includes using the model to perform the non-granular optimization. In some embodiments, the model of each general asset includes at least one of a static model and a dynamic model.

In some embodiments, the method includes generating the model of the general asset by combining granular models of the granular assets that form the general asset, or performing a regression to determine a relationship between an amount of the one or more resources produced and an amount of the one or more resources consumed by the general asset at each time step of the time period.

In some embodiments, the method includes defining a resource pool for each of the one or more resources, and imposing constraints on the non-granular optimization that require a balance between an amount of resources added to each resource pool and removed from each resource pool at each time step of the time period.

In some embodiments, combining the granular models of the general assets that form the general asset includes at least one of combining models for multiple zones that predict zone temperature as a function of an amount of heating or cooling provided by the equipment, and combining models for multiple zone groups that predict zone group temperature as a function of the amount of heating or cooling provided by the equipment.

Another implementation of the present disclosure is a central plant system for serving energy loads of a building or campus. In some embodiments, the central plant system includes central plant equipment configured to consume, produce, or store one or more resources, and a controller. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to identify granular assets of the building or campus. In some embodiments, each of the granular assets represent one or more devices of the central plant equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources in the building or campus. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to define one or more general assets by grouping the granular assets into groups. In some embodiments, each general asset includes granular assets that have been grouped together to form the general asset. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to perform a non-granular optimization to determine a non-granular allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets. In some embodiments, the non-granular allocation defines an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets at each time step in a time period. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to perform a granular optimization for each general asset to determine a granular allocation of the one or more resources among the granular assets that form the general asset. In some embodiments, the granular allocation defines an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset at each of the time steps in the time period. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to operate the central plant equipment of the building system to consume, produce, or store the amount of each of the one or more resources defined by granular allocation.

In some embodiments, the granular assets include one or more subplants configured to convert one or more input resources into one or more output resources, one or more storage devices configured to store one or more of the resources, and one or more sinks configured to consume one or more of the resources. In some embodiments, at least one of the general assets includes one or more subplants, one or more storage devices, and one or more sinks.

In some embodiments, one or more of the general assets include multiple sub-general assets. In some embodiments, each of the sub-general assets include granular assets. In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to perform an intermediate optimization for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resources among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to generate constraints based on the non-granular allocation defining the amount of each of the one or more resources consumed produced, or stored by each of the general assets, and use one or more of the constraints that apply to a general asset to constrain the granular optimization performed for the general asset.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to receive a resource diagram of the building system via a user interface. In some embodiments, wherein the resource diagram defines a number and type of the granular assets and defining interconnections between the granular assets.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to obtain a model of each general asset. In some embodiments, the model defines a relationship between one or more of the resources produced by the general asset and one or more resources consumed by the general asset. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to use the model to perform the non-granular optimization. In some embodiments, the model of each general asset includes at least one of a static model and a dynamic model.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to generate the model of the general asset by combining granular models of the granular assets that form the general asset, or by performing a regression to determine a relationship between an amount of the one or more resources produced and an amount of the one or more resources consumed by the general asset at each time step of the time period.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to define a resource pool for each of the one or more resources, and impose constraints on the non-granular optimization that require a balance between an amount of resources added to each resource pool and removed from each resource pool at each time step of the time period.

Another implementation of the present disclosure is a controller for controlling equipment in a building system, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to identify granular assets of the building system. In some embodiments, each of the granular assets represent one or more devices of the equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources in the building system. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to define one or more general assets by grouping the granular assets into groups. In some embodiments, each general asset includes the granular assets that have been grouped together to form the general asset. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to perform a non-granular optimization to determine a non-granular allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets. In some embodiments, the non-granular allocation defines an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets at each of time step in a time period. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to perform a granular optimization for each general asset to determine a granular allocation of the one or more resources among the granular assets that form the general asset. In some embodiments, the granular allocation defines an amount of each of the one or more resources consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset at each time step in the time period. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to allocate the one or more resources among the plurality of granular assets.

In some embodiments, one or more of the general assets include multiple sub-general assets. In some embodiments, each of the sub-general assets include granular assets. In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to perform an intermediate optimization for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resource among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to operate the equipment of the building system to consume, produce, or store the amount of each of the one or more resources defined by granular allocation.

In some embodiments, the controller is further configured to generate a model of each general asset by combining granular models of the granular assets that form the general asset, or by performing a regression to determine a relationship between an amount of the one or more resources produced and an amount of the one or more resources consumed by the general asset at each time step of the time step period. In some embodiments, the controller is configured to use the model to perform the non-granular optimization. In some embodiments, the model of each general asset includes at least one of a static model and a dynamic model.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 is a drawing of a building equipped with a HVAC system, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 2 is a block diagram of a central plant which can be used to serve the energy loads of the building of FIG. 1, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 3 is a block diagram of an airside system which can be implemented in the building of FIG. 1, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 4 is a block diagram of an asset allocation system including sources, subplants, storage, sinks, and an asset allocator configured to optimize the allocation of these assets, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 5A is a plant resource diagram illustrating the elements of a central plant and the connections between such elements, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 5B is another plant resource diagram illustrating the elements of a central plant and the connections between such elements, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 6 is a block diagram of a central plant controller in which the asset allocator of FIG. 4 can be implemented, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 7 is a block diagram of a planning tool in which the asset allocator of FIG. 4 can be implemented, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 8 is a flow diagram illustrating an optimization process which can be performed by the planning tool of FIG. 7, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 9 is a block diagram illustrating the asset allocator of FIG. 4 in greater detail, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 10 is a graph of a progressive rate structure which can be imposed by some utilities, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 11 is a graph of an operational domain for a storage device of a central plant, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 12 is a block diagram illustrating the operational domain module of FIG. 9 in greater detail, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 13 is a graph of a subplant curve for a chiller subplant illustrating a relationship between chilled water production and electricity use, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 14 is a flowchart of a process for generating optimization constraints based on samples of data points associated with an operational domain of a subplant, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 15A is a graph illustrating a result of sampling the operational domain defined by the subplant curve of FIG. 13, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 15B is a graph illustrating a result of applying a convex hull algorithm to the sampled data points shown in FIG. 15A, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 16 is a graph of an operational domain for a chiller subplant which can be generated based on the sampled data points shown in FIG. 15A, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 17A is a graph illustrating a technique for identifying intervals of an operational domain for a subplant, which can be performed by the operational domain module of FIG. 12, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 17B is another graph illustrating the technique for identifying intervals of an operational domain for a subplant, which can be performed by the operational domain module of FIG. 12, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 18A is a graph of an operational domain for a chiller subplant with a portion that extends beyond the operational range of the subplant, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 18B is a graph of the operational domain shown in FIG. 18A after the operational domain has been sliced to remove the portion that extends beyond the operational range, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 19A is a graph of an operational domain for a chiller subplant with a middle portion that lies between two disjoined operational ranges of the subplant, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 19B is a graph of the operational domain shown in FIG. 19A after the operational domain has been split to remove the portion that lies between the two disjoined operational ranges, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIGS. 20A-20D are graphs illustrating a technique which can be used by the operational domain module of FIG. 12 to detect and remove redundant constraints, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 21A is a graph of a three-dimensional operational domain with a cross-section defined by a fixed parameter, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 21B is a graph of a two-dimensional operational domain which can be generated based on the cross-section shown in the graph of FIG. 21A, according to an exemplary embodiment.

FIG. 22A is a block diagram of a resource diagram, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 22B is a block diagram of a non-granular resource diagram of the resource diagram of FIG. 22A, shown to include general assets, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 23 is a block diagram of one of the general assets of FIG. 22b , according to some embodiments.

FIG. 24 is a block diagram of one of the general assets of FIG. 22b , according to some embodiments.

FIG. 25 is a block diagram of a hierarchical asset allocation approach, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 26 is a block diagram of a general asset of an airside system, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 27 is a block diagram of an airside system, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 28 is a block diagram of a hierarchical asset allocation controller, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 29 is a block diagram of a method of a hierarchical asset allocation approach, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 30 is a block diagram of an HVAC system serving a plurality of zones, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 31 is a block diagram of the HVAC system of FIG. 30, with one or more of the plurality of zones grouped into zone groups, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 32 is a block diagram of the HVAC system of FIG. 31, with one or more of the zone groups and/or the plurality of zones grouped into a region, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 33 is a block diagram of a top-level portion of a hierarchical asset allocation problem, according to some embodiments.

FIG. 34 is a block diagram of a bottom-level portion of the hierarchical asset allocation problem of FIG. 33, according to some embodiments.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION Overview

Referring generally to the FIGURES, a central plant with an asset allocator and components thereof are shown, according to various exemplary embodiments. The asset allocator can be configured to manage energy assets such as central plant equipment, battery storage, and other types of equipment configured to serve the energy loads of a building. The asset allocator can determine an optimal distribution of heating, cooling, electricity, and energy loads across different subplants (i.e., equipment groups) of the central plant capable of producing that type of energy.

In some embodiments, the asset allocator is configured to control the distribution, production, storage, and usage of resources in the central plant. The asset allocator can be configured to minimize the economic cost (or maximize the economic value) of operating the central plant over a duration of an optimization period. The economic cost may be defined by a cost function J(x) that expresses economic cost as a function of the control decisions made by the asset allocator. The cost function J(x) may account for the cost of resources purchased from various sources, as well as the revenue generated by selling resources (e.g., to an energy grid) or participating in incentive programs.

The asset allocator can be configured to define various sources, subplants, storage, and sinks. These four categories of objects define the assets of a central plant and their interaction with the outside world. Sources may include commodity markets or other suppliers from which resources such as electricity, water, natural gas, and other resources can be purchased or obtained. Sinks may include the requested loads of a building or campus as well as other types of resource consumers. Subplants are the main assets of a central plant. Subplants can be configured to convert resource types, making it possible to balance requested loads from a building or campus using resources purchased from the sources. Storage can be configured to store energy or other types of resources for later use.

In some embodiments, the asset allocator performs an optimization process determine an optimal set of control decisions for each time step within the optimization period. The control decisions may include, for example, an optimal amount of each resource to purchase from the sources, an optimal amount of each resource to produce or convert using the subplants, an optimal amount of each resource to store or remove from storage, an optimal amount of each resource to sell to resources purchasers, and/or an optimal amount of each resource to provide to other sinks. In some embodiments, the asset allocator is configured to optimally dispatch all campus energy assets (i.e., the central plant equipment) in order to meet the requested heating, cooling, and electrical loads of the campus for each time step within the optimization period. These and other features of the asset allocator are described in greater detail below.

In some embodiments, the various subplants, sinks, sources, storage assets are grouped into general assets such that intractable optimization problems (e.g., optimization problems that require a long amount of time to solve or an excessive amount of processing capabilities) can be solved. In some embodiments, the general assets are non-granular and do not provide detailed information of the assets which define them. In some embodiments, a non-granular optimization problem is formulated and solved by grouping various assets into general or aggregated assets and determining optimal resource distribution for the general/aggregated assets. The determined solution may then be used as constraints for more granular optimization problems. In some embodiments, each of the general assets are then treated as granular optimization problems, which are solved to determine asset allocation for the assets which define the general assets (e.g., resource consumption, resource production, etc.). In some embodiments, a series of hierarchically structure optimization problems are determined. In some embodiments, each of the optimization problems are solved from non-granular to granular and the results from less granular optimization problems are provided as constraints to the more granular optimization problems. In some embodiments, general assets include sub-general assets. The optimization problems may be formulated hierarchically and solved from a non-granular to a granular approach. In this way, each successively determined solution provides constraints to the next optimization problem, and each successively determined solution provides additional granular details, according to some embodiments. This process may be repeated recursively until all of the optimization problems have been solved and the specific resource distribution for each individual subplant has been determined. The most non-granular (e.g., the highest level) optimization problem may provide more granular (e.g., lower level) optimization problems with constraints that can be used to solve the more granular optimization problems. In this way, the optimization problems form a cascaded optimization process, with the higher level optimization problems enabling the lower level optimization problems to be solved.

Building and HVAC System

Referring now to FIG. 1, a perspective view of a building 10 is shown. Building 10 can be served by a building management system (BMS). A BMS is, in general, a system of devices configured to control, monitor, and manage equipment in or around a building or building area. A BMS can include, for example, a HVAC system, a security system, a lighting system, a fire alerting system, any other system that is capable of managing building functions or devices, or any combination thereof. An example of a BMS which can be used to monitor and control building 10 is described in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 14/717,593 filed May 20, 2015, the entire disclosure of which is incorporated by reference herein.

The BMS that serves building 10 may include a HVAC system 100. HVAC system 100 can include a plurality of HVAC devices (e.g., heaters, chillers, air handling units, pumps, fans, thermal energy storage, etc.) configured to provide heating, cooling, ventilation, or other services for building 10. For example, HVAC system 100 is shown to include a waterside system 120 and an airside system 130. Waterside system 120 may provide a heated or chilled fluid to an air handling unit of airside system 130. Airside system 130 may use the heated or chilled fluid to heat or cool an airflow provided to building 10. In some embodiments, waterside system 120 can be replaced with or supplemented by a central plant or central energy facility (described in greater detail with reference to FIG. 2). An example of an airside system which can be used in HVAC system 100 is described in greater detail with reference to FIG. 3.

HVAC system 100 is shown to include a chiller 102, a boiler 104, and a rooftop air handling unit (AHU) 106. Waterside system 120 may use boiler 104 and chiller 102 to heat or cool a working fluid (e.g., water, glycol, etc.) and may circulate the working fluid to AHU 106. In various embodiments, the HVAC devices of waterside system 120 can be located in or around building 10 (as shown in FIG. 1) or at an offsite location such as a central plant (e.g., a chiller plant, a steam plant, a heat plant, etc.). The working fluid can be heated in boiler 104 or cooled in chiller 102, depending on whether heating or cooling is required in building 10. Boiler 104 may add heat to the circulated fluid, for example, by burning a combustible material (e.g., natural gas) or using an electric heating element. Chiller 102 may place the circulated fluid in a heat exchange relationship with another fluid (e.g., a refrigerant) in a heat exchanger (e.g., an evaporator) to absorb heat from the circulated fluid. The working fluid from chiller 102 and/or boiler 104 can be transported to AHU 106 via piping 108.

AHU 106 may place the working fluid in a heat exchange relationship with an airflow passing through AHU 106 (e.g., via one or more stages of cooling coils and/or heating coils). The airflow can be, for example, outside air, return air from within building 10, or a combination of both. AHU 106 may transfer heat between the airflow and the working fluid to provide heating or cooling for the airflow. For example, AHU 106 can include one or more fans or blowers configured to pass the airflow over or through a heat exchanger containing the working fluid. The working fluid may then return to chiller 102 or boiler 104 via piping 110.

Airside system 130 may deliver the airflow supplied by AHU 106 (i.e., the supply airflow) to building 10 via air supply ducts 112 and may provide return air from building 10 to AHU 106 via air return ducts 114. In some embodiments, airside system 130 includes multiple variable air volume (VAV) units 116. For example, airside system 130 is shown to include a separate VAV unit 116 on each floor or zone of building 10. VAV units 116 can include dampers or other flow control elements that can be operated to control an amount of the supply airflow provided to individual zones of building 10. In other embodiments, airside system 130 delivers the supply airflow into one or more zones of building 10 (e.g., via supply ducts 112) without using intermediate VAV units 116 or other flow control elements. AHU 106 can include various sensors (e.g., temperature sensors, pressure sensors, etc.) configured to measure attributes of the supply airflow. AHU 106 may receive input from sensors located within AHU 106 and/or within the building zone and may adjust the flow rate, temperature, or other attributes of the supply airflow through AHU 106 to achieve setpoint conditions for the building zone.

Central Plant

Referring now to FIG. 2, a block diagram of a central plant 200 is shown, according to some embodiments. In various embodiments, central plant 200 can supplement or replace waterside system 120 in HVAC system 100 or can be implemented separate from HVAC system 100. When implemented in HVAC system 100, central plant 200 can include a subset of the HVAC devices in HVAC system 100 (e.g., boiler 104, chiller 102, pumps, valves, etc.) and may operate to supply a heated or chilled fluid to AHU 106. The HVAC devices of central plant 200 can be located within building 10 (e.g., as components of waterside system 120) or at an offsite location such as a central energy facility that serves multiple buildings.

Central plant 200 is shown to include a plurality of subplants 202-208. Subplants 202-208 can be configured to convert energy or resource types (e.g., water, natural gas, electricity, etc.). For example, subplants 202-208 are shown to include a heater subplant 202, a heat recovery chiller subplant 204, a chiller subplant 206, and a cooling tower subplant 208. In some embodiments, subplants 202-208 consume resources purchased from utilities to serve the energy loads (e.g., hot water, cold water, electricity, etc.) of a building or campus. For example, heater subplant 202 can be configured to heat water in a hot water loop 214 that circulates the hot water between heater subplant 202 and building 10. Similarly, chiller subplant 206 can be configured to chill water in a cold water loop 216 that circulates the cold water between chiller subplant 206 building 10.

Heat recovery chiller subplant 204 can be configured to transfer heat from cold water loop 216 to hot water loop 214 to provide additional heating for the hot water and additional cooling for the cold water. Condenser water loop 218 may absorb heat from the cold water in chiller subplant 206 and reject the absorbed heat in cooling tower subplant 208 or transfer the absorbed heat to hot water loop 214. In various embodiments, central plant 200 can include an electricity subplant (e.g., one or more electric generators) configured to generate electricity or any other type of subplant configured to convert energy or resource types.

Hot water loop 214 and cold water loop 216 may deliver the heated and/or chilled water to air handlers located on the rooftop of building 10 (e.g., AHU 106) or to individual floors or zones of building 10 (e.g., VAV units 116). The air handlers push air past heat exchangers (e.g., heating coils or cooling coils) through which the water flows to provide heating or cooling for the air. The heated or cooled air can be delivered to individual zones of building 10 to serve thermal energy loads of building 10. The water then returns to subplants 202-208 to receive further heating or cooling.

Although subplants 202-208 are shown and described as heating and cooling water for circulation to a building, it is understood that any other type of working fluid (e.g., glycol, CO₂, etc.) can be used in place of or in addition to water to serve thermal energy loads. In other embodiments, subplants 202-208 may provide heating and/or cooling directly to the building or campus without requiring an intermediate heat transfer fluid. These and other variations to central plant 200 are within the teachings of the present disclosure.

Each of subplants 202-208 can include a variety of equipment configured to facilitate the functions of the subplant. For example, heater subplant 202 is shown to include a plurality of heating elements 220 (e.g., boilers, electric heaters, etc.) configured to add heat to the hot water in hot water loop 214. Heater subplant 202 is also shown to include several pumps 222 and 224 configured to circulate the hot water in hot water loop 214 and to control the flow rate of the hot water through individual heating elements 220. Chiller subplant 206 is shown to include a plurality of chillers 232 configured to remove heat from the cold water in cold water loop 216. Chiller subplant 206 is also shown to include several pumps 234 and 236 configured to circulate the cold water in cold water loop 216 and to control the flow rate of the cold water through individual chillers 232.

Heat recovery chiller subplant 204 is shown to include a plurality of heat recovery heat exchangers 226 (e.g., refrigeration circuits) configured to transfer heat from cold water loop 216 to hot water loop 214. Heat recovery chiller subplant 204 is also shown to include several pumps 228 and 230 configured to circulate the hot water and/or cold water through heat recovery heat exchangers 226 and to control the flow rate of the water through individual heat recovery heat exchangers 226. Cooling tower subplant 208 is shown to include a plurality of cooling towers 238 configured to remove heat from the condenser water in condenser water loop 218. Cooling tower subplant 208 is also shown to include several pumps 240 configured to circulate the condenser water in condenser water loop 218 and to control the flow rate of the condenser water through individual cooling towers 238.

In some embodiments, one or more of the pumps in central plant 200 (e.g., pumps 222, 224, 228, 230, 234, 236, and/or 240) or pipelines in central plant 200 include an isolation valve associated therewith. Isolation valves can be integrated with the pumps or positioned upstream or downstream of the pumps to control the fluid flows in central plant 200. In various embodiments, central plant 200 can include more, fewer, or different types of devices and/or subplants based on the particular configuration of central plant 200 and the types of loads served by central plant 200.

Still referring to FIG. 2, central plant 200 is shown to include hot thermal energy storage (TES) 210 and cold thermal energy storage (TES) 212. Hot TES 210 and cold TES 212 can be configured to store hot and cold thermal energy for subsequent use. For example, hot TES 210 can include one or more hot water storage tanks 242 configured to store the hot water generated by heater subplant 202 or heat recovery chiller subplant 204. Hot TES 210 may also include one or more pumps or valves configured to control the flow rate of the hot water into or out of hot TES tank 242.

Similarly, cold TES 212 can include one or more cold water storage tanks 244 configured to store the cold water generated by chiller subplant 206 or heat recovery chiller subplant 204. Cold TES 212 may also include one or more pumps or valves configured to control the flow rate of the cold water into or out of cold TES tanks 244. In some embodiments, central plant 200 includes electrical energy storage (e.g., one or more batteries) or any other type of device configured to store resources. The stored resources can be purchased from utilities, generated by central plant 200, or otherwise obtained from any source.

Airside System

Referring now to FIG. 3, a block diagram of an airside system 300 is shown, according to some embodiments. In various embodiments, airside system 300 may supplement or replace airside system 130 in HVAC system 100 or can be implemented separate from HVAC system 100. When implemented in HVAC system 100, airside system 300 can include a subset of the HVAC devices in HVAC system 100 (e.g., AHU 106, VAV units 116, ducts 112-114, fans, dampers, etc.) and can be located in or around building 10. Airside system 300 may operate to heat or cool an airflow provided to building 10 using a heated or chilled fluid provided by central plant 200.

Airside system 300 is shown to include an economizer-type air handling unit (AHU) 302. Economizer-type AHUs vary the amount of outside air and return air used by the air handling unit for heating or cooling. For example, AHU 302 may receive return air 304 from building zone 306 via return air duct 308 and may deliver supply air 310 to building zone 306 via supply air duct 312. In some embodiments, AHU 302 is a rooftop unit located on the roof of building 10 (e.g., AHU 106 as shown in FIG. 1) or otherwise positioned to receive both return air 304 and outside air 314. AHU 302 can be configured to operate exhaust air damper 316, mixing damper 318, and outside air damper 320 to control an amount of outside air 314 and return air 304 that combine to form supply air 310. Any return air 304 that does not pass through mixing damper 318 can be exhausted from AHU 302 through exhaust damper 316 as exhaust air 322.

Each of dampers 316-320 can be operated by an actuator. For example, exhaust air damper 316 can be operated by actuator 324, mixing damper 318 can be operated by actuator 326, and outside air damper 320 can be operated by actuator 328. Actuators 324-328 may communicate with an AHU controller 330 via a communications link 332. Actuators 324-328 may receive control signals from AHU controller 330 and may provide feedback signals to AHU controller 330. Feedback signals can include, for example, an indication of a current actuator or damper position, an amount of torque or force exerted by the actuator, diagnostic information (e.g., results of diagnostic tests performed by actuators 324-328), status information, commissioning information, configuration settings, calibration data, and/or other types of information or data that can be collected, stored, or used by actuators 324-328. AHU controller 330 can be an economizer controller configured to use one or more control algorithms (e.g., state-based algorithms, extremum seeking control (ESC) algorithms, proportional-integral (PI) control algorithms, proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control algorithms, model predictive control (MPC) algorithms, feedback control algorithms, etc.) to control actuators 324-328.

Still referring to FIG. 3, AHU 302 is shown to include a cooling coil 334, a heating coil 336, and a fan 338 positioned within supply air duct 312. Fan 338 can be configured to force supply air 310 through cooling coil 334 and/or heating coil 336 and provide supply air 310 to building zone 306. AHU controller 330 may communicate with fan 338 via communications link 340 to control a flow rate of supply air 310. In some embodiments, AHU controller 330 controls an amount of heating or cooling applied to supply air 310 by modulating a speed of fan 338.

Cooling coil 334 may receive a chilled fluid from central plant 200 (e.g., from cold water loop 216) via piping 342 and may return the chilled fluid to central plant 200 via piping 344. Valve 346 can be positioned along piping 342 or piping 344 to control a flow rate of the chilled fluid through cooling coil 334. In some embodiments, cooling coil 334 includes multiple stages of cooling coils that can be independently activated and deactivated (e.g., by AHU controller 330, by BMS controller 366, etc.) to modulate an amount of cooling applied to supply air 310.

Heating coil 336 may receive a heated fluid from central plant 200 (e.g., from hot water loop 214) via piping 348 and may return the heated fluid to central plant 200 via piping 350. Valve 352 can be positioned along piping 348 or piping 350 to control a flow rate of the heated fluid through heating coil 336. In some embodiments, heating coil 336 includes multiple stages of heating coils that can be independently activated and deactivated (e.g., by AHU controller 330, by BMS controller 366, etc.) to modulate an amount of heating applied to supply air 310.

Each of valves 346 and 352 can be controlled by an actuator. For example, valve 346 can be controlled by actuator 354 and valve 352 can be controlled by actuator 356. Actuators 354-356 may communicate with AHU controller 330 via communications links 358-360. Actuators 354-356 may receive control signals from AHU controller 330 and may provide feedback signals to controller 330. In some embodiments, AHU controller 330 receives a measurement of the supply air temperature from a temperature sensor 362 positioned in supply air duct 312 (e.g., downstream of cooling coil 334 and/or heating coil 336). AHU controller 330 may also receive a measurement of the temperature of building zone 306 from a temperature sensor 364 located in building zone 306.

In some embodiments, AHU controller 330 operates valves 346 and 352 via actuators 354-356 to modulate an amount of heating or cooling provided to supply air 310 (e.g., to achieve a setpoint temperature for supply air 310 or to maintain the temperature of supply air 310 within a setpoint temperature range). The positions of valves 346 and 352 affect the amount of heating or cooling provided to supply air 310 by cooling coil 334 or heating coil 336 and may correlate with the amount of energy consumed to achieve a desired supply air temperature. AHU 330 may control the temperature of supply air 310 and/or building zone 306 by activating or deactivating coils 334-336, adjusting a speed of fan 338, or a combination of both.

Still referring to FIG. 3, airside system 300 is shown to include a building management system (BMS) controller 366 and a client device 368. BMS controller 366 can include one or more computer systems (e.g., servers, supervisory controllers, subsystem controllers, etc.) that serve as system level controllers, application or data servers, head nodes, or master controllers for airside system 300, central plant 200, HVAC system 100, and/or other controllable systems that serve building 10. BMS controller 366 may communicate with multiple downstream building systems or subsystems (e.g., HVAC system 100, a security system, a lighting system, central plant 200, etc.) via a communications link 370 according to like or disparate protocols (e.g., LON, BACnet, etc.). In various embodiments, AHU controller 330 and BMS controller 366 can be separate (as shown in FIG. 3) or integrated. In an integrated implementation, AHU controller 330 can be a software module configured for execution by a processor of BMS controller 366.

In some embodiments, AHU controller 330 receives information from BMS controller 366 (e.g., commands, setpoints, operating boundaries, etc.) and provides information to BMS controller 366 (e.g., temperature measurements, valve or actuator positions, operating statuses, diagnostics, etc.). For example, AHU controller 330 may provide BMS controller 366 with temperature measurements from temperature sensors 362-364, equipment on/off states, equipment operating capacities, and/or any other information that can be used by BMS controller 366 to monitor or control a variable state or condition within building zone 306.

Client device 368 can include one or more human-machine interfaces or client interfaces (e.g., graphical user interfaces, reporting interfaces, text-based computer interfaces, client-facing web services, web servers that provide pages to web clients, etc.) for controlling, viewing, or otherwise interacting with HVAC system 100, its subsystems, and/or devices. Client device 368 can be a computer workstation, a client terminal, a remote or local interface, or any other type of user interface device. Client device 368 can be a stationary terminal or a mobile device. For example, client device 368 can be a desktop computer, a computer server with a user interface, a laptop computer, a tablet, a smartphone, a PDA, or any other type of mobile or non-mobile device. Client device 368 may communicate with BMS controller 366 and/or AHU controller 330 via communications link 372.

Asset Allocation System

Referring now to FIG. 4, a block diagram of an asset allocation system 400 is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Asset allocation system 400 can be configured to manage energy assets such as central plant equipment, battery storage, and other types of equipment configured to serve the energy loads of a building. Asset allocation system 400 can determine an optimal distribution of heating, cooling, electricity, and energy loads across different subplants (i.e., equipment groups) capable of producing that type of energy. In some embodiments, asset allocation system 400 is implemented as a component of central plant 200 and interacts with the equipment of central plant 200 in an online operational environment (e.g., performing real-time control of the central plant equipment). In other embodiments, asset allocation system 400 can be implemented as a component of a planning tool (described with reference to FIGS. 7-8) and can be configured to simulate the operation of a central plant over a predetermined time period for planning, budgeting, and/or design considerations.

Asset allocation system 400 is shown to include sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440. These four categories of objects define the assets of a central plant and their interaction with the outside world. Sources 410 may include commodity markets or other suppliers from which resources such as electricity, water, natural gas, and other resources can be purchased or obtained. Sources 410 may provide resources that can be used by asset allocation system 400 to satisfy the demand of a building or campus. For example, sources 410 are shown to include an electric utility 411, a water utility 412, a natural gas utility 413, a photovoltaic (PV) field (e.g., a collection of solar panels), an energy market 415, and source M 416, where M is the total number of sources 410. Resources purchased from sources 410 can be used by subplants 420 to produce generated resources (e.g., hot water, cold water, electricity, steam, etc.), stored in storage 430 for later use, or provided directly to sinks 440.

Subplants 420 are the main assets of a central plant. Subplants 420 are shown to include a heater subplant 421, a chiller subplant 422, a heat recovery chiller subplant 423, a steam subplant 424, an electricity subplant 425, and subplant N, where N is the total number of subplants 420. In some embodiments, subplants 420 include some or all of the subplants of central plant 200, as described with reference to FIG. 2. For example, subplants 420 can include heater subplant 202, heat recovery chiller subplant 204, chiller subplant 206, and/or cooling tower subplant 208.

Subplants 420 can be configured to convert resource types, making it possible to balance requested loads from the building or campus using resources purchased from sources 410. For example, heater subplant 421 may be configured to generate hot thermal energy (e.g., hot water) by heating water using electricity or natural gas. Chiller subplant 422 may be configured to generate cold thermal energy (e.g., cold water) by chilling water using electricity. Heat recovery chiller subplant 423 may be configured to generate hot thermal energy and cold thermal energy by removing heat from one water supply and adding the heat to another water supply. Steam subplant 424 may be configured to generate steam by boiling water using electricity or natural gas. Electricity subplant 425 may be configured to generate electricity using mechanical generators (e.g., a steam turbine, a gas-powered generator, etc.) or other types of electricity-generating equipment (e.g., photovoltaic equipment, hydroelectric equipment, etc.).

The input resources used by subplants 420 may be provided by sources 410, retrieved from storage 430, and/or generated by other subplants 420. For example, steam subplant 424 may produce steam as an output resource. Electricity subplant 425 may include a steam turbine that uses the steam generated by steam subplant 424 as an input resource to generate electricity. The output resources produced by subplants 420 may be stored in storage 430, provided to sinks 440, and/or used by other subplants 420. For example, the electricity generated by electricity subplant 425 may be stored in electrical energy storage 433, used by chiller subplant 422 to generate cold thermal energy, used to satisfy the electric load 445 of a building, or sold to resource purchasers 441.

Storage 430 can be configured to store energy or other types of resources for later use. Each type of storage within storage 430 may be configured to store a different type of resource. For example, storage 430 is shown to include hot thermal energy storage 431 (e.g., one or more hot water storage tanks), cold thermal energy storage 432 (e.g., one or more cold thermal energy storage tanks), electrical energy storage 433 (e.g., one or more batteries), and resource type P storage 434, where P is the total number of storage 430. In some embodiments, storage 430 include some or all of the storage of central plant 200, as described with reference to FIG. 2. In some embodiments, storage 430 includes the heat capacity of the building served by the central plant. The resources stored in storage 430 may be purchased directly from sources or generated by subplants 420.

In some embodiments, storage 430 is used by asset allocation system 400 to take advantage of price-based demand response (PBDR) programs. PBDR programs encourage consumers to reduce consumption when generation, transmission, and distribution costs are high. PBDR programs are typically implemented (e.g., by sources 410) in the form of energy prices that vary as a function of time. For example, some utilities may increase the price per unit of electricity during peak usage hours to encourage customers to reduce electricity consumption during peak times. Some utilities also charge consumers a separate demand charge based on the maximum rate of electricity consumption at any time during a predetermined demand charge period.

Advantageously, storing energy and other types of resources in storage 430 allows for the resources to be purchased at times when the resources are relatively less expensive (e.g., during non-peak electricity hours) and stored for use at times when the resources are relatively more expensive (e.g., during peak electricity hours). Storing resources in storage 430 also allows the resource demand of the building or campus to be shifted in time. For example, resources can be purchased from sources 410 at times when the demand for heating or cooling is low and immediately converted into hot or cold thermal energy by subplants 420. The thermal energy can be stored in storage 430 and retrieved at times when the demand for heating or cooling is high. This allows asset allocation system 400 to smooth the resource demand of the building or campus and reduces the maximum required capacity of subplants 420. Smoothing the demand also asset allocation system 400 to reduce the peak electricity consumption, which results in a lower demand charge.

In some embodiments, storage 430 is used by asset allocation system 400 to take advantage of incentive-based demand response (IBDR) programs. IBDR programs provide incentives to customers who have the capability to store energy, generate energy, or curtail energy usage upon request. Incentives are typically provided in the form of monetary revenue paid by sources 410 or by an independent service operator (ISO). IBDR programs supplement traditional utility-owned generation, transmission, and distribution assets with additional options for modifying demand load curves. For example, stored energy can be sold to resource purchasers 441 or an energy grid 442 to supplement the energy generated by sources 410. In some instances, incentives for participating in an IBDR program vary based on how quickly a system can respond to a request to change power output/consumption. Faster responses may be compensated at a higher level. Advantageously, electrical energy storage 433 allows system 400 to quickly respond to a request for electric power by rapidly discharging stored electrical energy to energy grid 442.

Sinks 440 may include the requested loads of a building or campus as well as other types of resource consumers. For example, sinks 440 are shown to include resource purchasers 441, an energy grid 442, a hot water load 443, a cold water load 444, an electric load 445, and sink Q, where Q is the total number of sinks 440. A building may consume various resources including, for example, hot thermal energy (e.g., hot water), cold thermal energy (e.g., cold water), and/or electrical energy. In some embodiments, the resources are consumed by equipment or subsystems within the building (e.g., HVAC equipment, lighting, computers and other electronics, etc.). The consumption of each sink 440 over the optimization period can be supplied as an input to asset allocation system 400 or predicted by asset allocation system 400. Sinks 440 can receive resources directly from sources 410, from subplants 420, and/or from storage 430.

Still referring to FIG. 4, asset allocation system 400 is shown to include an asset allocator 402. Asset allocator 402 may be configured to control the distribution, production, storage, and usage of resources in asset allocation system 400. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 performs an optimization process to determine an optimal set of control decisions for each time step within an optimization period. The control decisions may include, for example, an optimal amount of each resource to purchase from sources 410, an optimal amount of each resource to produce or convert using subplants 420, an optimal amount of each resource to store or remove from storage 430, an optimal amount of each resource to sell to resources purchasers 441 or energy grid 440, and/or an optimal amount of each resource to provide to other sinks 440. In some embodiments, the control decisions include an optimal amount of each input resource and output resource for each of subplants 420.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 is configured to optimally dispatch all campus energy assets in order to meet the requested heating, cooling, and electrical loads of the campus for each time step within an optimization hori506zon or optimization period of duration h. Instead of focusing on only the typical HVAC energy loads, the concept is extended to the concept of resource. Throughout this disclosure, the term “resource” is used to describe any type of commodity purchased from sources 410, used or produced by subplants 420, stored or discharged by storage 430, or consumed by sinks 440. For example, water may be considered a resource that is consumed by chillers, heaters, or cooling towers during operation. This general concept of a resource can be extended to chemical processing plants where one of the resources is the product that is being produced by the chemical processing plat.

Asset allocator 402 can be configured to operate the equipment of asset allocation system 400 to ensure that a resource balance is maintained at each time step of the optimization period. This resource balance is shown in the following equation:

Σx _(time)=0 ∀resources,∀time∈horizon

where the sum is taken over all producers and consumers of a given resource (i.e., all of sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440) and time is the time index. Each time element represents a period of time during which the resource productions, requests, purchases, etc. are assumed constant. Asset allocator 402 may ensure that this equation is satisfied for all resources regardless of whether that resource is required by the building or campus. For example, some of the resources produced by subplants 420 may be intermediate resources that function only as inputs to other subplants 420.

In some embodiments, the resources balanced by asset allocator 402 include multiple resources of the same type (e.g., multiple chilled water resources, multiple electricity resources, etc.). Defining multiple resources of the same type may allow asset allocator 402 to satisfy the resource balance given the physical constraints and connections of the central plant equipment. For example, suppose a central plant has multiple chillers and multiple cold water storage tanks, with each chiller physically connected to a different cold water storage tank (i.e., chiller A is connected to cold water storage tank A, chiller B is connected to cold water storage tank B, etc.). Given that only one chiller can supply cold water to each cold water storage tank, a different cold water resource can be defined for the output of each chiller. This allows asset allocator 402 to ensure that the resource balance is satisfied for each cold water resource without attempting to allocate resources in a way that is physically impossible (e.g., storing the output of chiller A in cold water storage tank B, etc.).

Asset allocator 402 may be configured to minimize the economic cost (or maximize the economic value) of operating asset allocation system 400 over the duration of the optimization period. The economic cost may be defined by a cost function J(x) that expresses economic cost as a function of the control decisions made by asset allocator 402. The cost function J(x) may account for the cost of resources purchased from sources 410, as well as the revenue generated by selling resources to resource purchasers 441 or energy grid 442 or participating in incentive programs. The cost optimization performed by asset allocator 402 can be expressed as:

$\underset{x}{\arg \min}{J(x)}$

where J(x) is defined as follows:

${J(x)} = {{\sum\limits_{sources}{\sum\limits_{horizon}{{cost}\left( {{purchase}_{{resource},{time}},{time}} \right)}}} - {\sum\limits_{incentives}{\sum\limits_{horizon}{{revenue}({ReservationAmount})}}}}$

The first term in the cost function J(x) represents the total cost of all resources purchased over the optimization horizon. Resources can include, for example, water, electricity, natural gas, or other types of resources purchased from a utility or other source 410. The second term in the cost function J(x) represents the total revenue generated by participating in incentive programs (e.g., IBDR programs) over the optimization horizon. The revenue may be based on the amount of power reserved for participating in the incentive programs. Accordingly, the total cost function represents the total cost of resources purchased minus any revenue generated from participating in incentive programs.

Each of subplants 420 and storage 430 may include equipment that can be controlled by asset allocator 402 to optimize the performance of asset allocation system 400. Subplant equipment may include, for example, heating devices, chillers, heat recovery heat exchangers, cooling towers, energy storage devices, pumps, valves, and/or other devices of subplants 420 and storage 430. Individual devices of subplants 420 can be turned on or off to adjust the resource production of each subplant 420. In some embodiments, individual devices of subplants 420 can be operated at variable capacities (e.g., operating a chiller at 10% capacity or 60% capacity) according to an operating setpoint received from asset allocator 402. Asset allocator 402 can control the equipment of subplants 420 and storage 430 to adjust the amount of each resource purchased, consumed, and/or produced by system 400.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 minimizes the cost function while participating in PBDR programs, IBDR programs, or simultaneously in both PBDR and IBDR programs. For the IBDR programs, asset allocator 402 may use statistical estimates of past clearing prices, mileage ratios, and event probabilities to determine the revenue generation potential of selling stored energy to resource purchasers 441 or energy grid 442. For the PBDR programs, asset allocator 402 may use predictions of ambient conditions, facility thermal loads, and thermodynamic models of installed equipment to estimate the resource consumption of subplants 420. Asset allocator 402 may use predictions of the resource consumption to monetize the costs of running the equipment.

Asset allocator 402 may automatically determine (e.g., without human intervention) a combination of PBDR and/or IBDR programs in which to participate over the optimization horizon in order to maximize economic value. For example, asset allocator 402 may consider the revenue generation potential of IBDR programs, the cost reduction potential of PBDR programs, and the equipment maintenance/replacement costs that would result from participating in various combinations of the IBDR programs and PBDR programs. Asset allocator 402 may weigh the benefits of participation against the costs of participation to determine an optimal combination of programs in which to participate. Advantageously, this allows asset allocator 402 to determine an optimal set of control decisions that maximize the overall value of operating asset allocation system 400.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 optimizes the cost function J(x) subject to the following constraint, which guarantees the balance between resources purchased, produced, discharged, consumed, and requested over the optimization horizon:

${{{\sum\limits_{sources}{purchase}_{{resource},{time}}} + {\sum\limits_{subplants}{{produces}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},x_{{external},{time}},v_{{uncontrolled},{time}}} \right)}} - {\sum\limits_{subplants}{{consumes}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},s_{{external},{time}},v_{{uncontrolled},{time}}} \right)}} + {\sum\limits_{storages}{{discharges}_{resource}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},x_{{external},{time}}} \right)}} - {\sum\limits_{sinks}{requests}_{resource}}} = {0\mspace{14mu} {\forall{resources}}}},{\forall{{time} \in {horizon}}}$

where x_(internal,time) includes internal decision variables (e.g., load allocated to each component of asset allocation system 400), x_(external,time) includes external decision variables (e.g., condenser water return temperature or other shared variables across subplants 420), and v_(uncontrolled,time) includes uncontrolled variables (e.g., weather conditions).

The first term in the previous equation represents the total amount of each resource (e.g., electricity, water, natural gas, etc.) purchased from each source 410 over the optimization horizon. The second and third terms represent the total production and consumption of each resource by subplants 420 over the optimization horizon. The fourth term represents the total amount of each resource discharged from storage 430 over the optimization horizon. Positive values indicate that the resource is discharged from storage 430, whereas negative values indicate that the resource is charged or stored. The fifth term represents the total amount of each resource requested by sinks 440 over the optimization horizon. Accordingly, this constraint ensures that the total amount of each resource purchased, produced, or discharged from storage 430 is equal to the amount of each resource consumed, stored, or provided to sinks 440.

In some embodiments, additional constraints exist on the regions in which subplants 420 can operate. Examples of such additional constraints include the acceptable space (i.e., the feasible region) for the decision variables given the uncontrolled conditions, the maximum amount of a resource that can be purchased from a given source 410, and any number of plant-specific constraints that result from the mechanical design of the plant. These additional constraints can be generated and imposed by operational domain module 904 (described in greater detail with reference to FIGS. 9 and 12).

Asset allocator 402 may include a variety of features that enable the application of asset allocator 402 to nearly any central plant, central energy facility, combined heating and cooling facility, or combined heat and power facility. These features include broadly applicable definitions for subplants 420, sinks 440, storage 430, and sources 410; multiples of the same type of subplant 420 or sink 440; subplant resource connections that describe which subplants 420 can send resources to which sinks 440 and at what efficiency; subplant minimum turndown into the asset allocation optimization; treating electrical energy as any other resource that must be balanced; constraints that can be commissioned during runtime; different levels of accuracy at different points in the horizon; setpoints (or other decisions) that are shared between multiple subplants included in the decision vector; disjoint subplant operation regions; incentive based electrical energy programs; and high level airside models. Incorporation of these features may allow asset allocator 402 to support a majority of the central energy facilities that will be seen in the future. Additionally, it will be possible to rapidly adapt to the inclusion of new subplant types. Some of these features are described in greater detail below.

Broadly applicable definitions for subplants 420, sinks 440, storage 430, and sources 410 allow each of these components to be described by the mapping from decision variables to resources consume and resources produced. Resources and other components of system 400 do not need to be “typed,” but rather can be defined generally. The mapping from decision variables to resource consumption and production can change based on extrinsic conditions. Asset allocator 420 can solve the optimization problem by simply balancing resource use and can be configured to solve in terms of consumed resource 1, consumed resource 2, produced resource 1, etc., rather than electricity consumed, water consumed, and chilled water produced. Such an interface at the high level allows for the mappings to be injected into asset allocation system 400 rather than needing them hard coded. Of course, “typed” resources and other components of system 400 can still exist in order to generate the mapping at run time, based on equipment out of service.

Incorporating multiple subplants 420 or sinks 440 of the same type allows for modeling the interconnections between subplants 420, sources 410, storage 430, and sinks 440. This type of modeling describes which subplants 420 can use resource from which sources 410 and which subplants 420 can send resources to which sinks 440. This can be visualized as a resource connection matrix (i.e., a directed graph) between the subplants 420, sources 410, sinks 440, and storage 430. Examples of such directed graphs are described in greater detail with reference to FIGS. 5A-5B. Extending this concept, it is possible to include costs for delivering the resource along a connection and also, efficiencies of the transmission (e.g., amount of energy that makes it to the other side of the connection).

In some instances, constraints arise due to mechanical problems after an energy facility has been built. Accordingly, these constraints are site specific and are often not incorporated into the main code for any of subplants 420 or the high level problem itself. Commissioned constraints allow for such constraints to be added without software updates during the commissioning phase of the project. Furthermore, if these additional constraints are known prior to the plant build, they can be added to the design tool run. This would allow the user to determine the cost of making certain design decisions.

Incorporating minimum turndown and allowing disjoint operating regions may greatly enhance the accuracy of the asset allocation problem solution as well as decrease the number of modifications to solution of the asset allocation by the low level optimization or another post-processing technique. It may be beneficial to allow for certain features to change as a function of time into the horizon. One could use the full disjoint range (most accurate) for the first four hours, then switch to only incorporating the minimum turndown for the next two days, and finally using to the linear relaxation with no binary constraints for the rest of the horizon. For example, asset allocator 402 can be given the operational domain that correctly allocates three chillers with a range of 1800 to 2500 tons. The true subplant range is then the union of [1800, 2500], [3600, 5000], and [5400, 7500]. If the range were approximated as [1800, 7500] the low level optimization or other post-processing technique would have to rebalance any solution between 2500 and 3600 or between 5000 and 5400 tons. Rebalancing is typically done heuristically and is unlikely to be optimal. Incorporating these disjoint operational domains adds binary variables to the optimization problem (described in greater detail below).

Some decisions made by asset allocator 402 may be shared by multiple elements of system 400. The condenser water setpoint of cooling towers is an example. It is possible to assume that this variable is fixed and allow the low level optimization to decide on its value. However, this does not allow one to make a trade-off between the chiller's electrical use and the tower's electrical use, nor does it allow the optimization to exceed the chiller's design load by feeding it cooler condenser water. Incorporating these extrinsic decisions into asset allocator 402 allows for a more accurate solution at the cost of computational time.

Incentive programs often require the reservation of one or more assets for a period of time. In traditional systems, these assets are typically turned over to alternative control, different than the typical resource price based optimization. Advantageously, asset allocator 402 can be configured to add revenue to the cost function per amount of resource reserved. Asset allocator 402 can then make the reserved portion of the resource unavailable for typical price based cost optimization. For example, asset allocator 402 can reserve a portion of a battery asset for frequency response. In this case, the battery can be used to move the load or shave the peak demand, but can also be reserved to participate in the frequency response program.

Plant Resource Diagrams

Referring now to FIG. 5A, a plant resource diagram 500 is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Plant resource diagram 500 represents a particular implementation of a central plant and indicates how the equipment of the central plant are connected to each other and to external systems or devices. Asset allocator 402 can use plant resource diagram 500 to identify the interconnections between various sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440 in the central plant. In some instances, the interconnections defined by diagram 500 are not capable of being inferred based on the type of resource produced. For this reason, plant resource diagram 500 may provide asset allocator 402 with new information that can be used to establish constraints on the asset allocation problem.

Plant resource diagram 500 is shown to include an electric utility 502, a water utility 504, and a natural gas utility 506. Utilities 502-506 are examples of sources 410 that provide resources to the central plant. For example, electric utility 502 may provide an electricity resource 508, water utility 504 may provide a water resource 510, and natural gas utility 506 may provide a natural gas resource 512. The lines connecting utilities 502-506 to resources 508-512 along with the directions of the lines (i.e., pointing toward resources 508-512) indicate that resources purchased from utilities 502-506 add to resources 508-512.

Plant resource diagram 500 is shown to include a chiller subplant 520, a heat recovery (HR) chiller subplant 522, a hot water generator subplant 524, and a cooling tower subplant 526. Subplants 520-526 are examples of subplants 420 that convert resource types (i.e., convert input resources to output resources). For example, the lines connecting electricity resource 508 and water resource 510 to chiller subplant 520 indicate that chiller subplant 520 receives electricity resource 508 and water resource 510 as input resources. The lines connecting chiller subplant 520 to chilled water resource 514 and condenser water resource 516 indicate that chiller subplant 520 produces chilled water resource 514 and condenser water resource 516. Similarly, the lines connecting electricity resource 508 and water resource 510 to HR chiller subplant 522 indicate that HR chiller subplant 522 receives electricity resource 508 and water resource 510 as input resources. The lines connecting HR chiller subplant 522 to chilled water resource 514 and hot water resource 518 indicate that HR chiller subplant 522 produces chilled water resource 514 and hot water resource 518.

Plant resource diagram 500 is shown to include water TES 528 and 530. Water TES 528-530 are examples of storage 530 that can be used to store and discharge resources. The line connecting chilled water resource 514 to water TES 528 indicates that water TES 528 stores and discharges chilled water resource 514. Similarly, the line connecting hot water resource 518 to water TES 530 indicates that water TES 530 stores and discharges hot water resource 518. In diagram 500, water TES 528 is connected to only chilled water resource 514 and not to any of the other water resources 516 or 518. This indicates that water TES 528 can be used by asset allocator 402 to store and discharge only chilled water resource 514 and not the other water resources 516 or 518. Similarly, water TES 530 is connected to only hot water resource 518 and not to any of the other water resources 514 or 516. This indicates that water TES 530 can be used by asset allocator 402 to store and discharge only hot water resource 518 and not the other water resources 514 or 516.

Plant resource diagram 500 is shown to include a chilled water load 532 and a hot water load 534. Loads 532-534 are examples of sinks 440 that consume resources. The line connecting chilled water load 532 to chilled water resource 514 indicates that chilled water resource 514 can be used to satisfy chilled water load 532. Similarly, the line connecting hot water load 534 to hot water resource 518 indicates that hot water resource 518 can be used to satisfy hot water load 534. Asset allocator 402 can use the interconnections and limitations defined by plant resource diagram 500 to establish appropriate constraints on the optimization problem.

Referring now to FIG. 5B, another plant resource diagram 550 is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Plant resource diagram 550 represents another implementation of a central plant and indicates how the equipment of the central plant are connected to each other and to external systems or devices. Asset allocator 402 can use plant resource diagram 550 to identify the interconnections between various sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440 in the central plant. In some instances, the interconnections defined by diagram 550 are not capable of being inferred based on the type of resource produced. For this reason, plant resource diagram 550 may provide asset allocator 402 with new information that can be used to establish constraints on the asset allocation problem.

Plant resource diagram 550 is shown to include an electric utility 552, a water utility 554, and a natural gas utility 556. Utilities 552-556 are examples of sources 410 that provide resources to the central plant. For example, electric utility 552 may provide an electricity resource 558, water utility 554 may provide a water resource 560, and natural gas utility 556 may provide a natural gas resource 562. The lines connecting utilities 552-556 to resources 558-562 along with the directions of the lines (i.e., pointing toward resources 558-562) indicate that resources purchased from utilities 552-556 add to resources 558-562. The line connecting electricity resource 558 to electrical storage 551 indicates that electrical storage 551 can store and discharge electricity resource 558.

Plant resource diagram 550 is shown to include a boiler subplant 572, a cogeneration subplant 574, several steam chiller subplants 576-580, several chiller subplants 582-586, and several cooling tower subplants 588-592. Subplants 572-592 are examples of subplants 420 that convert resource types (i.e., convert input resources to output resources). For example, the lines connecting boiler subplant 572 and cogeneration subplant 574 to natural gas resource 562, electricity resource 558, and steam resource 564 indicate that both boiler subplant 572 and cogeneration subplant 574 consume natural gas resource 562 and electricity resource 558 to produce steam resource 564.

The lines connecting steam resource 564 and electricity resource 558 to steam chiller subplants 576-580 indicate that each of steam chiller subplants 576-580 receives steam resource 564 and electricity resource 558 as input resources. However, each of steam chiller subplants 576-580 produces a different output resource. For example, steam chiller subplant 576 produces chilled water resource 566, steam chiller subplant 578 produces chilled water resource 568, and steam chiller subplant 580 produces chilled water resource 570. Similarly, the lines connecting electricity resource 558 to chiller subplants 582-586 indicate that each of chiller subplants 582-586 receives electricity resource 558 as an input. However, each of chiller subplants 582-586 produces a different output resource. For example, chiller subplant 582 produces chilled water resource 566, chiller subplant 584 produces chilled water resource 568, and chiller subplant 586 produces chilled water resource 570.

Chilled water resources 566-570 have the same general type (i.e., chilled water) but can be defined as separate resources by asset allocator 402. The lines connecting chilled water resources 566-570 to subplants 576-586 indicate which of subplants 576-586 can produce each chilled water resource 566-570. For example, plant resource diagram 550 indicates that chilled water resource 566 can only be produced by steam chiller subplant 576 and chiller subplant 582. Similarly, chilled water resource 568 can only be produced by steam chiller subplant 578 and chiller subplant 584, and chilled water resource 570 can only be produced by steam chiller subplant 580 and chiller subplant 586.

Plant resource diagram 550 is shown to include a hot water load 599 and several cold water loads 594-598. Loads 594-599 are examples of sinks 440 that consume resources. The line connecting hot water load 599 to steam resource 564 indicates that steam resource 564 can be used to satisfy hot water load 599. Similarly, the lines connecting chilled water resources 566-570 to cold water loads 594-598 indicate which of chilled water resources 566-570 can be used to satisfy each of cold water loads 594-598. For example, only chilled water resource 566 can be used to satisfy cold water load 594, only chilled water resource 568 can be used to satisfy cold water load 596, and only chilled water resource 570 can be used to satisfy cold water load 598. Asset allocator 402 can use the interconnections and limitations defined by plant resource diagram 550 to establish appropriate constraints on the optimization problem.

Central Plant Controller

Referring now to FIG. 6, a block diagram of a central plant controller 600 in which asset allocator 402 can be implemented is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. In various embodiments, central plant controller 600 can be configured to monitor and control central plant 200, asset allocation system 400, and various components thereof (e.g., sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, sinks 440, etc.). Central plant controller 600 is shown providing control decisions to a building management system (BMS) 606. The control decisions provided to BMS 606 may include resource purchase amounts for sources 410, setpoints for subplants 420, and/or charge/discharge rates for storage 430.

In some embodiments, BMS 606 is the same or similar to the BMS described with reference to FIG. 1. BMS 606 may be configured to monitor conditions within a controlled building or building zone. For example, BMS 606 may receive input from various sensors (e.g., temperature sensors, humidity sensors, airflow sensors, voltage sensors, etc.) distributed throughout the building and may report building conditions to central plant controller 600. Building conditions may include, for example, a temperature of the building or a zone of the building, a power consumption (e.g., electric load) of the building, a state of one or more actuators configured to affect a controlled state within the building, or other types of information relating to the controlled building. BMS 606 may operate subplants 420 and storage 430 to affect the monitored conditions within the building and to serve the thermal energy loads of the building.

BMS 606 may receive control signals from central plant controller 600 specifying on/off states, charge/discharge rates, and/or setpoints for the subplant equipment. BMS 606 may control the equipment (e.g., via actuators, power relays, etc.) in accordance with the control signals provided by central plant controller 600. For example, BMS 606 may operate the equipment using closed loop control to achieve the setpoints specified by central plant controller 600. In various embodiments, BMS 606 may be combined with central plant controller 600 or may be part of a separate building management system. According to an exemplary embodiment, BMS 606 is a METASYS® brand building management system, as sold by Johnson Controls, Inc.

Central plant controller 600 may monitor the status of the controlled building using information received from BMS 606. Central plant controller 600 may be configured to predict the thermal energy loads (e.g., heating loads, cooling loads, etc.) of the building for plurality of time steps in an optimization period (e.g., using weather forecasts from a weather service 604). Central plant controller 600 may also predict the revenue generation potential of incentive based demand response (IBDR) programs using an incentive event history (e.g., past clearing prices, mileage ratios, event probabilities, etc.) from incentive programs 602. Central plant controller 600 may generate control decisions that optimize the economic value of operating central plant 200 over the duration of the optimization period subject to constraints on the optimization process (e.g., energy balance constraints, load satisfaction constraints, etc.). The optimization process performed by central plant controller 600 is described in greater detail below.

In some embodiments, central plant controller 600 is integrated within a single computer (e.g., one server, one housing, etc.). In various other exemplary embodiments, central plant controller 600 can be distributed across multiple servers or computers (e.g., that can exist in distributed locations). In another exemplary embodiment, central plant controller 600 may integrated with a smart building manager that manages multiple building systems and/or combined with BMS 606.

Central plant controller 600 is shown to include a communications interface 636 and a processing circuit 607. Communications interface 636 may include wired or wireless interfaces (e.g., jacks, antennas, transmitters, receivers, transceivers, wire terminals, etc.) for conducting data communications with various systems, devices, or networks. For example, communications interface 636 may include an Ethernet card and port for sending and receiving data via an Ethernet-based communications network and/or a WiFi transceiver for communicating via a wireless communications network. Communications interface 636 may be configured to communicate via local area networks or wide area networks (e.g., the Internet, a building WAN, etc.) and may use a variety of communications protocols (e.g., BACnet, IP, LON, etc.).

Communications interface 636 may be a network interface configured to facilitate electronic data communications between central plant controller 600 and various external systems or devices (e.g., BMS 606, subplants 420, storage 430, sources 410, etc.). For example, central plant controller 600 may receive information from BMS 606 indicating one or more measured states of the controlled building (e.g., temperature, humidity, electric loads, etc.) and one or more states of subplants 420 and/or storage 430 (e.g., equipment status, power consumption, equipment availability, etc.). Communications interface 636 may receive inputs from BMS 606, subplants 420, and/or storage 430 and may provide operating parameters (e.g., on/off decisions, setpoints, etc.) to subplants 420 and storage 430 via BMS 606. The operating parameters may cause subplants 420 and storage 430 to activate, deactivate, or adjust a setpoint for various devices thereof.

Still referring to FIG. 6, processing circuit 607 is shown to include a processor 608 and memory 610. Processor 608 may be a general purpose or specific purpose processor, an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), one or more field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs), a group of processing components, or other suitable processing components. Processor 608 may be configured to execute computer code or instructions stored in memory 610 or received from other computer readable media (e.g., CDROM, network storage, a remote server, etc.).

Memory 610 may include one or more devices (e.g., memory units, memory devices, storage devices, etc.) for storing data and/or computer code for completing and/or facilitating the various processes described in the present disclosure. Memory 610 may include random access memory (RAM), read-only memory (ROM), hard drive storage, temporary storage, non-volatile memory, flash memory, optical memory, or any other suitable memory for storing software objects and/or computer instructions. Memory 610 may include database components, object code components, script components, or any other type of information structure for supporting the various activities and information structures described in the present disclosure. Memory 610 may be communicably connected to processor 608 via processing circuit 607 and may include computer code for executing (e.g., by processor 608) one or more processes described herein.

Memory 610 is shown to include a building status monitor 624. Central plant controller 600 may receive data regarding the overall building or building space to be heated or cooled by system 400 via building status monitor 624. In an exemplary embodiment, building status monitor 624 may include a graphical user interface component configured to provide graphical user interfaces to a user for selecting building requirements (e.g., overall temperature parameters, selecting schedules for the building, selecting different temperature levels for different building zones, etc.).

Central plant controller 600 may determine on/off configurations and operating setpoints to satisfy the building requirements received from building status monitor 624. In some embodiments, building status monitor 624 receives, collects, stores, and/or transmits cooling load requirements, building temperature setpoints, occupancy data, weather data, energy data, schedule data, and other building parameters. In some embodiments, building status monitor 624 stores data regarding energy costs, such as pricing information available from sources 410 (energy charge, demand charge, etc.).

Still referring to FIG. 6, memory 610 is shown to include a load/rate predictor 622. Load/rate predictor 622 may be configured to predict the thermal energy loads (

_(k)) of the building or campus for each time step k (e.g., k=1 . . . n) of an optimization period. Load/rate predictor 622 is shown receiving weather forecasts from a weather service 604. In some embodiments, load/rate predictor 622 predicts the thermal energy loads

_(k) as a function of the weather forecasts. In some embodiments, load/rate predictor 622 uses feedback from BMS 606 to predict loads

_(k). Feedback from BMS 606 may include various types of sensory inputs (e.g., temperature, flow, humidity, enthalpy, etc.) or other data relating to the controlled building (e.g., inputs from a HVAC system, a lighting control system, a security system, a water system, etc.).

In some embodiments, load/rate predictor 622 receives a measured electric load and/or previous measured load data from BMS 606 (e.g., via building status monitor 624). Load/rate predictor 622 may predict loads

_(k) as a function of a given weather forecast ({circumflex over (ϕ)}_(w)), a day type (day), the time of day (t), and previous measured load data (Y_(k−1)). Such a relationship is expressed in the following equation:

_(k) =f({circumflex over (ϕ)}_(w),day,t|Y _(k−1))

In some embodiments, load/rate predictor 622 uses a deterministic plus stochastic model trained from historical load data to predict loads

_(k). Load/rate predictor 622 may use any of a variety of prediction methods to predict loads

_(k) (e.g., linear regression for the deterministic portion and an AR model for the stochastic portion). Load/rate predictor 622 may predict one or more different types of loads for the building or campus. For example, load/rate predictor 622 may predict a hot water load

_(Hot,k) and a cold water load

_(Cold,k) for each time step k within the prediction window. In some embodiments, load/rate predictor 622 makes load/rate predictions using the techniques described in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 14/717,593.

Load/rate predictor 622 is shown receiving utility rates from sources 410. Utility rates may indicate a cost or price per unit of a resource (e.g., electricity, natural gas, water, etc.) provided by sources 410 at each time step k in the prediction window. In some embodiments, the utility rates are time-variable rates. For example, the price of electricity may be higher at certain times of day or days of the week (e.g., during high demand periods) and lower at other times of day or days of the week (e.g., during low demand periods). The utility rates may define various time periods and a cost per unit of a resource during each time period. Utility rates may be actual rates received from sources 410 or predicted utility rates estimated by load/rate predictor 622.

In some embodiments, the utility rates include demand charges for one or more resources provided by sources 410. A demand charge may define a separate cost imposed by sources 410 based on the maximum usage of a particular resource (e.g., maximum energy consumption) during a demand charge period. The utility rates may define various demand charge periods and one or more demand charges associated with each demand charge period. In some instances, demand charge periods may overlap partially or completely with each other and/or with the prediction window. Advantageously, demand response optimizer 630 may be configured to account for demand charges in the high level optimization process performed by asset allocator 402. Sources 410 may be defined by time-variable (e.g., hourly) prices, a maximum service level (e.g., a maximum rate of consumption allowed by the physical infrastructure or by contract) and, in the case of electricity, a demand charge or a charge for the peak rate of consumption within a certain period. Load/rate predictor 622 may store the predicted loads

_(k) and the utility rates in memory 610 and/or provide the predicted loads

_(k) and the utility rates to demand response optimizer 630.

Still referring to FIG. 6, memory 610 is shown to include an incentive estimator 620. Incentive estimator 620 may be configured to estimate the revenue generation potential of participating in various incentive-based demand response (IBDR) programs. In some embodiments, incentive estimator 620 receives an incentive event history from incentive programs 602. The incentive event history may include a history of past IBDR events from incentive programs 602. An IBDR event may include an invitation from incentive programs 602 to participate in an IBDR program in exchange for a monetary incentive. The incentive event history may indicate the times at which the past IBDR events occurred and attributes describing the IBDR events (e.g., clearing prices, mileage ratios, participation requirements, etc.). Incentive estimator 620 may use the incentive event history to estimate IBDR event probabilities during the optimization period.

Incentive estimator 620 is shown providing incentive predictions to demand response optimizer 630. The incentive predictions may include the estimated IBDR probabilities, estimated participation requirements, an estimated amount of revenue from participating in the estimated IBDR events, and/or any other attributes of the predicted IBDR events. Demand response optimizer 630 may use the incentive predictions along with the predicted loads

_(k) and utility rates from load/rate predictor 622 to determine an optimal set of control decisions for each time step within the optimization period.

Still referring to FIG. 6, memory 610 is shown to include a demand response optimizer 630. Demand response optimizer 630 may perform a cascaded optimization process to optimize the performance of asset allocation system 400. For example, demand response optimizer 630 is shown to include asset allocator 402 and a low level optimizer 634. Asset allocator 402 may control an outer (e.g., subplant level) loop of the cascaded optimization. Asset allocator 402 may determine an optimal set of control decisions for each time step in the prediction window in order to optimize (e.g., maximize) the value of operating asset allocation system 400. Control decisions made by asset allocator 402 may include, for example, load setpoints for each of subplants 420, charge/discharge rates for each of storage 430, resource purchase amounts for each type of resource purchased from sources 410, and/or an amount of each resource sold to energy purchasers 504. In other words, the control decisions may define resource allocation at each time step. The control decisions made by asset allocator 402 are based on the statistical estimates of incentive event probabilities and revenue generation potential for various IBDR events as well as the load and rate predictions.

Low level optimizer 634 may control an inner (e.g., equipment level) loop of the cascaded optimization. Low level optimizer 634 may determine how to best run each subplant at the load setpoint determined by asset allocator 402. For example, low level optimizer 634 may determine on/off states and/or operating setpoints for various devices of the subplant equipment in order to optimize (e.g., minimize) the energy consumption of each subplant while meeting the resource allocation setpoint for the subplant. In some embodiments, low level optimizer 634 receives actual incentive events from incentive programs 602. Low level optimizer 634 may determine whether to participate in the incentive events based on the resource allocation set by asset allocator 402. For example, if insufficient resources have been allocated to a particular IBDR program by asset allocator 402 or if the allocated resources have already been used, low level optimizer 634 may determine that asset allocation system 400 will not participate in the IBDR program and may ignore the IBDR event. However, if the required resources have been allocated to the IBDR program and are available in storage 430, low level optimizer 634 may determine that system 400 will participate in the IBDR program in response to the IBDR event. The cascaded optimization process performed by demand response optimizer 630 is described in greater detail in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 15/247,885.

In some embodiments, low level optimizer 634 generates and provides subplant curves to asset allocator 402. Each subplant curve may indicate an amount of resource consumption by a particular subplant (e.g., electricity use measured in kW, water use measured in L/s, etc.) as a function of the subplant load. In some embodiments, low level optimizer 634 generates the subplant curves by running the low level optimization process for various combinations of subplant loads and weather conditions to generate multiple data points. Low level optimizer 634 may fit a curve to the data points to generate the subplant curves. In other embodiments, low level optimizer 634 provides the data points asset allocator 402 and asset allocator 402 generates the subplant curves using the data points. Asset allocator 402 may store the subplant curves in memory for use in the high level (i.e., asset allocation) optimization process.

In some embodiments, the subplant curves are generated by combining efficiency curves for individual devices of a subplant. A device efficiency curve may indicate the amount of resource consumption by the device as a function of load. The device efficiency curves may be provided by a device manufacturer or generated using experimental data. In some embodiments, the device efficiency curves are based on an initial efficiency curve provided by a device manufacturer and updated using experimental data. The device efficiency curves may be stored in equipment models 618. For some devices, the device efficiency curves may indicate that resource consumption is a U-shaped function of load. Accordingly, when multiple device efficiency curves are combined into a subplant curve for the entire subplant, the resultant subplant curve may be a wavy curve. The waves are caused by a single device loading up before it is more efficient to turn on another device to satisfy the subplant load. An example of such a subplant curve is shown in FIG. 13.

Still referring to FIG. 6, memory 610 is shown to include a subplant control module 628. Subplant control module 628 may store historical data regarding past operating statuses, past operating setpoints, and instructions for calculating and/or implementing control parameters for subplants 420 and storage 430. Subplant control module 628 may also receive, store, and/or transmit data regarding the conditions of individual devices of the subplant equipment, such as operating efficiency, equipment degradation, a date since last service, a lifespan parameter, a condition grade, or other device-specific data. Subplant control module 628 may receive data from subplants 420, storage 430, and/or BMS 606 via communications interface 636. Subplant control module 628 may also receive and store on/off statuses and operating setpoints from low level optimizer 634.

Data and processing results from demand response optimizer 630, subplant control module 628, or other modules of central plant controller 600 may be accessed by (or pushed to) monitoring and reporting applications 626. Monitoring and reporting applications 626 may be configured to generate real time “system health” dashboards that can be viewed and navigated by a user (e.g., a system engineer). For example, monitoring and reporting applications 626 may include a web-based monitoring application with several graphical user interface (GUI) elements (e.g., widgets, dashboard controls, windows, etc.) for displaying key performance indicators (KPI) or other information to users of a GUI. In addition, the GUI elements may summarize relative energy use and intensity across energy storage systems in different buildings (real or modeled), different campuses, or the like. Other GUI elements or reports may be generated and shown based on available data that allow users to assess performance across one or more energy storage systems from one screen. The user interface or report (or underlying data engine) may be configured to aggregate and categorize operating conditions by building, building type, equipment type, and the like. The GUI elements may include charts or histograms that allow the user to visually analyze the operating parameters and power consumption for the devices of the energy storage system.

Still referring to FIG. 6, central plant controller 600 may include one or more GUI servers, web services 612, or GUI engines 614 to support monitoring and reporting applications 626. In various embodiments, applications 626, web services 612, and GUI engine 614 may be provided as separate components outside of central plant controller 600 (e.g., as part of a smart building manager). Central plant controller 600 may be configured to maintain detailed historical databases (e.g., relational databases, XML databases, etc.) of relevant data and includes computer code modules that continuously, frequently, or infrequently query, aggregate, transform, search, or otherwise process the data maintained in the detailed databases. Central plant controller 600 may be configured to provide the results of any such processing to other databases, tables, XML files, or other data structures for further querying, calculation, or access by, for example, external monitoring and reporting applications.

Central plant controller 600 is shown to include configuration tools 616. Configuration tools 616 can allow a user to define (e.g., via graphical user interfaces, via prompt-driven “wizards,” etc.) how central plant controller 600 should react to changing conditions in the energy storage subsystems. In an exemplary embodiment, configuration tools 616 allow a user to build and store condition-response scenarios that can cross multiple energy storage system devices, multiple building systems, and multiple enterprise control applications (e.g., work order management system applications, entity resource planning applications, etc.). For example, configuration tools 616 can provide the user with the ability to combine data (e.g., from subsystems, from event histories) using a variety of conditional logic. In varying exemplary embodiments, the conditional logic can range from simple logical operators between conditions (e.g., AND, OR, XOR, etc.) to pseudo-code constructs or complex programming language functions (allowing for more complex interactions, conditional statements, loops, etc.). Configuration tools 616 can present user interfaces for building such conditional logic. The user interfaces may allow users to define policies and responses graphically. In some embodiments, the user interfaces may allow a user to select a pre-stored or pre-constructed policy and adapt it or enable it for use with their system.

Planning Tool

Referring now to FIG. 7, a block diagram of a planning tool 700 in which asset allocator 402 can be implemented is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Planning tool 700 may be configured to use demand response optimizer 630 to simulate the operation of a central plant over a predetermined time period (e.g., a day, a month, a week, a year, etc.) for planning, budgeting, and/or design considerations. When implemented in planning tool 700, demand response optimizer 630 may operate in a similar manner as described with reference to FIG. 6. For example, demand response optimizer 630 may use building loads and utility rates to determine an optimal resource allocation to minimize cost over a simulation period. However, planning tool 700 may not be responsible for real-time control of a building management system or central plant.

Planning tool 700 can be configured to determine the benefits of investing in a battery asset and the financial metrics associated with the investment. Such financial metrics can include, for example, the internal rate of return (IRR), net present value (NPV), and/or simple payback period (SPP). Planning tool 700 can also assist a user in determining the size of the battery which yields optimal financial metrics such as maximum NPV or a minimum SPP. In some embodiments, planning tool 700 allows a user to specify a battery size and automatically determines the benefits of the battery asset from participating in selected IBDR programs while performing PBDR. In some embodiments, planning tool 700 is configured to determine the battery size that minimizes SPP given the IBDR programs selected and the requirement of performing PBDR. In some embodiments, planning tool 700 is configured to determine the battery size that maximizes NPV given the IBDR programs selected and the requirement of performing PBDR.

In planning tool 700, asset allocator 402 may receive planned loads and utility rates for the entire simulation period. The planned loads and utility rates may be defined by input received from a user via a client device 722 (e.g., user-defined, user selected, etc.) and/or retrieved from a plan information database 726. Asset allocator 402 uses the planned loads and utility rates in conjunction with subplant curves from low level optimizer 634 to determine an optimal resource allocation (i.e., an optimal dispatch schedule) for a portion of the simulation period.

The portion of the simulation period over which asset allocator 402 optimizes the resource allocation may be defined by a prediction window ending at a time horizon. With each iteration of the optimization, the prediction window is shifted forward and the portion of the dispatch schedule no longer in the prediction window is accepted (e.g., stored or output as results of the simulation). Load and rate predictions may be predefined for the entire simulation and may not be subject to adjustments in each iteration. However, shifting the prediction window forward in time may introduce additional plan information (e.g., planned loads and/or utility rates) for the newly-added time slice at the end of the prediction window. The new plan information may not have a significant effect on the optimal dispatch schedule since only a small portion of the prediction window changes with each iteration.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 requests all of the subplant curves used in the simulation from low level optimizer 634 at the beginning of the simulation. Since the planned loads and environmental conditions are known for the entire simulation period, asset allocator 402 may retrieve all of the relevant subplant curves at the beginning of the simulation. In some embodiments, low level optimizer 634 generates functions that map subplant production to equipment level production and resource use when the subplant curves are provided to asset allocator 402. These subplant to equipment functions may be used to calculate the individual equipment production and resource use (e.g., in a post-processing module) based on the results of the simulation.

Still referring to FIG. 7, planning tool 700 is shown to include a communications interface 704 and a processing circuit 706. Communications interface 704 may include wired or wireless interfaces (e.g., jacks, antennas, transmitters, receivers, transceivers, wire terminals, etc.) for conducting data communications with various systems, devices, or networks. For example, communications interface 704 may include an Ethernet card and port for sending and receiving data via an Ethernet-based communications network and/or a WiFi transceiver for communicating via a wireless communications network. Communications interface 704 may be configured to communicate via local area networks or wide area networks (e.g., the Internet, a building WAN, etc.) and may use a variety of communications protocols (e.g., BACnet, IP, LON, etc.).

Communications interface 704 may be a network interface configured to facilitate electronic data communications between planning tool 700 and various external systems or devices (e.g., client device 722, results database 728, plan information database 726, etc.). For example, planning tool 700 may receive planned loads and utility rates from client device 722 and/or plan information database 726 via communications interface 704. Planning tool 700 may use communications interface 704 to output results of the simulation to client device 722 and/or to store the results in results database 728.

Still referring to FIG. 7, processing circuit 706 is shown to include a processor 710 and memory 712. Processor 710 may be a general purpose or specific purpose processor, an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), one or more field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs), a group of processing components, or other suitable processing components. Processor 710 may be configured to execute computer code or instructions stored in memory 712 or received from other computer readable media (e.g., CDROM, network storage, a remote server, etc.).

Memory 712 may include one or more devices (e.g., memory units, memory devices, storage devices, etc.) for storing data and/or computer code for completing and/or facilitating the various processes described in the present disclosure. Memory 712 may include random access memory (RAM), read-only memory (ROM), hard drive storage, temporary storage, non-volatile memory, flash memory, optical memory, or any other suitable memory for storing software objects and/or computer instructions. Memory 712 may include database components, object code components, script components, or any other type of information structure for supporting the various activities and information structures described in the present disclosure. Memory 712 may be communicably connected to processor 710 via processing circuit 706 and may include computer code for executing (e.g., by processor 710) one or more processes described herein.

Still referring to FIG. 7, memory 712 is shown to include a GUI engine 716, web services 714, and configuration tools 718. In an exemplary embodiment, GUI engine 716 includes a graphical user interface component configured to provide graphical user interfaces to a user for selecting or defining plan information for the simulation (e.g., planned loads, utility rates, environmental conditions, etc.). Web services 714 may allow a user to interact with planning tool 700 via a web portal and/or from a remote system or device (e.g., an enterprise control application).

Configuration tools 718 can allow a user to define (e.g., via graphical user interfaces, via prompt-driven “wizards,” etc.) various parameters of the simulation such as the number and type of subplants, the devices within each subplant, the subplant curves, device-specific efficiency curves, the duration of the simulation, the duration of the prediction window, the duration of each time step, and/or various other types of plan information related to the simulation. Configuration tools 718 can present user interfaces for building the simulation. The user interfaces may allow users to define simulation parameters graphically. In some embodiments, the user interfaces allow a user to select a pre-stored or pre-constructed simulated plant and/or plan information (e.g., from plan information database 726) and adapt it or enable it for use in the simulation.

Still referring to FIG. 7, memory 712 is shown to include demand response optimizer 630. Demand response optimizer 630 may use the planned loads and utility rates to determine an optimal resource allocation over a prediction window. The operation of demand response optimizer 630 may be the same or similar as previously described with reference to FIG. 6. With each iteration of the optimization process, demand response optimizer 630 may shift the prediction window forward and apply the optimal resource allocation for the portion of the simulation period no longer in the prediction window. Demand response optimizer 630 may use the new plan information at the end of the prediction window to perform the next iteration of the optimization process. Demand response optimizer 630 may output the applied resource allocation to reporting applications 730 for presentation to a client device 722 (e.g., via user interface 724) or storage in results database 728.

Still referring to FIG. 7, memory 712 is shown to include reporting applications 730. Reporting applications 730 may receive the optimized resource allocations from demand response optimizer 630 and, in some embodiments, costs associated with the optimized resource allocations. Reporting applications 730 may include a web-based reporting application with several graphical user interface (GUI) elements (e.g., widgets, dashboard controls, windows, etc.) for displaying key performance indicators (KPI) or other information to users of a GUI. In addition, the GUI elements may summarize relative energy use and intensity across various plants, subplants, or the like. Other GUI elements or reports may be generated and shown based on available data that allow users to assess the results of the simulation. The user interface or report (or underlying data engine) may be configured to aggregate and categorize resource allocation and the costs associated therewith and provide the results to a user via a GUI. The GUI elements may include charts or histograms that allow the user to visually analyze the results of the simulation. An exemplary output that may be generated by reporting applications 730 is shown in FIG. 8.

Referring now to FIG. 8, several graphs 800 illustrating the operation of planning tool 700 are shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. With each iteration of the optimization process, planning tool 700 selects an optimization period (i.e., a portion of the simulation period) over which the optimization is performed. For example, planning tool 700 may select optimization period 802 for use in the first iteration. Once the optimal resource allocation 810 has been determined, planning tool 700 may select a portion 818 of resource allocation 810 to send to plant dispatch 830. Portion 818 may be the first b time steps of resource allocation 810. Planning tool 700 may shift the optimization period 802 forward in time, resulting in optimization period 804. The amount by which the prediction window is shifted may correspond to the duration of time steps b.

Planning tool 700 may repeat the optimization process for optimization period 804 to determine the optimal resource allocation 812. Planning tool 700 may select a portion 820 of resource allocation 812 to send to plant dispatch 830. Portion 820 may be the first b time steps of resource allocation 812. Planning tool 700 may then shift the prediction window forward in time, resulting in optimization period 806. This process may be repeated for each subsequent optimization period (e.g., optimization periods 806, 808, etc.) to generate updated resource allocations (e.g., resource allocations 814, 816, etc.) and to select portions of each resource allocation (e.g., portions 822, 824) to send to plant dispatch 830. Plant dispatch 830 includes the first b time steps 818-824 from each of optimization periods 802-808. Once the optimal resource allocation is compiled for the entire simulation period, the results may be sent to reporting applications 730, results database 728, and/or client device 722, as described with reference to FIG. 7.

Asset Allocator

Referring now to FIG. 9, a block diagram illustrating asset allocator 402 in greater detail is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Asset allocator 402 may be configured to control the distribution, production, storage, and usage of resources in a central plant. As discussed above, asset allocator 402 can be configured to minimize the economic cost (or maximize the economic value) of operating a central plant over the duration of the optimization period. The economic cost may be defined by a cost function J(x) that expresses economic cost as a function of the control decisions made by asset allocator 402. The cost function J(x) may account for the cost of resources purchased from sources 410, as well as the revenue generated by selling resources to resource purchasers 441 or energy grid 442 or participating in incentive programs.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 performs an optimization process determine an optimal set of control decisions for each time step within an optimization period. The control decisions may include, for example, an optimal amount of each resource to purchase from sources 410, an optimal amount of each resource to produce or convert using subplants 420, an optimal amount of each resource to store or remove from storage 430, an optimal amount of each resource to sell to resources purchasers 441 or energy grid 440, and/or an optimal amount of each resource to provide to other sinks 440. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 is configured to optimally dispatch all campus energy assets in order to meet the requested heating, cooling, and electrical loads of the campus for each time step within the optimization period.

Throughout this disclosure, asset allocator 402 is described as actively identifying or defining various items (e.g., sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, sinks 440, operational domains, etc.). However, it should be understood that asset allocator 402 can also, or alternatively, receive such items as inputs. For example, the existence of such items can be defined by a user (e.g., via a user interface) or any other data source (e.g., another algorithm, an external system or process, etc.). Asset allocator 402 can be configured to identify which of these items have been defined or identified and can generate an appropriate cost function and optimization constraints based on the existence of these items. It should be understood that the acts of identifying or defining these items can include asset allocator 402 identifying, detecting, receiving, or otherwise obtaining a predefined item an input.

Optimization Framework

Asset allocator 402 is shown to include an optimization framework module 902. Optimization framework module 902 can be configured to define an optimization framework for the optimization problem solved by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, optimization framework module 902 defines the optimization problem as a mixed integer linear program (MILP). The MILP framework provides several advantages over the linear programming framework used in previous systems. For example, the MILP framework can account for minimum turndowns on equipment, can ensure that the high level optimization problem computes a point on the subplant curve for heat recovery chillers, and can impose logical constraints on the optimization problem to compensate for poor mechanical design and/or design inefficiencies.

In some embodiments, the MILP created by optimization framework module 902 has the following form:

${\min\limits_{x,z}\mspace{11mu} {c_{x}^{T}x}} + {c_{z}^{T}z}$

subject to the following constraints:

A _(x) x+A _(z) z≤b

H _(x) x+H _(z) z=g

z=integer

where x∈

^(n) ^(x) is a vector of the continuous decision variables, z∈

^(n) ^(z) is a vector of the integer decision variables, c_(x) and c_(z) are the respective cost vectors for the continuous decision variables and integer decision variables, A_(x), A_(z), and b are the matrices and vector that describe the inequality constraints, and H_(x), H_(z), and g are the matrices and vector that describe the equality constraints.

Optimization Problem Construction

Still referring to FIG. 9, asset allocator 402 is shown to include an optimization problem constructor 910. Optimization problem constructor 910 can be configured to construct the high level (i.e., asset allocation) optimization problem solved by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, the high level optimization problem includes one or more of the elements of asset allocation system 400. For example, the optimization problem can include sinks 440, sources 410, subplants 420, and storage 430, as described with reference to FIG. 4. In some embodiments, the high level optimization problem includes airside units, which can be considered a type of energy storage in the mass of the building. The optimization problem may include site-specific constraints that can be added to compensate for mechanical design deficiencies.

In some embodiments, the optimization problem generated by optimization problem constructor 910 includes a set of links between sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, sinks 440, or other elements of the optimization problem. For example, the high level optimization problem can be viewed as a directed graph, as shown in FIGS. 5A-5B. The nodes of the directed graph can include sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440. The set of links can define the connections between the nodes, the cost of the connections between nodes (e.g., distribution costs), the efficiency of each connection, and the connections between site-specific constraints.

In some embodiments, the optimization problem generated by optimization problem constructor 910 includes an objective function. The objective function can include the sum of predicted utility usage costs over the horizon (i.e., the optimization period), the predicted demand charges, the total predicted incentive revenue over the prediction horizon, the sum of the predicted distribution costs, the sum of penalties on unmet and overmet loads over the prediction horizon, and/or the sum of the rate of change penalties over the prediction horizon (i.e., delta load penalties). All of these terms may add to the total cost, with the exception of the total predicted incentive revenue. The predicted incentive revenue may subtract from the total cost. For example, the objective function generated by optimization problem constructor 910 may have the following form:

${J(x)} = {{\sum\limits_{k = 1}^{h}\left( {{Source}\mspace{14mu} {Usage}\mspace{14mu} {Cost}} \right)_{k}} + \left( {{Total}\mspace{14mu} {Demand}\mspace{14mu} {Charges}} \right) - \left( {{Total}\mspace{14mu} {Incentives}} \right) + {\sum\limits_{k = 1}^{h}\left( {{Distribution}\mspace{14mu} {Cost}} \right)_{k}} + {\sum\limits_{k = 1}^{h}\left( {{{Unmet}/{Overmet}}\mspace{14mu} {Load}\mspace{14mu} {Penalties}} \right)_{k}} + {\sum\limits_{k = 1}^{h}\left( {{Rate}\mspace{14mu} {of}\mspace{14mu} {Change}\mspace{14mu} {Penalties}} \right)_{k}}}$

where the index k denotes a time step in the optimization period and h is the total number of time steps in the optimization period.

In some embodiments, the optimization problem generated by optimization problem constructor 910 includes a set of constraints. The set of constraints can include resource balance constraints (e.g., hot water balance, chilled water balance, electricity balance, etc.), operational domain constraints for each of subplants 420, state of charge (SOC) and storage capacity constraints for each of storage 430, decision variable constraints (e.g., subplant capacity constraints, charge and discharge of storage constraints, and storage capacity constraints), demand/peak usage constraints, auxiliary constraints, and any site specific or commissioned constraints. In some embodiments, the operational domain constraints are generalized versions of the subplant curves. The operational domain constraints can be generated by operational domain module 904 (described in greater detail below). The decision variable constraints may be box constraints of the form x_(lb)≤x≤x_(ub), where x is a decision variable and x_(lb) and x_(ub) are the lower and upper bound for the decision variable x.

The optimization problem generated by optimization problem constructor 910 can be considered a finite-horizon optimal control problem. The optimization problem may take the form:

minimize J(x) subject to resource balances, operational domains for subplants 420 (e.g., subplant curves), constraints to predict the SOC of storage 430, storage capacity constraints, subplant/storage box constraints (e.g., capacity constraints and discharge/charge rate constraints), demand/peak usage constraints, auxiliary constraints for rate of change variables, auxiliary constraints for demand charges, and site specific constraints.

In some embodiments, optimization problem constructor 910 applies an inventory balance constraint to each resource. One side of the inventory balance constraint for a given resource may include the total amount of the resource purchased from all sources 410, the total amount of the resource produced by all of subplants 420, the total amount of the resource discharged from storage 430 (negative values indicate charging storage 430), and unmet load. The other side of the inventory balance for the resource may include the total amount of the resource requested/predicted (uncontrolled load), carryover from the previous time step, the total amount of the resource consumed by all subplants 420 and airside units, overmet load, and the total amount of the resource sold. For example, the inventory balance for a resource may have the form:

${{\sum\limits_{i \in {\{{Sources}\}}}\left( {{Purchased}\mspace{14mu} {Resource}} \right)_{i}} + {\sum\limits_{j \in {\{{Subplants}\}}}\left( {{Produced}\mspace{14mu} {Resources}} \right)_{j}} + {\sum\limits_{k \in {\{{Storage}\}}}\left( {{Discharged}\mspace{14mu} {Storage}} \right)_{k}} + {{Unmet}\mspace{14mu} {Load}}} = {{{Requested}\mspace{14mu} {Load}} + {Carryover} + {\sum\limits_{j \in {\{{Subplants}\}}}{\left( {{Consumed}\mspace{14mu} {Resources}} \right)_{j}{\sum\limits_{i \in {\{{{Airside}\mspace{14mu} {Units}}\}}}\left( {{Consumed}\mspace{14mu} {Resources}} \right)_{l}}}} + {{Overmet}\mspace{14mu} {Load}} + {{Resource}\mspace{14mu} {Sold}}}$

Optimization problem constructor 910 may require this resource balance to be satisfied for each resource at each time step of the optimization period. Together the unmet and overmet load capture the accumulation of a resource. Negative accumulation (unmet load) are distinguished from positive accumulation (overmet load) because typically, overmet loads are not included in the resource balance. Even though unmet and overmet loads are listed separately, at most one of the two may be non-zero. The amount of carryover may be the amount of unmet/overmet load from the previous time step (described in greater detail below). The requested load may be determined by load/rate predictor 622 and provided as an input to the high level optimization problem.

Throughout this disclosure, the high level/asset allocator optimization problem or high level/asset allocator problem refers to the general optimization problem constructed by optimization problem constructor 910. A high level problem instance refers to a realization of the high level problem provided the input data and parameters. The high level optimization/asset allocation algorithm refers to the entire set of steps needed to solve a high level problem instance (i.e., encapsulates both the set of mathematical operations and the implementation or software design required to setup and solve a high level problem instance. Finally, a high level problem element or high level element refers to any of the elements of the high level problem including sinks 440, sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, or airside unit.

Element Models

Still referring to FIG. 9, asset allocator 402 is shown to include element models 930. Element models 930 may store definitions and/or models for various elements of the high level optimization problem. For example, element models 930 are shown to include sink models 932, source models 934, subplant models 936, storage models 938, and element links 940. In some embodiments, element models 930 include data objects that define various attributes or properties of sinks 440, sources 410, subplants 420, and storage 430 (e.g., using object-oriented programming).

For example, source models 934 may define the type of resource provided by each of sources 410, a cost of each resource, demand charges associated with the consumption of the resource, a maximum rate at which the resource can be purchased from each of sources 410, and other attributes of sources 410. Similarly, subplant models 936 may define the input resources of each subplant 420, the output resources of each subplant 420, relationships between the input and output variables of each subplant 420 (i.e., the operational domain of each subplant 420), and optimization constraints associated with each of subplants 420. Each of element models 930 are described in greater detail below.

Sink Models

Element models 930 are shown to include sink models 932. Sink models 932 may store models for each of sinks 440. As described above, sinks 440 may include resource consumers or requested loads. Some examples are the campus thermal loads and campus electricity usage. The predicted consumption of a sink 440 over the optimization period can be supplied as an input to asset allocator 401 and/or computed by load/rate predictor 622. Sink models 932 may store the predicted consumption over the optimization period for each of sinks 440. Sink models 932 may also store any unmet/overmet load for each of sinks 440, carryover from the previous time steps, and any incentives earned by supplying each of sinks 440 (e.g., for sinks such as an energy purchasers or an energy grid).

Carryover can be defined as the amount of unmet or overmet load for a particular resource from the previous time step. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 determines the carryover by adding the entire unmet load for a particular resource in one time step to the requested load for the resource at the next time step. However, calculating the carryover in this manner may not always be appropriate since the carryover may grow over time. As an example, consider an unmet chilled water load. If there are several time steps where the chilled water load is not met, the buildings supplied by the load will heat up. Due to this increase in building temperature, the amount of chilled water load required to decrease the building temperature to the set-point is not a linearly increasing function of the sum of the unmet load over the past time steps because the building temperature will begin approaching the ambient temperature.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 adds a forgetting factor to the carryover. For example, asset allocator 402 can calculate the carryover for each time step using the following equation:

carryover_(j+1)=γ_(j)·unmet/overmet;

where unmet/overmet_(j) is the amount of unmet and/or overmet load at time step j, carryover_(j+1) is the carryover added to the right-hand side of the inventory balance at the next time step j+1, and γ_(j)∈[0,1] is the forgetting factor. Selecting γ=0 corresponds to case where no unmet/overmet load is carried over to the next time step, whereas selecting γ_(j)=1 corresponds to case where all unmet/overmet load is carried over to the next time step. An intermediate selection of γ_(j) (i.e., 0≤γ_(j)≤1) corresponds to the case where some, but not all, of the unmet/overmet load is carried over. For the case of a chilled water system, the choice of γ_(j) may depend on the plant itself and can be determined using the amount of unmet load that actually stored in the water (temperature would increase above the setpoint) when an unmet load occurs.

Source Models

Still referring to FIG. 9, element models 930 are shown to include source models 934. Source models 934 may store models for each of sources 410. As described above, sources 410 may include utilities or markets where resources may be purchased. Source models 934 may store a price per unit of a resource purchased from each of sources 410 (e.g., $/kWh of electricity, $/liter of water, etc.). This cost can be included as a direct cost associated with resource usage in the cost function. In some embodiments, source models 934 store costs associated with demand charges and demand constraints, incentive programs (e.g., frequency response and economic demand response) and/or sell back programs for one or more of sources 410.

In some embodiments, the cost function J(x) includes a demand charge based on peak electrical usage during a demand charge period (e.g., during a month). This demand charge may be based on the maximum rate of electricity usage at any time in the demand charge period. There are several other types of demand charges besides the anytime monthly demand charge for electricity including, for example, time-of-day monthly and yearlong ratchets. Some or all of these demand charges can be added to the cost function depending on the particular types of demand charges imposed by sources 410. In some embodiments, demand charges are defined as follows:

${wc}\mspace{14mu} {\max\limits_{i \in T_{demand}}\mspace{14mu} \left\{ x_{i} \right\}}$

where x_(i) represents the resource purchase at time step i of the optimization period, c>0 is the demand charge rate, w is a (potentially time-varying) weight applied to the demand charge term to address any discrepancies between the optimization period and the time window over which the demand charge is applied, and T_(demand)⊆{1, . . . , h} is the subinterval of the optimization period to which the demand charge is applied. Source models 934 can store values for some or all of the parameters that define the demand charges and the demand charge periods.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 accounts for demand charges within a linear programming framework by introducing an auxiliary continuous variable. This technique is described in greater detail with reference to demand charge module 906. While this type of term may readily be cast into a linear programming framework, it can be difficult to determine the weighting coefficient w when the demand charge period is different from the optimization period. Nevertheless, through a judicious choice of the two adjustable parameters for demand charges (i.e., the weighting coefficient w and the initial value of the auxiliary demand variable), other types of demand charges may be included in the high level optimization problem.

In some embodiments, source models 934 store parameters of various incentive programs offered by sources 410. For example, the source definition 934 for an electric utility may define a capability clearing price, a performance clearing price, a regulation award, or other parameters that define the benefits (e.g., potential revenue) of participating in a frequency regulation program. In some embodiments, source models 934 define a decision variable in the optimization problem that accounts for the capacity of a battery reserved for frequency regulation. This variable effectively reduces the capacity of the battery that is available for priced-based demand response. Depending on the complexity of the decision, source models 934 may also define a decision variable that indicates whether to participate in the incentive program. In asset allocator 402, storage capacity may be reserved for participation in incentive programs. Low level optimizer 634 can then be used to control the reserved capacity that is charged/discharged for the incentive program (e.g., frequency response control).

In some embodiments, source models 934 store pricing information for the resources sold by sources 410. The pricing information can include time-varying pricing information, progressive or regressive resource prices (e.g., prices that depend on the amount of the resource purchased), or other types of pricing structures. Progressive and regressive resource prices may readily be incorporated into the optimization problem by leveraging the set of computational operations introduced by the operational domain. In the case of either a progressive rate that is a discontinuous function of the usage or for any regressive rate, additional binary variables can be introduced into the optimization problem to properly describe both of these rates. For progressive rates that are continuous functions of the usage, no binary variables are needed because one may apply a similar technique as that used for imposing demand charges.

Referring now to FIG. 10, a graph 1000 depicting a progressive rate structure for a resource is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. The cost per unit of the resource purchased can be described by the following continuous function:

${Cost} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{{p_{1}u} + b_{1}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu} u} \in \left\lbrack {0,u_{1}} \right\rbrack} \\ {{{p_{2}u} + b_{2}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu} u} \in \left\lbrack {u_{1},u_{2}} \right\rbrack} \\ {{{p_{3}u} + b_{3}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu} u} \in \left\lbrack {u_{2},u_{3}} \right\rbrack} \end{matrix} \right.$

where p_(i) is the price of the ith interval, b_(i) is the offset of the ith interval, u is the amount of the resource purchased, and p_(i)u_(i)+b_(i)=p_(i+1)u_(i)+b_(i) for i=1,2. Although the rate depicted in graph 1000 represents a cost, negative prices may be used to account for profits earned by selling back resources. Source models 934 can store values for some of all of these parameters in order to fully define the cost of resource purchases and/or the revenue generated from resource sales.

In the cost function J(x), the following term can be used to describe progressive rates:

$\max\limits_{i \in {\{{1,2,3}\}}}\left\{ {{p_{i}u} + b_{i}} \right\}$

Since the goal is to minimize cost, this term can be equivalently described in the optimization problem by introducing an auxiliary continuous variable C and the following constraints:

C≥0

p ₁ u+b ₁ ≤C

p ₂ u+b ₂ ≤C

p ₂ u+b ₂ ≤C

where C is the auxiliary variable that is equal to the cost of the resource. Source models 934 can define these constraints in order to enable progressive rate structures in the optimization problem.

In some embodiments, source models 934 stores definitions of any fixed costs associated with resource purchases from each of sources 410. These costs can be captured within the MILP framework. For example, let v∈{0,1} represent whether a source 410 is being utilized (v=0 means the source 410 is not used and v=1 means the source 410 is used) and let u∈[0, u_(max)] be the source usage where u_(max) represents the maximum usage. If the maximum usage is not known, u_(max) may be any arbitrarily large number that satisfies u<u_(max). Then, the following two constraints ensure that the binary variable v is zero when u=1 and is one when u>0:

u−u _(max) v≤0

u≥0

Asset allocator 402 can add the term c_(fixed)v to the cost function to account for fixed costs associated with each of sources 410, where c_(fixed) is the fixed cost. Source models 934 can define these constraints and terms in order to account for fixed costs associated with sources 410.

Subplant Models

Referring again to FIG. 9, element models 930 are shown to include subplant models 936. Subplant models 936 may store models for each of subplants 420. As discussed above, subplants 420 are the main assets of a central plant. Subplants 420 can be configured to convert resource types, making it possible to balance requested loads from the building or campus using resources purchased from sources 410. This general definition allows for a diverse set of central plant configurations and equipment types as well as varying degrees of subplant modeling fidelity and resolution.

In some embodiments, subplant models 936 identify each of subplants 420 as well as the optimization variables associated with each subplant. The optimization variables of a subplant can include the resources consumed, the resources produced, intrinsic variables, and extrinsic variables. Intrinsic variables may be internal to the optimization formulation and can include any auxiliary variables used to formulate the optimization problem. Extrinsic variables may be variables that are shared among subplants (e.g., condenser water temperature).

In some embodiments, subplant models 936 describe the relationships between the optimization variables of each subplant. For example, subplant models 936 can include subplant curves that define the output resource production of a subplant as a function of one or more input resources provided to the subplant. In some embodiments, operational domains are used to describe the relationship between the subplant variables. Mathematically, an operational domain is a union of a collection of polytopes in an n-dimensional (real) space that describe the admissible set of variables of a high level element. Operational domains are described in greater detail below.

In some embodiments, subplant models 936 store subplant constraints for each of subplants 420. Subplant constraints may be written in the following general form:

A _(x,j) x _(j) +A _(z,j) z _(j) ≤b _(j)

H _(x,j) x _(j) +H _(z,j) z _(j) =g _(j)

x _(lb,j) ≤x _(j) ≤x _(ub,j)

z _(lb,j) ≤z _(j) ≤z _(ub,j)

z _(j)=integer

for all j where j is an index representing the jth subplant, x_(j) denotes the continuous variables associated with the jth subplant (e.g., resource variables and auxiliary optimization variables), and z_(j) denotes the integer variables associated with the jth subplant (e.g., auxiliary binary optimization variables). The vectors x_(lb,j), x_(ub,j), z_(lb,j), and z_(ub,j) represent the box (bound) constraints on the decision variables. The matrices A_(x,j), A_(z,j), H_(x,j), and H_(z,j) and the vectors b_(j) and g_(j) are associated with the inequality constraints and the equality constraints for the jth subplant.

In some embodiments, subplant models 936 store the input data used to generate the subplant constraints. Such input data may include sampled data points of the high level subplant curve/operational domain. For example, for chiller subplant 422, this data may include several points sampled from the subplant curve 1300 (shown in FIG. 13). When implemented as part of an online operational tool (shown in FIG. 6), the high level subplant operational domain can be sampled by querying low level optimizer 634 at several requested production amounts. When implemented as part of an offline planning tool (shown in FIG. 7), the sampled data may be user-specified efficiency and capacity data.

Storage Models

Referring again to FIG. 9, element models 930 are shown to include storage models 938. Storage models 938 may store models for each of storage 430. Storage models 938 can define the types of resources stored by each of storage 430, as well as storage constraints that limit the state-of-charge (e.g., maximum charge level) and/or the rates at which each storage 430 can be charged or discharged. In some embodiments, the current level or capacity of storage 430 is quantified by the state-of-charge (SOC), which can be denoted by ϕ where ϕ=0 corresponds to empty and ϕ=1 corresponds to full. To describe the SOC as a function of the charge rate or discharge rate, a dynamic model can be stored as part of storage models 938. The dynamic model may have the form:

ϕ(k+1)=Aϕ(k)+Bu(k)

where ϕ(k) is the predicted state of charge at time step k of the optimization period, u(k) is the charge/discharge rate at time step k, and A and B are coefficients that account for dissipation of energy from storage 430. In some embodiments, A and B are time-varying coefficients. Accordingly, the dynamic model may have the form:

ϕ(k+1)=A(k)ϕ(k)+B(k)u(k)

where A(k) and B(k) are coefficients that vary as a function of the time step k.

Asset allocator 402 can be configured to add constraints based on the operational domain of storage 430. In some embodiments, the constraints link decision variables adjacent in time as defined by the dynamic model. For example, the constraints may link the decision variables ϕ(k+1) at time step k+1 to the decision variables ϕ(k) and u(k) at time step k. In some embodiments, the constraints link the SOC of storage 430 to the charge/discharge rate. Some or all of these constraints may be defined by the dynamic model and may depend on the operational domain of storage 430.

In some embodiments, storage models 938 store optimization constraints for each of storage 430. Storage constraints may be written in the following general form:

A _(x,k) x _(k) +A _(z,k) z _(k) ≤b _(k)

H _(x,k) x _(k) +H _(z,k) z _(k) =g _(k)

x _(lb,k) ≤x _(k) ≤x _(ub,k)

z _(lb,k) ≤z _(k) ≤z _(ub,k)

z _(k) integer

for all k where k is an index representing the kth storage device, x_(k) denotes the continuous variables associated with the kth storage device (e.g., resource variables and auxiliary optimization variables), and z_(k) denotes the integer variables associated with the kth storage device (e.g., auxiliary binary optimization variables). The vectors x_(lb,k), x_(ub,k), z_(lb,k), and z_(ub,k) represent the box (bound) constraints on the decision variables. The matrices A_(x,k), A_(z,k), H_(x,k), and H_(z,k) and the vectors b_(k) and g_(k) are associated with the inequality constraints and the equality constraints for the kth storage device.

The optimization constraints may ensure that the predicted SOC for each of storage 430 is maintained between a minimum SOC Q_(min) and a maximum SOC Q_(max). The optimization constraints may also ensure that the charge/discharge rate is maintained between a minimum charge rate {dot over (Q)}_(min) and maximum charge rate {dot over (Q)}_(max). In some embodiments, the optimization constraints include terminal constraints imposed on the SOC at the end of the optimization period. For example, the optimization constraints can ensure that one or more of storage 430 are full at the end of the optimization period (i.e., “tank forced full” constraints).

In some embodiments, storage models 938 store mixed constraints for each of storage 430. Mixed constraints may be needed in the case that the operational domain of storage 430 is similar to that shown in FIG. 11. FIG. 11 is a graph 1100 of an example operational domain for a thermal energy storage tank or thermal energy storage subplant (e.g., TES subplants 431-432). Graph 1100 illustrates a scenario in which the discharge rate is limited to less than a maximum discharge rate at low SOCs, whereas the charge rate is limited to less than a maximum charge rate at high SOCs. In a thermal energy storage tank, the constraints on the discharge rate at low SOCs may be due to mixing between layers of the tank. For TES subplants 431-432 and the TES tanks that form TES subplants 431-432, the SOC represents the fraction of the current tank level or:

$\varphi = \frac{Q - Q_{\min}}{Q_{\max} - Q_{\min}}$

where Q is the current tank level, Q_(min) is the minimum tank level, Q_(max) is the maximum tank level, and ϕ∈[0,1] is the SOC. Since the maximum rate of discharge or charge may depend on the SOC at low or high SOC, SOC dependent bounds on the maximum rate of discharge or charge may be included.

In some embodiments, storage models 938 store SOC models for each of storage 430. The SOC model for a thermal energy storage tank may be an integrator model given by:

${\varphi \left( {k + 1} \right)} = {{\varphi (k)} - {\delta \; t_{s}\frac{\overset{.}{Q}(k)}{Q_{\max} - Q_{\min}}}}$

where {dot over (Q)}(k) is the charge/discharge rate and δt_(s). Positive values of {dot over (Q)}(k) represent discharging, whereas negative values of {dot over (Q)}(k) represent charging. The mixed constraints depicted in FIG. 11 can be accounted for as follows:

a _(mixed)ϕ(k)+b _(mixed) ≤{dot over (Q)}(k)

0≤ϕ(k)≤1

−{dot over (Q)} _(charge,max) ≤{dot over (Q)}(k)≤{dot over (Q)} _(discharge,max)

where a_(mixed) and b_(mixed) are vectors of the same dimension that describe any mixed linear inequality constraints (e.g., constraints that depend on both the SOC and the discharge/charge rate). The second constraint (i.e., 0≤ϕ(k)≤1) is the constraint on the SOC. The last constraint limits the rate of charging and discharging within bound.

In some embodiments, storage models 938 include models that treat the air within the building and/or the building mass as a form of energy storage. However, one of the key differentiators between an airside mass and storage 430 is that additional care must be taken to ensure feasibility of the optimization problem (e.g., soft constraining of the state constraints). Nevertheless, airside optimization units share many common features and mathematical operations as storage 430. In some embodiments, a state-space representation of airside dynamics can be used to describe the predicted evolution of airside optimization units (e.g., building mass). Such a model may have the form:

x(k+1)=Ax(k)+Bu(k)

where x(k) is the airside optimization unit state vector, u(k) is the airside optimization unit input vector, and A and B are the system matrices. In general, an airside optimization unit or the control volume that the dynamic model describes may represent a region (e.g., multiple HVAC zones served by the same air handling unit) or an aggregate of several regions (e.g., an entire building).

Element Links

Still referring to FIG. 9, element models 930 are shown to include element links 940. In some embodiments, element links 940 define the connections between sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440. These links 940 are shown as lines connecting various elements in plant resource diagrams 500 and 550. For example, element links 940 may define which of sources 410 provide resources to each of subplants 420, which subplants 420 are connected to which storage 430, and which subplants 420 and/or storage 430 provide resources to each of sinks 440. Element links 940 may contain the data and methods needed to create and solve an instance of the high level optimization problem.

In some embodiments, element links 940 link sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and sinks 440 (i.e., the high level problem elements) using a netlist of connections between high level problem elements. The information provided by element links 940 may allow multiple subplants 420, storage 430, sinks 440, and sources of the same type to be defined. Rather than assuming that all elements contribute to and draw from a common pool of each resource, element links 940 can be used to specify the particular connections between elements. Accordingly, multiple resources of the same type can be defined such that a first subset of subplants 420 produce a first resource of a given type (e.g., Chilled Water A), whereas a second subset of subplants 420 produce a second resource of the same type (e.g., Chilled Water B). Such a configuration is shown in FIG. 5B. Advantageously, element links 940 can be used to build constraints that reflect the actual physical connections between equipment in a central plant.

In some embodiments, element links 940 are used to account for the distribution costs of resources between elements of asset allocation system 400 (e.g., from sources 410 to subplants 420, from subplants 420 to sinks 440, etc.) and/or the distribution efficiency of each connection. In some cases it may be necessary to include costs for delivering the resource along a connection, or an efficiency of the transportation (amount or percentage of resources received on the other side of the connection). Accounting for distribution costs and/or distribution efficiency may affect the result of the optimization in some situations. For example, consider a first chiller subplant 420 that is highly efficient and can provide a chilled water resource to sinks 440, but it costs significantly more (e.g., due to pumping costs etc.) to transport the resource from the first chiller subplant 420 rather than from a second chiller subplant 420. In that scenario, asset allocator 402 may determine that the first chiller subplant 420 should be used only if necessary. Additionally, energy could be lost during transportation along a particular connection (e.g., chilled water temperature may increase over a long pipe). This could be described as an efficiency of the connection.

The resource balance constraint can be modified to account for distribution efficiency as follows:

${{{\sum\limits_{sources}{\alpha_{{source},{resource}}{purchase}_{{resource},{time}}}} + {\sum\limits_{subplants}{\alpha_{{subplant},{resource}}{{produces}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},x_{{external},{time}},v_{{uncontrolled},{time}}} \right)}}} - {\sum\limits_{subplants}{\frac{1}{\alpha_{{source},{resource}}}{{consumes}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},x_{{external},{time}},v_{{uncontrolled},{time}}} \right)}}} + {\sum\limits_{storages}{{discharges}_{resource}\left( {x_{{internal},{time}},x_{{external},{time}}} \right)}} - {\frac{1}{\alpha_{{sink},{resource}}}{\sum\limits_{sinks}{requests}_{resource}}}} = {0\mspace{14mu} {\forall{resources}}}},{\forall{{time} \in {horizon}}}$

where the a terms are loss factors with values between zero and one.

The cost function can be modified to account for transportation costs as follows:

${J(x)} = {{\sum\limits_{sources}{\sum\limits_{horizon}{{cost}\left( {{purchase}_{{resource},\; {time}},{time}} \right)}}} + \ldots + {\sum\limits_{connection}{\lambda_{connection}{resource}_{connection}}}}$

where λ_(connection) is the cost per unit resource transported along a particular connection and resource_(connection) is the amount of the resource transported along the connection. Accordingly, the final term of the cost function accounts for transportation costs along each of the connections or links between elements in asset allocation system 400.

Demand Charges

Still referring to FIG. 9, asset allocator 402 is shown to include a demand charge module 906. Demand charge module 906 can be configured to modify the cost function J(x) and the optimization constraints to account for one or more demand charges. As previously described, demand charges are costs imposed by sources 410 based on the peak consumption of a resource from sources 410 during various demand charge periods (i.e., the peak amount of the resource purchased from the utility during any time step of the applicable demand charge period). For example, an electric utility may define one or more demand charge periods and may impose a separate demand charge based on the peak electric consumption during each demand charge period. Electric energy storage can help reduce peak consumption by storing electricity in a battery when energy consumption is low and discharging the stored electricity from the battery when energy consumption is high, thereby reducing peak electricity purchased from the utility during any time step of the demand charge period.

In some instances, one or more of the resources purchased from 410 are subject to a demand charge or multiple demand charges. There are many types of potential demand charges as there are different types of energy rate structures. The most common energy rate structures are constant pricing, time of use (TOU), and real time pricing (RTP). Each demand charge may be associated with a demand charge period during which the demand charge is active. Demand charge periods can overlap partially or completely with each other and/or with the optimization period. Demand charge periods can include relatively long periods (e.g., monthly, seasonal, annual, etc.) or relatively short periods (e.g., days, hours, etc.). Each of these periods can be divided into several sub-periods including off-peak, partial-peak, and/or on-peak. Some demand charge periods are continuous (e.g., beginning Jan. 1, 2017 and ending Jan. 31, 2017), whereas other demand charge periods are non-continuous (e.g., from 11:00 AM-1:00 PM each day of the month).

Over a given optimization period, some demand charges may be active during some time steps that occur within the optimization period and inactive during other time steps that occur during the optimization period. Some demand charges may be active over all the time steps that occur within the optimization period. Some demand charges may apply to some time steps that occur during the optimization period and other time steps that occur outside the optimization period (e.g., before or after the optimization period). In some embodiments, the durations of the demand charge periods are significantly different from the duration of the optimization period.

Advantageously, demand charge module 906 may be configured to account for demand charges in the high level optimization process performed by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, demand charge module 906 incorporates demand charges into the optimization problem and the cost function J(x) using demand charge masks and demand charge rate weighting factors. Each demand charge mask may correspond to a particular demand charge and may indicate the time steps during which the corresponding demand charge is active and/or the time steps during which the demand charge is inactive. Each rate weighting factor may also correspond to a particular demand charge and may scale the corresponding demand charge rate to the time scale of the optimization period.

The demand charge term of the cost function J(x) can be expressed as:

${J(x)} = {\ldots {\sum\limits_{s \in {sources}}{\sum\limits_{q \in {demands}_{s}}{w_{{demand},s,q}r_{{demand},s,q}{\max\limits_{i \in {demand}_{s,q}}{\left( {purchase}_{s,i} \right)\mspace{11mu} \ldots}}}}}}$

where the max( ) function selects the maximum amount of the resource purchased from source s during any time step i that occurs during the optimization period. However, the demand charge period associated with demand charge q may not cover all of the time steps that occur during the optimization period. In order to apply the demand charge q to only the time steps during which the demand charge q is active, demand charge module 906 can add a demand charge mask to the demand charge term as shown in the following equation:

${J(x)} = {\ldots {\sum\limits_{s \in {sources}}{\sum\limits_{q \in {demands}_{s}}{w_{{demand},s,q}r_{{demand},s,q}{\max\limits_{i \in {demand}_{s,q}}{\left( {g_{s,q,i}{purchase}_{s,i}} \right)\mspace{11mu} \ldots}}}}}}$

where g_(s,q,i) is an element of the demand charge mask.

The demand charge mask may be a logical vector including an element g_(s,q,i) for each time step i that occurs during the optimization period. Each element g_(s,q,i) of the demand charge mask may include a binary value (e.g., a one or zero) that indicates whether the demand charge q for source s is active during the corresponding time step i of the optimization period. For example, the element g_(s,q,i) may have a value of one (i.e., g_(s,q,i)=1) if demand charge q is active during time step i and a value of zero (i.e., g_(s,q,i)=0) if demand charge q is inactive during time step i. An example of a demand charge mask is shown in the following equation:

g _(s,q)=[0,0,0,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,1,1]^(T)

where g_(s,q,1), g_(s,q,2), g_(s,q,3), g_(s,q,8), g_(s,q,9), and g_(s,q,10) have values of zero, whereas g_(s,q,4), g_(s,q,5), g_(s,q,6), g_(s,q,7), g_(s,q,11), and g_(s,q,12) have values of one. This indicates that the demand charge q is inactive during time steps i=1, 2, 3,8,9, 10 (i.e., g_(s,q,i)=0 ∀i=1, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10) and active during time steps i=4, 5, 6, 7, 11, 12 (i.e., g_(s,q,i)=1 ∀i=4, 5, 6, 7, 11, 12). Accordingly, the term g_(s,q,i)purchase_(s,i) within the max( ) function may have a value of zero for all time steps during which the demand charge q is inactive. This causes the max( ) function to select the maximum purchase from source s that occurs during only the time steps for which the demand charge q is active.

In some embodiments, demand charge module 906 calculates the weighting factor w_(demand,s,q) for each demand charge q in the cost function J(x). The weighting factor w_(demand,s,q) may be a ratio of the number of time steps the corresponding demand charge q is active during the optimization period to the number of time steps the corresponding demand charge q is active in the remaining demand charge period (if any) after the end of the optimization period. For example, demand charge module 906 can calculate the weighting factor w_(demand,s,q) using the following equation:

$w_{{demand},s,q} = \frac{\sum_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}g_{s,q,i}}{\sum_{i = {k + h}}^{{period}\; \_ \; {end}}g_{s,q,i}}$

where the numerator is the summation of the number of time steps the demand charge q is active in the optimization period (i.e., from time step k to time step k+h−1) and the denominator is the number of time steps the demand charge q is active in the portion of the demand charge period that occurs after the optimization period (i.e., from time step k+h to the end of the demand charge period).

The following example illustrates how demand charge module 906 can incorporate multiple demand charges into the cost function J(x). In this example, a single source of electricity (e.g., an electric grid) is considered with multiple demand charges applicable to the electricity source (i.e., q=1 . . . N, where N is the total number of demand charges). The system includes a battery asset which can be allocated over the optimization period by charging or discharging the battery during various time steps. Charging the battery increases the amount of electricity purchased from the electric grid, whereas discharging the battery decreases the amount of electricity purchased from the electric grid.

Demand charge module 906 can modify the cost function J(x) to account for the N demand charges as shown in the following equation:

${J(x)} = {\ldots \; + {w_{d_{1}}r_{d_{1}}{\max\limits_{i}\left( {g_{1_{i}}\left( {{- P_{{bat}_{i}}} + {eLoad}_{i}} \right)} \right)}} + \ldots + {w_{d_{q}}r_{d_{q}}{\max\limits_{i}\left( {g_{q_{i}}\left( {{- P_{{bat}_{i}}} + {eLoad}_{i}} \right)} \right)}} + \ldots + {w_{d_{N}}r_{d_{N}}{\max\limits_{i}\left( {g_{N_{i}}\left( {{- P_{{bat}_{i}}} + {eLoad}_{i}} \right)} \right)}}}$

where the term −P_(bat) _(i) +eLoad_(i) represents the total amount of electricity purchased from the electric grid during time step i (i.e., the total electric load eLoad_(i) minus the power discharged from the battery P_(bat) _(i) ). Each demand charge q=1 . . . N can be accounted for separately in the cost function J(x) by including a separate max( ) function for each of the N demand charges. The parameter r_(d) _(q) indicates the demand charge rate associated with the qth demand charge (e.g., $/kW) and the weighting factor w_(d) _(q) indicates the weight applied to the qth demand charge.

Demand charge module 906 can augment each max( ) function with an element g_(q) _(i) of the demand charge mask for the corresponding demand charge. Each demand charge mask may be a logical vector of binary values which indicates whether the corresponding demand charge is active or inactive at each time step i of the optimization period. Accordingly, each max( ) function may select the maximum electricity purchase during only the time steps the corresponding demand charge is active. Each max( ) function can be multiplied by the corresponding demand charge rate r_(d) _(q) and the corresponding demand charge weighting factor w_(d) _(q) to determine the total demand charge resulting from the battery allocation P_(bat) over the duration of the optimization period.

In some embodiments, demand charge module 906 linearizes the demand charge terms of the cost function J(x) by introducing an auxiliary variable d_(q) for each demand charge q. In the case of the previous example, this will result in N auxiliary variables d₁ . . . d_(N) being introduced as decision variables in the cost function J(x). Demand charge module 906 can modify the cost function J(x) to include the linearized demand charge terms as shown in the following equation:

J(x)= . . . +w _(d) ₁ r _(d) ₁ d ₁ + . . . +w _(d) _(q) r _(d) _(q) d _(q) + . . . +w _(d) _(N) r _(d) _(N) d _(N)

Demand charge module 906 can impose the following constraints on the auxiliary demand charge variables d₁ . . . d_(N) to ensure that each auxiliary demand charge variable represents the maximum amount of electricity purchased from the electric utility during the applicable demand charge period:

d₁ ≥ g_(1_(i))(−P_(bat_(i)) + eLoad_(i))  ∀i = k  …  k + h − 1, g_(1_(i)) ≠ 0      d₁ ≥ 0        ⋮ d_(q) ≥ g_(q_(i))(−P_(bat_(i)) + eLoad_(i))  ∀i = k  …  k + h − 1, g_(q_(i)) ≠ 0      d_(q) ≥ 0        ⋮ d_(N) ≥ g_(N_(i))(−P_(bat_(i)) + eLoad_(i))  ∀i = k  …  k + h − 1, g_(N_(i)) ≠ 0      d_(N) ≥ 0        ⋮

In some embodiments, the number of constraints corresponding to each demand charge q is dependent on how many time steps the demand charge q is active during the optimization period. For example, the number of constraints for the demand charge q may be equal to the number of non-zero elements of the demand charge mask g_(q). Furthermore, the value of the auxiliary demand charge variable d_(q) at each iteration of the optimization may act as the lower bound of the value of the auxiliary demand charge variable d_(q) at the following iteration.

Consider the following example of a multiple demand charge structure. In this example, an electric utility imposes three monthly demand charges. The first demand charge is an all-time monthly demand charge of 15.86 $/kWh which applies to all hours within the entire month. The second demand charge is an on-peak monthly demand charge of 1.56 $/kWh which applies each day from 12:00-18:00. The third demand charge is a partial-peak monthly demand charge of 0.53 $/kWh which applies each day from 9:00-12:00 and from 18:00-22:00.

For an optimization period of one day and a time step of one hour (i.e., i=1 . . . 24), demand charge module 906 may introduce three auxiliary demand charge variables. The first auxiliary demand charge variable d₁ corresponds to the all-time monthly demand charge; the second auxiliary demand charge variable d₂ corresponds to the on-peak monthly demand charge; and the third auxiliary demand charge variable d₃ corresponds to the partial-peak monthly demand charge. Demand charge module 906 can constrain each auxiliary demand charge variable to be greater than or equal to the maximum electricity purchase during the hours the corresponding demand charge is active, using the inequality constraints described above.

Demand charge module 906 can generate a demand charge mask g_(q) for each of the three demand charges (i.e., q=1 . . . 3), where g_(q) includes an element for each time step of the optimization period (i.e., g_(q)=[g_(q) ₁ . . . g_(q) ₂₄ ]). The three demand charge masks can be defined as follows:

g ₁ _(i) =1 ∀i=1 . . . 24

g ₂ _(i) =1 ∀i=12 . . . 18

g ₃ _(i) =1 ∀i=9 . . . 12,18 . . . 22

with all other elements of the demand charge masks equal to zero. In this example, it is evident that more than one demand charge constraint will be active during the hours which overlap with multiple demand charge periods. Also, the weight of each demand charge over the optimization period can vary based on the number of hours the demand charge is active, as previously described.

In some embodiments, demand charge module 906 considers several different demand charge structures when incorporating multiple demand charges into the cost function J(x) and optimization constraints. Demand charge structures can vary from one utility to another, or the utility may offer several demand charge options. In order to incorporate the multiple demand charges within the optimization framework, a generally-applicable framework can be defined as previously described. Demand charge module 906 can translate any demand charge structure into this framework. For example, demand charge module 906 can characterize each demand charge by rates, demand charge period start, demand charge period end, and active hours. Advantageously, this allows demand charge module 906 to incorporate multiple demand charges in a generally-applicable format.

The following is another example of how demand charge module 906 can incorporate multiple demand charges into the cost function J(x). Consider, for example, monthly demand charges with all-time, on-peak, partial-peak, and off-peak. In this case, there are four demand charge structures, where each demand charge is characterized by twelve monthly rates, twelve demand charge period start (e.g., beginning of each month), twelve demand charge period end (e.g., end of each month), and hoursActive. The hoursActive is a logical vector where the hours over a year where the demand charge is active are set to one. When running the optimization over a given horizon, demand charge module 906 can implement the applicable demand charges using the hoursActive mask, the relevant period, and the corresponding rate.

In the case of an annual demand charge, demand charge module 906 can set the demand charge period start and period end to the beginning and end of a year. For the annual demand charge, demand charge module 906 can apply a single annual rate. The hoursActive demand charge mask can represent the hours during which the demand charge is active. For an annual demand charge, if there is an all-time, on-peak, partial-peak, and/or off-peak, this translates into at most four annual demand charges with the same period start and end, but different hoursActive and different rates.

In the case of a seasonal demand charge (e.g., a demand charge for which the maximum peak is determined over the indicated season period), demand charge module 906 can represent the demand charge as an annual demand charge. Demand charge module 906 can set the demand charge period start and end to the beginning and end of a year. Demand charge module 906 can set the hoursActive to one during the hours which belong to the season and to zero otherwise. For a seasonal demand charge, if there is an All-time, on-peak, partial, and/or off-peak, this translates into at most four seasonal demand charges with the same period start and end, but different hoursActive and different rates.

In the case of the average of the maximum of current month and the average of the maxima of the eleven previous months, demand charge module 906 can translate the demand charge structure into a monthly demand charge and an annual demand charge. The rate of the monthly demand charge may be half of the given monthly rate and the annual rate may be the sum of given monthly rates divided by two. These and other features of demand charge module 906 are described in greater detail in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 15/405,236 filed Jan. 12, 2017, the entire disclosure of which is incorporated by reference herein.

Incentive Programs

Referring again to FIG. 9, asset allocator 402 is shown to include an incentive program module 908. Incentive program module 908 may modify the optimization problem to account for revenue from participating in an incentive-based demand response (IBDR) program. IBDR programs may include any type of incentive-based program that provides revenue in exchange for resources (e.g., electric power) or a reduction in a demand for such resources. For example, asset allocation system 400 may provide electric power to an energy grid or an independent service operator as part of a frequency response program (e.g., PJM frequency response) or a synchronized reserve market. In a frequency response program, a participant contracts with an electrical supplier to maintain reserve power capacity that can be supplied or removed from an energy grid by tracking a supplied signal. The participant is paid by the amount of power capacity required to maintain in reserve. In other types of IBDR programs, asset allocation system 400 may reduce its demand for resources from a utility as part of a load shedding program. It is contemplated that asset allocation system 400 may participate in any number and/or type of IBDR programs.

In some embodiments, incentive program module 908 modifies the cost function J(x) to include revenue generated from participating in an economic load demand response (ELDR) program. ELDR is a type of IBDR program and similar to frequency regulation. In ELDR, the objective is to maximize the revenue generated by the program, while using the battery to participate in other programs and to perform demand management and energy cost reduction. To account for ELDR program participation, incentive program module 908 can modify the cost function J(x) to include the following term:

$\min\limits_{b_{i},P_{bat_{i}}}\left( {- {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{b_{i}{r_{ELDR_{i}}\left( {{adjCBL}_{i} - \left( {{eLoad_{i}} - P_{bat_{i}}} \right)} \right)}}}} \right)$

where b_(i) is a binary decision variable indicating whether to participate in the ELDR program during time step i, r_(ELDR) _(i) is the ELDR incentive rate at which participation is compensated, and adjCBL_(i) is the symmetric additive adjustment (SAA) on the baseline load. The previous expression can be rewritten as:

$\min\limits_{b_{i},P_{{bat}_{i}}}\left( {- {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{b_{i}r_{ELDR_{i}}\left. \quad\left( {{\sum\limits_{l = 1}^{4}\frac{e_{li}}{4}} + {\sum\limits_{p = {m - 4}}^{m - 2}{\frac{1}{3}\left( {{{eLoa}d_{p}} - P_{bat_{p}} - {\sum\limits_{l = 1}^{4}\frac{e_{lp}}{4}}} \right)}} - \left( {{eLoad_{i}} - P_{bat_{i}}} \right)} \right) \right)}}} \right.$

where e_(li) and e_(lp) are the electric loads at the lth hour of the operating day.

In some embodiments, incentive program module 908 handles the integration of ELDR into the optimization problem as a bilinear problem with two multiplicative decision variables. In order to linearize the cost function J(x) and customize the ELDR problem to the optimization framework, several assumptions may be made. For example, incentive program module 908 can assume that ELDR participation is only in the real-time market, balancing operating reserve charges and make whole payments are ignored, day-ahead prices are used over the horizon, real-time prices are used in calculating the total revenue from ELDR after the decisions are made by the optimization algorithm, and the decision to participate in ELDR is made in advance and passed to the optimization algorithm based on which the battery asset is allocated.

In some embodiments, incentive program module 908 calculates the participation vector b_(i) as follows:

$b_{i} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} 1 & {\forall{{{i/r_{{DA}_{i}}} \geq {{NBT}_{i}\mspace{14mu} {and}\mspace{14mu} i}} \in S}} \\ 0 & {otherwise} \end{matrix} \right.$

where r_(DA) _(i) is the hourly day-ahead price at the ith hour, NBT_(i) is the net benefits test value corresponding to the month to which the corresponding hour belongs, and S is the set of nonevent days. Nonevent days can be determined for the year by choosing to participate every x number of days with the highest day-ahead prices out of y number of days for a given day type. This approach may ensure that there are nonevent days in the 45 days prior to a given event day when calculating the CBL for the event day.

Given these assumptions and the approach taken by incentive program module 908 to determine when to participate in ELDR, incentive program module 908 can adjust the cost function J(x) as follows:

${J(x)} = {{- {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{r_{e_{i}}P_{{bat}_{i}}}}} - {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{r_{{FR}_{i}}P_{{FR}_{i}}}} + {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{r_{S_{i}}s_{i}}} + {w_{d}r_{d}d} - {\sum\limits_{i = k}^{k + h - 1}{b_{i}{r_{{DA}_{i}}\left( {{\sum\limits_{p = {m - 4}}^{m - 2}{{- \frac{1}{3}}P_{{bat}_{p}}}} + P_{{bat}_{i}}} \right)}}}}$

where b_(i) and m are known over a given horizon. The resulting term corresponding to ELDR shows that the rates at the ith participation hour are doubled and those corresponding to the SAA are lowered. This means it is expected that high level optimizer 632 will tend to charge the battery during the SAA hours and discharge the battery during the participation hours. Notably, even though a given hour is set to be an ELDR participation hour, high level optimizer 632 may not decide to allocate any of the battery asset during that hour. This is due to the fact that it may be more beneficial at that instant to participate in another incentive program or to perform demand management.

To build the high level optimization problem, optimization problem constructor 910 may query the number of decision variables and constraints that each subplant 420, source 410, storage 430, and site specific constraint adds to the problem. In some embodiments, optimization problem constructor 910 creates optimization variable objects for each variable of the high level problem to help manage the flow of data. After the variable objects are created, optimization problem constructor 910 may pre-allocate the optimization matrices and vectors for the problem. Element links 940 can then be used to fill in the optimization matrices and vectors by querying each component. The constraints associated with each subplant 420 can be filled into the larger problem-wide optimization matrix and vector. Storage constraints can be added, along with demand constraints, demand charges, load balance constraints, and site-specific constraints.

Extrinsic Variables

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 is configured to optimize the use of extrinsic variables. Extrinsic variables can include controlled or uncontrolled variables that affect multiple subplants 420 (e.g., condenser water temperature, external conditions such as outside air temperature, etc.). In some embodiments, extrinsic variables affect the operational domain of multiple subplants 420. There are many methods that can be used to optimize the use of extrinsic variables. For example, consider a chiller subplant connected to a cooling tower subplant. The cooling tower subplant provides cooling for condenser water provided as an input to the chiller. Several scenarios outlining the use of extrinsic variables in this example are described below.

In a first scenario, both the chiller subplant and the tower subplant have operational domains that are not dependent on the condenser water temperatures. In this scenario, the condenser water temperature can be ignored (e.g., excluded from the set of optimization variables) since the neither of the operational domains are a function of the condenser water temperature.

In a second scenario, the chiller subplant has an operational domain that varies with the entering condenser water temperature. However, the cooling tower subplant has an operational domain that is not a function of the condenser water temperature. For example, the cooling tower subplant may have an operational domain that defines a relationship between fan power and water usage, independent from its leaving condenser water temperature or ambient air wet bulb temperature. In this case, the operational domain of the chiller subplant can be sliced (e.g., a cross section of the operational domain can be taken) at the condenser water temperature indicated at each point in the optimization period.

In a third scenario, the cooling tower subplant has an operational domain that depends on its leaving condenser water temperature. Both the entering condenser water temperature of the chiller subplant and the leaving condenser water temperature of the cooling tower subplant can be specified so the operational domain will be sliced at those particular values. In both the second scenario and the third scenario, asset allocator 402 may produce variables for the condenser water temperature. In the third scenario, asset allocator 402 may produce the variables for both the tower subplant and the chiller subplant. However, these variables will not become decision variables because they are simply specified directly

In a fourth scenario, the condenser water temperature affects the operational domains of both the cooling tower subplant and the chiller subplant. Because the condenser water temperature is not specified, it may become an optimization variable that can be optimized by asset allocator 402. In this scenario, the optimization variable is produced when the first subplant (i.e., either the chiller subplant or the cooling tower subplant) reports its optimization size. When the second subplant is queried, no additional variable is produced. Instead, asset allocator 402 may recognize the shared optimization variable as the same variable from the connection netlist.

When asset allocator 402 asks for constraints from the individual subplants 420, subplants 420 may send those constraints using local indexing. Asset allocator 402 may then disperse these constraints by making new rows in the optimization matrix, but also distributing the column to the correct columns based on its own indexing for the entire optimization problem. In this way, extrinsic variables such as condenser water temperature can be incorporated into the optimization problem in an efficient and optimal manner.

Commissioned Constraints

Some constraints may arise due to mechanical problems after the energy facility has been built. These constraints are site specific and may not be incorporated into the main code for any of the subplants or the high level problem itself. Instead, constraints may be added without software update on site during the commissioning phase of the project. Furthermore, if these additional constraints are known prior to the plant build they could be added to the design tool run. Commissioned constraints can be held by asset allocator 402 and can be added constraints to any of the ports or connections of subplants 420. Constraints can be added for the consumption, production, or extrinsic variables of a subplant.

As an example implementation, two new complex type internals can be added to the problem. These internals can store an array of constraint objects that include a dictionary to describe inequality and equality constraints, times during which the constraints are active, and the elements of the horizon the constraints affect. In some embodiments, the dictionaries have keys containing strings such as (subplantUserName).(portInternalName) and values that represent the linear portion of the constraint for that element of the constraint matrix. A special “port name” could exist to reference whether the subplant is running. A special key can be used to specify the constant part of the constraint or the right hand side. A single dictionary can describe a single linear constraint.

Operational Domains

Referring now to FIGS. 9 and 12, asset allocator 402 is shown to include an operational domain module 904. Operational domain module 904 can be configured to generate and store operational domains for various elements of the high level optimization problem. For example, operational domain module 904 can create and store operational domains for one or more of sources 410, subplants 420, storage 430, and/or sinks 440. The operational domains for subplants 420 may describe the relationship between the resources, intrinsic variables, and extrinsic variables, and constraints for the rate of change variables (delta load variables). The operational domains for sources 410 may include the constraints necessary to impose any progressive/regressive rates (other than demand charges). The operational domain for storage 430 may include the bounds on the state of charge, bounds on the rate of charge/discharge, and any mixed constraints.

In some embodiments, the operational domain is the fundamental building block used by asset allocator 402 to describe the models (e.g., optimization constraints) of each high level element. The operational domain may describe the admissible values of variables (e.g., the inputs and the outputs of the model) as well as the relationships between variables. Mathematically, the operational domain is a union of a collection of polytopes in an n-dimensional real space. Thus, the variables must take values in one of the polytopes of the operational domain. The operational domains generated by operational domain module 904 can be used to define and impose constraints on the high level optimization problem.

Referring particularly to FIG. 12, a block diagram illustrating operational domain module 904 in greater detail is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Operational domain module 904 can be configured to construct an operational domain for one or more elements of asset allocation system 400. In some embodiments, operational domain module 904 converts sampled data points into a collection of convex regions making up the operational domain and then generates constraints based on the vertices of the convex regions. Being able to convert sampled data points into constraints gives asset allocator 402 much generality. This conversion methodology is referred to as the constraint generation process. The constraint generation process is illustrated through a simple chiller subplant example, described in greater detail below.

FIG. 13 illustrates a subplant curve 1300 for a chiller subplant. Subplant curve 1300 is an example of a typical chiller subplant curve relating the electricity usage of the chiller subplant with the chilled water production of the chiller subplant. Although only two variables are shown in subplant curve 1300, it should be understood that the constraint generation process also applies to high dimensional problems. For example, the constraint generation process can be extended to the case that the condenser water return temperature is included in the chiller subplant operational domain. When the condenser water return temperature is included, the electricity usage of the chiller subplant can be defined as a function of both the chilled water production and the condenser water return temperature. This results in a three-dimensional operational domain. The constraint generation process described here applies to two-dimensional problems as well as higher dimensional problems.

Referring now to FIGS. 12 and 14, the components and functions of operational domain module 904 are described. FIG. 14 is a flowchart outlining the constraint generation process 1400 performed by operational domain module 904. Process 1400 is shown to include collecting samples of data points within the operational domain (step 1402). In some embodiments, step 1402 is performed by a data gathering module 1202 of operational domain module 904. Step 1402 can include sampling the operational domain (e.g., the high level subplant curve). For the operational tool (i.e., central plant controller 600), the data sampling may be performed by successively calling low level optimizer 634. For the planning tool 700, the data may be supplied by the user and asset allocator 402 may automatically construct the associated constraints.

In some embodiments, process 1400 includes sorting and aggregating data points by equipment efficiency (step 1404). Step 1404 can be performed when process 1400 is performed by planning tool 700. If the user specifies efficiency and capacity data on the equipment level (e.g., provides data for each chiller of the subplant), step 1404 can be performed to organize and aggregate the data by equipment efficiency.

The result of steps 1402-1404 is shown in FIG. 15A. FIG. 15A is a plot 1500 of several data points 1502 collected in step 1402. Data points 1502 can be partitioned into two sets of points by a minimum turndown (MTD) threshold 1504. The first set of points includes a single point 1506 representing the performance of the chiller subplant when the chiller subplant is completely off (i.e., zero production and zero resource consumption). The second set of data points includes the points 1502 between the MTD threshold 1504 and the maximum capacity 1508 of the chiller subplant.

Process 1400 is shown to include generating convex regions from different sets of the data points (step 1406). In some embodiments, step 1406 is performed by a convex hull module 1204 of operational domain module 904. A set X is a “convex set” if for all points (x, y) in set X and for all θ∈[0,1], the point described by the linear combination (1−θ)x+θy also belongs in set X. A “convex hull” of a set of points is the smallest convex set that contains X. Convex hull module 1204 can be configured to generate convex regions from the sampled data by applying an n-dimensional convex hull algorithm to the data. In some embodiments, convex hull module 1204 uses the convex hull algorithm of Matlab (i.e., “convhulln”), which executes an n-dimensional convex hull algorithm. Convex hull module 1204 can identify the output of the convex hull algorithm as the vertices of the convex hull.

The result of step 1406 applied to the chiller subplant example is shown in FIG. 15B. FIG. 15B is a plot 1550 of two convex regions CR-1 and CR-2. Point 1506 is the output of the convex hull algorithm applied to the first set of points. Since only a single point 1506 exists in the first set, the first convex region CR-1 is the single point 1506. The points 1510, 1512, 1514, and 1516 are the output of the convex hull algorithm applied to the second set of points between the MTD threshold 1504 and the maximum capacity 1508. Points 1510-1516 define the vertices of the second convex region CR-2.

Process 1400 is shown to include generating constraints from vertices of the convex regions (step 1408). In some embodiments, step 1408 is performed by a constraint generator 1206 of operational domain module 904. The result of step 1408 applied to the chiller subplant example is shown in FIG. 16. FIG. 16 is a plot 1600 of the operational domain 1602 for the chiller subplant. Operational domain 1602 includes the set of points contained within both convex regions CR-1 and CR-2 shown in plot 1550. These points include the origin point 1506 as well as all of the points within area 1604.

Constraint generator 1206 can be configured to convert the operational domain 1602 and/or the set of vertices that define the operational domain 1602 into a set of constraints. Many methods exists to convert the vertices of the convex regions into optimization constraints. These methodologies produce different optimization formulations or different problem structures, but the solutions to these different formulations are equivalent. All methods effectively ensure that the computed variables (inputs and outputs) are within one of the convex regions of the operational domain. Nevertheless, the time required to solve the different formulations may vary significantly. The methodology described below has demonstrated better execution times in feasibility studies over other formulations.

MILP Formulation

In some embodiments, constraint generator 1206 uses a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) formulation to generate the optimization constraints. A few definitions are needed to present the MILP formulation. A subset P of

^(d) is called a convex polyhedron if it is the set of solutions to a finite system of linear inequalities (i.e., P={x: a_(j) ^(T)x≤b_(j), j=1 . . . m}). Note that this definition also allows for linear equalities because an equality may be written as two inequalities. For example, c_(j)x=d_(j) is equivalent to [c_(j), −c_(j)]^(T)x≤[d_(j),−d_(j)]^(T). A convex polytope is a bounded convex polyhedron. Because the capacity of any subplant is bounded, constraint generator 1206 may exclusively work with convex polytopes.

In some embodiments, the MILP formulation used by constraint generator 1206 to define the operational domain is the logarithmic disaggregated convex combination model (D Log). The advantage of the D Log model is that only a logarithmic number of binary variables with the number of convex regions need to be introduced into the optimization problem as opposed to a linear number of binary variables. Reducing the number of binary variables introduced into the problem is advantageous as the resulting problem is typically computationally easier to solve.

Constraint generator 1206 can use the D Log model to capture which convex region is active through a binary numbering of the convex regions. Each binary variable represents a digit in the binary numbering. For example, if an operational domain consists of four convex regions, the convex regions can be numbered zero through three, or in binary numbering 00 to 11. Two binary variables can used in the formulation: y₁ ∈{0,1} and y₂∈{0,1} where the first variable y₁ represents the first digit of the binary numbering and the second variable y₂ represents the second digit of the binary numbering. If y₁=0 and y₂=0, the zeroth convex region is active. Similarly, y₁=1 and y₂=0, the second convex region is active. In the D Log model, a point in any convex region is represented by a convex combination of the vertices of the polytope that describes the convex region.

In some embodiments, constraint generator 1206 formulates the D Log model as follows: let

be the set of polytopes that describes the operational domain (i.e.,

represents the collection of convex regions that make up the operational domain). Let P_(i)∈

(i=1, . . . , n_(CR)) be the ith polytope which describes the ith convex region of the operational domain. Let V(P_(i)) be the vertices of the ith polytope, and let

(

):=

V(P) be the vertices of all polytopes. In this formulation, an auxiliary continuous variable can be introduced for each vertex of each polytope of the operational domain, which is denoted by λ_(P) _(i) _(,v) _(j) where the subscripts denote that the continuous variable is for the jth vertex of the ith polytope. For this formulation, ┌log₂|

|┐ binary variables are needed where the function ┌⋅┐ denotes the ceiling function (i.e., ┌x┐ is the smallest integer not less than x. Constraint generator 1206 can define an injective function B:

→

The injective function may be interpreted as the binary numbering of the convex regions.

In some embodiments, the D Log formulation is given by:

Σ_(P∈)

Σ_(v∈V(P))λ_(P,v) v=x

λ_(P,v) v≥0, ∀P∈

,v∈V(P)

Σ_(P∈)

Σ_(v∈V(P))λ_(P,v)=1

Σ_(P∈)

+_((B,l))Σ_(v∈V(P))λ_(P,v) ≤y _(l) , ∀l∈L(P)

Σ_(P∈)

₀ _((B,l)) Σv∈V(P)λ_(P,v)≤(1−y _(l)), ∀l∈L(P)

y _(l)∈{0,1},∀l∈L(P)

where

⁺(B,l):={P∈

:B(P)_(l)=1},

⁰(B,l):={P∈

:B(P)_(l)=0}, and L(

):={1, . . . , log₂|

|}. If there are shared vertices between the convex regions, a fewer number of continuous variables may need to be introduced.

To understand the injective function and the sets

⁺(B,l) and

⁰(B,l), consider again the operational domain consisting of four convex regions. Again, binary numbering can be used to number the sets from 00 to 11, and two binary variables can be used to represent each digit of the binary set numbering. Then, the injective function maps any convex region, which is a polytope, to a unique set of binary variables. Thus, B(P₀)=[0,0]^(T), B(P₁)=[0,1]^(T), B(P₂)=[1,0]^(T), and B(P₃)=[1,1]^(T). Also, for example, the sets

⁺(B,0):={P∈

:B(P)₀=1}=P₂∪P₃ and

⁰(B,0):={P∈

:B(P)₀=0}=P₀∪P₁.

Box Constraints

Still referring to FIG. 12, operational domain module 904 is shown to include a box constraints module 1208. Box constraints module 1208 can be configured to adjust the operational domain for a subplant 420 in the event that a device of the subplant 420 is unavailable or will be unavailable (e.g., device offline, device removed for repairs or testing, etc.). Reconstructing the operational domain by resampling the resulting high level operational domain with low level optimizer 634 can be used as an alternative to the adjustment performed by box constraints module 1208. However, reconstructing the operational domain in this manner may be time consuming. The adjustment performed by box constraints module 1208 may be less time consuming and may allow operational domains to be updated quickly when devices are unavailable. Also, owing to computational restrictions, it may be useful to use a higher fidelity subplant model for the first part of the prediction horizon. Reducing the model fidelity effectively means merging multiple convex regions.

In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 is configured to update the operational domain by updating the convex regions with additional box constraints. Generating the appropriate box constraints may include two primary steps: (1) determining the admissible operational interval(s) of the independent variable (e.g., the production of the subplant) and (2) generating box constraints that limit the independent variable to the admissible operational interval(s). Both of these steps are described in detail below.

In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 determines the admissible operational interval (e.g., the subplant production) using an algorithm that constructs the union of intervals. Box constraints module 1208 may compute two convolutions. For example, let lb and ub be vectors with elements corresponding to the lower and upper bound of the independent variables of each available device within the subplant. Box constraints module 1208 can compute two convolutions to compute all possible combinations of lower and upper bounds with all the combinations of available devices on and off. The two convolutions can be defined as follows:

lb _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0

]*[0lb _(T)]

ub _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0

]*[0ub _(T)]

where lb_(all,combos) and ub_(all,combos) are vectors containing the elements with the lower and upper bounds with all combinations of the available devices on and off,

is a vector with all ones of the same dimension as lb and ub, and the operator * represents the convolution operator. Note that each element of lb_(all,combos) and ub_(all,combos) are subintervals of admissible operating ranges. In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 computes the overall admissible operating range by computing the union of the subintervals.

To compute the union of the subintervals, box constraints module 1208 can define the vector v as follows:

v:=[lb _(all,combos) ^(T) ,ub _(all,combos) ^(T)]^(T)

and may sort the vector v from smallest to largest:

[t,p]=sort(v)

where t is a vector with sorted elements of v, p is a vector with the index position in v of each element in t. If p_(i)≤n where n is the dimension of lb_(all,combos) and ub_(all,combos), the ith element of t is a lower bound. However, if p_(i)>n, the ith element of t is an upper bound. Box constraints module 1208 may construct the union of the sub intervals by initializing a counter at zero and looping through each element of p starting with the first element. If the element corresponds to a lower bound, box constraints module 1208 may add one to the counter. However, if the element corresponds to an upper bound, box constraints module 1208 may subtract one from the counter. Once the counter is set to zero, box constraints module 1208 may determine that the end of the subinterval is reached. An example of this process is illustrated graphically in FIGS. 17A-17B.

Referring now to FIGS. 17A-17B, a pair of graphs 1700 and 1750 illustrating the operational domain update procedure performed by box constraints module 1208 is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. In this example, consider a subplant consisting of three devices where the independent variable is the production of the subplant. Let the first two devices have a minimum and maximum production of 3.0 and 5.0 units, respectively, and the third device has a minimum and maximum production of 2.0 and 4.0 units, respectively. The minimum production may be considered to be the minimum turndown of the device and the maximum production may be considered to be the device capacity. With all the devices available, the results of the two convolutions are:

lb _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0.0,2.0,3.0,5.0,6.0,8.0]

ub _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0.0,4.0,5.0,9.0,10.0,14.0]

The result of applying the counter algorithm to these convolutions with all the devices available is shown graphically in FIG. 17A. The start of an interval occurs when the counter becomes greater than 0 and the end of an interval occurs when the counter becomes 0. Thus, from FIG. 17A, the admissible production range of the subplant when all the devices are available is either 0 units if the subplant is off or any production from 2.0 to 14.0 units. In other words, the convex regions in the operational domain are {0} and another region including the interval from 2.0 to 14.0 units.

If one of the first two devices becomes unavailable, the subplant includes one device having a minimum and maximum production of 3.0 and 5.0 units, respectively, and another device having a minimum and maximum production of 2.0 and 4.0 units, respectively. Accordingly, the admissible production range of the subplant is from 2.0 to 9.0 units. This means that the second convex region needs to be updated so that it only contains the interval from 2.0 to 9.0 units.

If the third device becomes unavailable, the subplant includes two devices, both of which have a minimum and maximum production of 3.0 and 5.0 units, respectively. Therefore, the admissible range of production for the subplant is from 3.0 to 5.0 units and from 6.0 to 10.0 units. This result can be obtained using the convolution technique and counter method. For example, when the third device becomes unavailable, the two convolutions are (omitting repeated values):

lb _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0.0,3.0,6.0]

ub _(all,combos) ^(T)=[0.0,5.0,10.0]

The result of applying the counter algorithm to these convolutions with the third device unavailable is shown graphically in FIG. 17B. The start of an interval occurs when the counter becomes greater than 0 and the end of an interval occurs when the counter becomes 0. From FIG. 17B, the new admissible production range is from 3.0 to 5.0 units and from 6.0 to 10.0 units. Thus, if the third device is unavailable, there are three convex regions: {0}, the interval from 3.0 to 5.0 units, and the interval from 6.0 to 10.0 units. This means that the second convex region of the operational domain with all devices available needs to be split into two regions.

Once the admissible range of the independent variable (e.g., subplant production) has been determined, box constraints module 1208 can generate box constraints to ensure that the independent variable is maintained within the admissible range. Box constraints module 1208 can identify any convex regions of the original operational domain that have ranges of the independent variables outside the new admissible range. If any such convex ranges are identified, box constraints module 1208 can update the constraints that define these convex regions such that the resulting operational domain is inside the new admissible range for the independent variable. The later step can be accomplished by adding additional box constraints to the convex regions, which may be written in the general form x_(lb)≤x≤x_(ub) where x is an optimization variable and x_(lb) and x_(ub) are the lower and upper bound, respectively, for the optimization variable x.

In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 removes an end portion of a convex region from the operational domain. This is referred to as slicing the convex region and is shown graphically in FIGS. 18A-18B. For example, FIG. 18A is a graph 1800 of an operational domain which includes a convex region CR-2. A first part 1802 of the convex region CR-2 is within the operational range determined by box constraints module 1208. However, a second part 1804 of the convex region CR-2 is outside the operational range determined by box constraints module 1208. Box constraints module 1208 can remove the second part 1804 from the convex region CR-2 by imposing a box constraint that limits the independent variable (i.e., chilled water production) within the operational range. The slicing operation results in the modified convex region CR-2 shown in graph 1850.

In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 removes a middle portion of a convex region from the operational domain. This is referred to as splitting the convex region and is shown graphically in FIGS. 19A-19B. For example, FIG. 19A is a graph 1900 of an operational domain which includes a convex region CR-2. A first part 1902 of the convex region CR-2 is within the operational range between lower bound 1908 and upper bound 1910. Similarly, a third part 1906 of the convex region CR-2 is within the operational range between lower bound 1912 and upper bound 1914. However, a second part 1904 of the convex region CR-2 is outside the split operational range. Box constraints module 1208 can remove the second part 1904 from the convex region CR-2 by imposing two box constraints that limit the independent variable (i.e., chilled water production) within the operational ranges. The splitting operation results two smaller convex regions CR-2 and CR-3 shown in graph 1950.

In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 removes a convex region entirely. This operation can be performed when a convex region lies entirely outside the admissible operating range. Removing an entire convex region can be accomplished by imposing a box constraint that limits the independent variable within the admissible operating range. In some embodiments, box constraints module 1208 merges two or more separate convex regions. The merging operation effectively reduces the model fidelity (described in greater detail below).

Box constraints module 1208 can automatically update the operational domain in response to a determination that one or more devices of the subplant are offline or otherwise unavailable for use. In some embodiments, a flag is set in the operational tool when a device becomes unavailable. Box constraints module 1208 can detect such an event and can queue the generation of an updated operational domain by querying the resulting high level subplant operational domain. In other words, the high level subplant operational domain for the subplant resulting from the collection of devices that remain available can be sampled and the operational domain can be constructed as described in process 1400. The generation of the updated operational domain may occur outside of the high level optimization algorithm in another computer process. Once the constraint generation process is complete, the operational domain data can be put into the data model and used in the optimization problem instead of the fast update method performed by box constraints module 1208.

Cross Section Constraints

Still referring to FIG. 12, operational domain module 904 is shown to include a cross section constraints module 1210. Cross section constraints module 1210 can be configured to modify the constraints on the high level optimization when one or more optimization variables are treated as fixed parameters. When the high level subplant operational domain includes additional parameters, the data sampled from the high level operational domain is of higher dimension than what is used in the optimization. For example, the chiller subplant operational domain may be three dimensional to include the electricity usage as a function of the chilled water production and the condenser water temperature. However, in the optimization problem, the condenser water temperature may be treated as a parameter.

The constraint generation process (described above) may be used with the higher dimensional sampled data of the subplant operational domain. This results in the following constraints being generated:

A _(x,j) x _(j) +A _(z,j) z _(j) +A _(y,j) y _(j) ≤b _(j)

H _(x,j) x _(j) +H _(z,j) z _(j) +H _(y,j) y _(j) =g _(j)

x _(lb,j) ≤x _(j) ≤x _(ub,j)

z _(lb,j) ≤z _(j) ≤z _(ub,j)

z _(j)=integer

where x_(j) is a vector consisting of the continuous decision variables, z_(j) is a vector consisting of the discrete decision variables, y_(j) is a vector consisting of all the parameters, and H_(y,j) and A_(y,j) are the constraint matrices associated with the parameters. Cross section constraints module 1210 can be configured to modify the constraints such that the operational domain is limited to a cross section of the original operational domain. The cross section may include all of the points that have the same fixed value for the parameters.

In some embodiments, cross section constraints module 1210 retains the parameters in vector y_(j) as decision variables in the optimization problem, bus uses equality constraints to ensure that they are set to their actual values. The resulting constraints used in the optimization problem are given by:

A _(x,j) x _(j) +A _(z,j) z _(j) +A _(y,j) y _(j) ≤b _(j)

H _(x,j) x _(j) +H _(z,j) z _(j) +H _(y,j) y _(j) =g _(j)

x _(lb,j) ≤x _(j) ≤x _(ub,j)

z _(lb,j) ≤z _(j) ≤z _(ub,j)

y _(j) =p

z _(j)=integer

where p is a vector of fixed values (e.g., measured or estimated parameter values).

In other embodiments, cross section constraints module 1210 substitutes values for the parameters before setting up and solving the optimization problem. This method reduces the dimension of the constraints and the optimization problem, which may be computationally desirable. Assuming that the parameters are either measured or estimated quantities (e.g., in the case of the condenser water temperature, the temperature may be measured), the parameter values may be substituted into the constraints. The resulting constraints used in the optimization problem are given by:

A _(x,j) x _(j) +A _(z,j) z _(j) ≤b _(j)

H _(x,j) x _(j) +H _(z,j) z _(j) =g _(j)

x _(lb,j) ≤x _(j) ≤x _(ub,j)

z _(lb,j) ≤z _(j) ≤z _(ub,j)

z _(j)=integer

where b _(j)=b_(j)−A_(y,j)p and g_(j)=g_(j)−H_(y,j)p

In some embodiments, cross section constraints module 1210 is configured to detect and remove redundant constraints. It is possible that there are redundant constraints after taking a cross section of the constraints. Being computationally mindful, it is desirable to automatically detect and remove redundant constraints. Cross section constraints module 1210 can detect redundant constraints by computing the vertices of the corresponding dual polytope and computing the convex hull of the dual polytope vertices. Cross section constraints module 1210 can identify any vertices contained in the interior of the convex hull as redundant constraints.

The following example illustrates the automatic detection and removal of redundant constraints by cross section constraints module 1210. Consider a polytope described by the inequality constraints Ax≤b. In this example, only an individual polytope or convex region of the operational domain is considered, whereas the previous set of constraints describe the entire operational domain. Cross section constraints module 1210 can be configured to identify any point c that lies strictly on the interior of the polytope (i.e., such that Ac≤b). These points can be identified by least squares or computing the analytic center of the polytope. Cross section constraints module 1210 can then shift the polytope such that the origin is contained in the interior of the polytope. The shifted coordinates for the polytope can be defined as x=x−c. After shifting the polytope, cross section constraints module 1210 can compute the vertices of the dual polytope. If the polytope is defined as the set P={x:Ax≤b}, then the dual polytope is the set P*={y:y^(T)x≤1, ∀x∈P}. Cross section constraints module 1210 can then compute the convex hull of the dual polytope vertices. If a vertex of the dual polytope is not a vertex of the convex hull, cross section constraints module 1210 can identify the corresponding constraint as redundant and may remove the redundant constraint.

Referring now to FIGS. 20A-20D, several graphs 2000, 2020, 2040, and 2060 illustrating the redundant constraint detection and removal process are shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Graph 2000 is shown to include the boundaries 2002 of several constraints computed after taking the cross section of higher dimensional constraints. The constraints bounded by boundaries 2002 are represented by the following inequalities:

x ₁ −x ₂≤−1

2x ₁ −x ₂≤1

−3/2x ₁ +x ₂≤0

−x ₁ +x ₂≤0

The operational domain is represented by a polytope with vertices 2006. Point 2004 can be identified as a point that lies strictly on the interior of the polytope.

Graph 2020 shows the result of shifting the polytope such that the origin is contained in the interior of the polytope. The polytope is shifted to a new coordinate system (i.e., x ₁ and x ₂) with the origin 2022 (i.e., x ₁=0 and x ₂=0) located within the polytope. Graph 2040 shows the result of computing the vertices 2044 of the dual polytope 2042, which may be defined by the set P*={y:y^(T)x≤1, ∀x∈P}. Graph 2060 shows the result of computing the convex hull of the dual polytope vertices 2044 and removing any constraints that correspond to vertices 2044 of the dual polytope but not to vertices of the convex hull. In this example, the constraint x₁−x₂≤−1 is removed, resulting in the feasible region 2062.

Referring now to FIGS. 21A-21B, graphs 2100 and 2150 illustrating the cross section constraint generation process performed by cross section constraints module 1210 is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Graph 2100 is a three-dimensional graph having an x-axis, a y-axis, and a z-axis. Each of the variables x, y, and z may be treated as optimization variables in a high level optimization problem. Graph 2100 is shown to include a three-dimensional surface 2100 defined by the following equations:

$z = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{x + y},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu} x} \in \left\lbrack {0,1} \right\rbrack} \\ {{{2x} + y - 1},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu} x} \in \left\lbrack {1,2} \right\rbrack} \end{matrix} \right.$

for x∈[0,2] and y∈[0,3], where x is the subplant production, y is a parameter, and z is the amount of resources consumed.

A three-dimensional subplant operational domain is bounded surface 2102. The three-dimensional operational domain is described by the following set of constraints:

${{{- \frac{5}{3x}} - y + z} \leq 0}{{- y} \leq 0}$ y≤3

x+y−z≤0

2x+y−z≤1

The cross section constraint generation process can be applied to the three dimensional operational domain. When variable y is treated as a fixed parameter (i.e., y=1), the three-dimensional operational domain can be limited to the cross section 2104 along the plane y=1. Cross section constraints module 1210 can generate the following cross section constraints to represent the two-dimensional cross section of the original three-dimensional operational domain:

${{{- \frac{5}{3x}} + z} \leq 1}{{x - z} \leq {- 1}}{{{2x} - z} \leq 0}$

which are represented by boundaries 2154 in graph 2150. The resulting two-dimensional operational domain is shown as feasible region 2152 in graph 2150.

Rate of Change Penalties

Referring again to FIG. 12, operational domain module 904 is shown to include a rate of change penalties module 1212. Rate of change penalties module 1212 can be configured to modify the high level optimization problem to add rate of change penalties for one or more of the decision variables. Large changes in decision variable values between consecutive time steps may result in a solution that may not be physically implementable. Rate of change penalties prevent computing solutions with large changes in the decision variables between consecutive time steps. In some embodiments, the rate of change penalties have the form:

c _(Δx,k) |Δx _(k) |=c _(Δx,k) |x _(k) −x _(k−1)|

where x_(k) denotes the value of the decision variable x at time step k, x_(k−1) denotes the variable value at time step k−1, and c_(Δx,k) is the penalty weight for the rate of change of the variable at the kth time step.

In some embodiments, rate of change penalties module 1212 introduces an auxiliary variable Δx_(k) for k∈{1, . . . , h}, which represents the rate of change of the decision variable x. This may allow asset allocator 402 to solve the high level optimization with the rate of change penalty using linear programming. Rate of change penalties module 1212 may add the following constraints to the optimization problem to ensure that the auxiliary variable is equal to the rate of change of x at each time step in the optimization period:

x _(k−1) −x _(k) ≤Δx _(k)

x _(k) −x _(k−1) ≤Δx _(k)

Δx _(k)≥0

for all k ∈{1, . . . , h}, where h is the number of time steps in the optimization period.

The inequality constraints associated with the rate of change penalties may have the following structure:

${\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & {- 1} & 0 & 0 & \cdots & {- 1} & 0 & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 1 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & {- 1} & 0 & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 1 & {- 1} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & {- 1} & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {- 1} & 1 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & {- 1} & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & 1 & {- 1} & \cdots & 0 & 0 & {- 1} & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & {- 1} & 1 & \cdots & 0 & 0 & {- 1} & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ x_{1} \\ x_{2} \\ x_{3} \\ \vdots \\ {\Delta \; x_{1}} \\ {\Delta \; x_{2}} \\ {\Delta \; x_{3}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {- x_{0}} \\ x_{0} \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}$

Rate of Change Constraints

Still referring to FIG. 12, operational domain module 904 is shown to include a rate of change constraints module 1214. A more strict method that prevents large changes in decision variable values between consecutive time steps is to impose (hard) rate of change constraints. For example, the following constraint can be used to constrain the rate of change Δx_(k) between upper bounds Δx_(ub,k) and lower bounds Δx_(lb,k)

Δx _(lb,k) ≤Δx _(k) ≤Δx _(ub,k)

where Δx_(k)=x_(k)−x_(k−1), Δx_(lb,k)<0, and Δx_(ub,k)>0.

The inequality constraints associated with these rate of change constraints are given by the following structure:

${\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & {- 1} & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 1 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 1 & {- 1} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {- 1} & 1 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & 1 & {- 1} & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & {- 1} & 1 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & {- 1} & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 1 & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ x_{1} \\ x_{2} \\ x_{3} \\ \vdots \\ {\; x_{h}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {{{- \Delta}\; x_{{l\; b},k}} - x_{0}} \\ {{\Delta \; x_{{ub},k}} + x_{0}} \\ {{- \Delta}\; x_{{l\; b},k}} \\ {\Delta \; x_{{ub},k}} \\ {{- \Delta}\; x_{{l\; b},k}} \\ {\Delta \; x_{{ub},k}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}$

Storage/Airside Constraints

Still referring to FIG. 12, operational domain module 904 is shown to include a storage/airside constraints module 1216. Storage/airside constraints module 1216 can be configured to modify the high level optimization problem to account for energy storage in the air or mass of the building. To predict the state of charge of such storage a dynamic model can be solved. Storage/airside constraints module 1216 can use a single shooting method or a multiple shooting method to embed the solution of a dynamic model within the optimization problem. Both the single shooting method and the multiple shooting method are described in detail below.

In the single shooting method, consider a general discrete-time linear dynamic model of the form:

x _(k+1) =Ax _(k) +Bu _(k)

where x_(k) denotes the state (e.g., state of charge) at time k and u_(k) denotes the input at time k. In general, both the state x_(k) and input u_(k) may be vectors. To solve the dynamic model over h time steps, storage/airside constraints module 1216 may identify the initial condition and an input trajectory/sequence. In an optimal control framework, the input trajectory can be determined by the optimization solver. Without loss of generality, the time interval over which the dynamic model is solved is taken to be the interval [0, h]. The initial condition is denoted by x₀.

The state x_(k) and input u_(k) can be constrained by the following box constraints:

x _(lb,k) ≤x _(k) ≤x _(ub,k)

u _(lb,k) ≤u _(k) ≤u _(ub,k)

for all k, where x_(lb,k) is the lower bound on the state x, x_(ub,k) is the upper bound on the state x_(k), u_(lb,k) is the lower bound on the input u_(k), and u_(ub,k) is the upper bound on the input u_(k). In some embodiments, the bounds may be time-dependent.

In the single shooting method, only the input sequence may be included as a decision variable because the state x_(k) at any given time step is a function of the initial condition x₀ and the input trajectory. This strategy has less decision variables in the optimization problem than the second method, which is presented below. The inequality constraints associated with the upper bound on the state x_(k) may have the following structure:

${\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & B & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {AB} & B & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {A^{2}B} & {AB} & B & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \cdots \\ \cdots & {A^{h - 1}B} & {A^{h - 2}B} & {A^{h - 3}B} & \cdots & B & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ u_{0} \\ u_{1} \\ u_{2} \\ \vdots \\ u_{h - 1} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {x_{{ub},1} - {Ax}_{0}} \\ {x_{{ub},2} - {A^{2}x_{0}}} \\ {x_{{ub},3} - {A^{3}x_{0}}} \\ \vdots \\ {x_{{ub},h} - {A^{h}x_{0}}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}$

Similarly, the inequality constraints associated with the lower bound on the state x_(k) may have the following structure:

${\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & {- B} & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {- {AB}} & {- B} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {{- A^{2}}B} & {- {AB}} & {- B} & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \cdots \\ \cdots & {{- A^{h - 1}}B} & {{- A^{h - 2}}B} & {{- A^{h - 3}}B} & \cdots & {- B} & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ u_{0} \\ u_{1} \\ u_{2} \\ \vdots \\ u_{h - 1} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {{Ax}_{0} - x_{{l\; b},\; 1}} \\ {{A^{2}x_{0}} - x_{{l\; b},2}} \\ {{A^{3}x_{0}} - x_{{l\; b},3}} \\ \vdots \\ {{A^{h}x_{0}} - x_{{l\; b},h}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}$

In some embodiments, more general constraints or mixed constraints may also be considered. These constraints may have the following form:

A _(ineq,x) x(k)+A _(ineq,u) u(k)≤b _(ineq)

The inequality constraint structure associated with the single shooting strategy and the mixed constraints may have the form:

$\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & A_{{ineq},u} & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {{A_{{ineq},x}B} + A_{{ineq},u}} & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {A_{{ineq},x}{AB}} & {{A_{{ineq},x}B} + A_{{ineq},u}} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & {A_{{ineq},x}A^{2}B} & {A_{{ineq},x}{AB}} & {{A_{{ineq},x}B} + A_{{ineq},u}} & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \cdots \\ \cdots & {A_{{ineq},x}A^{h - 2}B} & {A_{{ineq},x}A^{h - 3}B} & {A_{{ineq},x}A^{h - 4}B} & \cdots & {{A_{{ineq},x}B} + A_{{ineq},u}} & \cdots \\ \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}{\quad{\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ u_{0} \\ u_{1} \\ u_{2} \\ \vdots \\ u_{h - 1} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {b_{ineq} - {A_{{ineq},x}{x(0)}}} \\ {b_{ineq} - {A_{{ineq},x}{{Ax}(0)}}} \\ {b_{ineq} - {A_{{ineq},x}A^{2}{x(0)}}} \\ \vdots \\ {b_{ineq} - {A_{{ineq},x}A^{h - 1}{x(0)}}} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}}}$

In the multiple shooting method, storage/airside constraints module 1216 may include the state sequence as a decision variable in the optimization problem. This results in an optimization problem with more decision variables than the single shooting method. However, the multiple shooting method typically has more desirable numerical properties, resulting in an easier problem to solve even though the resulting optimization problem has more decision variables than that of the single shooting method.

To ensure that the state and input trajectories (sequences) satisfy the model of x_(k+1)=Ax_(k)+Bu_(k), the following equality constraints can be used:

${\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & {- I} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & 0 & B & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & A & {- I} & \cdots & 0 & 0 & 0 & B & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & A & \cdots & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & B & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & {- I} & 0 & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & 0 & \cdots & A & {- I} & 0 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & B & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ x_{1} \\ \vdots \\ x_{h - 1} \\ x_{h} \\ u_{1} \\ \vdots \\ u_{h - 1} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {- {Ax}_{0}} \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ \vdots \\ 0 \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}$

where I is an identity matrix of the same dimension as A. The bound constraints on the state x_(k) and inputs u_(k) can readily be included since the vector of decision variables may include both the state x_(k) and inputs u_(k).

Mixed constraints of the form A_(ineq,x)x(k)+A_(ineq,u)u(k)≤b_(ineq) can also be used in the multiple shooting method. These mixed constraints result in the following structure:

$\begin{bmatrix} \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & ⋰ \\ \cdots & 0 & \cdots & 0 & 0 & A_{{ineq},u} & 0 & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & A_{{ineq},x} & \cdots & 0 & 0 & 0 & A_{{ineq},u} & \cdots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & \vdots & \ddots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots & 0 & \cdots \\ \cdots & 0 & \cdots & A_{{ineq},x} & 0 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & A_{{ineq},u} & \cdots \\ ⋰ & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \ddots \end{bmatrix}{\quad{\begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ x_{1} \\ \vdots \\ x_{h - 1} \\ x_{h} \\ u_{1} \\ \vdots \\ u_{h - 1} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix} \leq \begin{bmatrix} \vdots \\ {b_{ineq} - {A_{{ineq},x}{x(0)}}} \\ b_{ineq} \\ \vdots \\ b_{ineq} \\ \vdots \end{bmatrix}}}$

Automatic EMPC Problem Formulation

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 is configured to automatically formulate an economic model predictive control (EMPC) problem. This can be performed by asset allocator 402, which can be part of planning tool 700 or central plant controller 600 and can include optimization problem constructor 910. In some embodiments, optimization problem constructor 910 is configured to automatically formulate the EMPC problem. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 uses any of the methodology and/or components to automatically formulate the EMPC problem as described in greater detail in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 16/118,962 filed Aug. 31, 2018, the entire disclosure of which is incorporated by reference herein.

General Assets Defining General Assets

In some embodiments, solving certain higher-complexity optimization problems requires excessive time or processing power. For example, some systems may have a large quantity or sources, sinks, subplants, etc., and it may be intractable for asset allocator 402 to optimize asset allocation. Additionally, the optimization problem may become intractable if the processing abilities of processor 608 (or any other processor which asset allocator 402 is used by) do not meet the necessary requirements to perform the optimization problem.

In some embodiments, the various assets (e.g., sources, sinks, storage, subplants, etc.), are grouped into general assets. The general assets may then be treated as overall assets, and asset allocator 402 may determine optimal resource allocation based on the overall assets. In some embodiments, general assets combine subplant, storage, and load (i.e., sink) asset types. In some embodiments, general assets combine the modeling of subplants and general storage while also allowing internal loads. In some embodiments, as with other types of assets, the general assets are defined based on the resources it uses and its model inputs. In some embodiments, the resources which the general assets use include inputs to the general asset, outputs from the general asset, and internal resources exchange between the subplant model, storage model, and loads.

Referring now to FIG. 22A, a resource diagram 2200, is shown, according to some embodiments. Resource diagram 2200 is shown to include various resources, sources, subplants, sinks, and storage assets. For example, resource diagram 2200 is shown to include resources A-F. In some embodiments, the various assets of resource diagram 2200 are grouped into general assets, shown as general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 in FIG. 22B. FIGS. 22A-B show only two general assets, however, more or less than two general assets may be used, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, assets are grouped into general assets arbitrarily. In some embodiments, if a particular asset grouping yields an unsolvable configuration, the assets are re-grouped (either into more general assets, or less general assets, or a same number of general assets which include different assets). In some embodiments, resource diagram 2200 is determined by a user.

Referring to FIG. 22A, resource diagram 2200 is shown to include 12 total assets, according to some embodiments. Resource diagram 2200 includes assets shown as source 2208, source 2210, source 2212, subplant A, subplant B, subplant C, subplant D, subplant E, sink 2214, sink 2216, storage 2218, and storage 2220. Subplants A-E receive one or more resources as well as one or more operating parameters and function to convert the resource to a different type of resource according to a subplant model, according to some embodiments. For example, subplant A is shown receiving resource A and resource B, and outputting resource D and resource E, according to some embodiments. Subplant B receives resource A and resource B and outputs both resource D and resource F, according to some embodiments. Subplant C receives resource F and outputs resource E, according to some embodiments. Subplant D receives resource C and resource A and outputs resource F, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, sinks 2214 and sink 2216 are building load requirements. For example, sink 2216 may be a hot water load requirement (e.g., an amount of hot water consumed by the building over a time window), and sink 2214 may be a chilled water load requirement (e.g., an amount of chilled water consumed by the building over the time window). In some embodiments, sink 2216 and sink 2214 are constraints which are applied to the optimization problem. For example, in some embodiments, sink 2216 and sink 2124 are required loads which the solution determined by asset allocator 402 must meet.

Any of the resources, sources, storage, subplants, and sinks shown in FIGS. 22A-B may be any of the resources, sources, storage, subplants, and sinks, as described in greater detail above with reference to FIG. 4.

Resource diagram 2200 is shown to include storage 2218 and storage 2220, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, storage 2218 and storage 2220 store a resource for use at a later time. For example, storage 2218 receives resource D, stores resource D, and may later provide sink 2214 with resource D as determined by asset allocator 402, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, storage 2218 provides resource D to sink 2214 at a later time, as determined by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, storage assets may be general storage assets. General storage assets allow the dynamics of the storage (e.g., losses over time) to be represented by a state space model. For example, the state space model may predictably relate a total amount of stored resource with respect to time. In this way, general storage devices represent a time-variance of the storage device, rather than treating the stored resource as static. For example, if the storage device is a battery which stores charge, the stored charge may vary over time, as represented and predicted by a state space model.

Resource diagram 2200 is shown to include general asset 2204 and general asset 2206, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 is defined by subplant A, subplant B, subplant E, and storage 2218. General asset 2204 is a grouping of these assets and may be treated as a single asset by asset allocator 402. General asset 2206 is defined by subplant C and subplant D, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, defining/grouping assets into general assets (e.g., general asset 2204 and general asset 2206) allows asset allocator 402 to optimize an intractable asset allocation problem. In some embodiments, even if the asset allocation problem is tractable (e.g., can be solved in a reasonable amount of time), general assets may be defined to decrease processing requirements of asset allocator 402 and simplify the asset allocation problem to decrease the amount of time it takes asset allocator 402 to solve the problem.

It should be noted that while general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 have been defined a particular way as shown in FIG. 22A, general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 may be defined differently than as shown. For example, general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 may be combined to form an overall general asset, according to some embodiments. Alternatively, general assets 2204 and 2206 may be defined to include storage 2218 and storage 2220, respectively. In some embodiments, more or less than two general assets are defined. In some embodiments, each general asset (e.g., general asset 2204 and/or general asset 2206) includes sub-general assets. For example, each general asset 2204 and/or general asset 2206 may further define sub-general assets by grouping any of the assets into groups, similar to how general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 are defined for resource diagram 2200. In this way, multiple layers of optimization may be defined by grouping assets into general assets and sub-general assets.

Referring to FIG. 22B, a non-granular resource diagram 2201 is shown, according to some embodiments. Non-granular resource diagram 2201 is a simplified version of resource diagram 2200 shown in FIG. 22A in which several of the granular assets have been represented by aggregate general assets 2204 and 2206. In some embodiments, non-granular resource diagram 2201 represents a non-granular version of a system (e.g., a central plant, a building system, etc.) used to define a non-granular optimization problem. In some embodiments, non-granular resource diagram 2201 represents resource diagram 2200 after the general assets (e.g., general asset 2204 and general asset 2206) have been defined. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 are each treated as single assets. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 are each treated as subplants in the non-granular view of the system, since they may function similarly to subplants (e.g., receiving one or more resources and operating parameters and outputting one or more resources).

Non-granular resource diagram 2201 is shown to include eight assets, according to some embodiments. For example, non-granular resource diagram 2201 includes the assets of source 2208, source 2210, source 2212, general asset 2204, general asset 2206, sink 2214, sink 2216, and storage 2220, according to some embodiments. As shown in FIGS. 22A-B, non-granular resource diagram 2201 includes eight assets, whereas resource diagram 2200 includes twelve assets. By defining general asset 2204 and general asset 2206, four of the assets have been removed from consideration when asset allocator 402 optimizes the system shown in non-granular resource diagram 2201. In resource diagrams which contain a very large quantity of assets, defining general assets may remove an even greater number of assets from consideration when asset allocator optimizes a non-granular resource diagram for that resource diagram.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 first solves the non-granular optimization problem represented by non-granular resource diagram 2201, and then provides the determined asset allocations to each of the general assets 2204 and 2206. For example, after the non-granular optimization problem has been solved, the resource inputs and outputs for each general asset 2204 and 2206 to achieve the constraints of sink 2214 and sink 2216 are known. In some embodiments, the input and output of resources for each of general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 as determined by solving the non-granular optimization problem are provided to granular optimization problems for each of general asset 2204 and general asset 2206. In this way, asset allocator 402 may hierarchically define various general assets and sub-general assets which define various optimization problems, hierarchically solve the optimization problems (e.g., starting at the least granular level and proceeding to the most granular level), and provide the determined resource allocation to the next optimization problem. For example, as shown in FIG. 22B, asset allocator 402 first determines an optimal solution of the non-granular optimization problem represented by non-granular resource diagram 2201 (e.g., by determining asset allocation which satisfies the requirements of sink 2214 and sink 2216 and then determining resource distribution to general asset 2204 and general asset 2206 and/or general asset operations which minimize the cost function yet meet the sink requirements), and uses the determined resource allocation for each of the general assets 2204 and 2206 to solve each granular problem as represented by the assets within each of the general assets 2204 and 2206. Specifically, the non-granular optimization solution may determine a required total resource A, a required total resource B, etc., for general asset 2204 which meets the load requirements of sink 2214 and sink 2216. After these total resource inputs and/or outputs for general asset 2204 have been determined for each resource type, a non-granular optimization problem for general asset 2204 can be solved using the determined resource inputs/outputs as constraints for the non-granular problem.

Referring still to FIG. 22B, general asset 2204 is shown consuming resource A, resource B, and resource E, and outputting (e.g., producing, converting, etc.) resource D to resource pool 2232, resource B to resource pool 2224, and resource F to resource pool 2228, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, sink 2214 receives a required load amount from resource pool 2232. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 stores some amount of resource D internally and can provide the stored resource D to resource pool 2232 as determined by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 produces resource B and provides the produced resource B to resource pool 2224, where it may be used by general asset 2204 again, and/or may be used by general asset 2206. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 produces resource F and provides resource F to resource pool 2228, which may be then used by general asset 2206, stored in storage 2220, or used by sink 2216 as required. In some embodiments, general asset 2204 functions similarly to a subplant, and has the relationship:

[B _(produced) ,D _(produced) ,F _(produced)]₂₂₀₄ =f(A _(consumed) ,B _(consumed) ,E _(consumed))₂₂₀₄

where f(A_(consumed), B_(consumed), E_(consumed))₂₂₀₄ is a model for general asset 2204. The model for general asset 2204 can be generated in a variety of ways including, for example, aggregating the models of the subplants or other assets which make up general asset 2204, or by performing a regression on general asset 2204 to determine the relationship between the input and output resources of general asset 2204, described in greater detail below. In some embodiments, various constraints can be determined based on non-granular resource diagram 2201 and/or various load constraints. For example, sink 2214 consumes an amount D_(load) from resource pool 2232. Resource pool 2232 is directly supplied by general asset 2204. Therefore, the constraint D_(produced,2204)=D_(load) can be determined. Likewise, general asset 2204 consumes resource E from resource pool 2230 which is directly supplied by general asset 2206, according to some embodiments. Therefore, the constraint E_(consumed,2204)=E_(produced,2206) can be determined. Other constraints can be similarly determined.

General asset 2206 can likewise function similar to a subplant, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general asset 2206 functions as a subplant according to the relationship:

[E _(produced) ,F _(produced)]₂₂₀₆ =f(A _(consumed) ,B _(consumed) ,C _(consumed) ,F _(consumed))₂₂₀₆

where f(A_(consumed),B_(consumed),C_(consumed),F_(consumed))₂₂₀₆ is a model relating the resource inputs to the resource outputs for general asset 2206. In some embodiments, the model for general asset 2206 is determined similarly to the model for general asset 2204 (e.g., by a regression, by aggregating models of the various subplants which define general asset 2206, etc.).

After asset allocator 402 has solved the non-granular optimization problem for non-granular resource diagram 2201, all of the resources consumed and produced as shown in FIG. 22B which optimally satisfy the given constraints (e.g., required resource load for sink 2214 and sink 2216) are known, according to some embodiments. These known resource production and consumption values can then be used to solve the more granular optimization problems for each of general asset 2204 and general asset 2206, as described in greater detail below.

Referring now to FIG. 23, general asset 2204 is shown in greater detail, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the resource productions and consumptions of general asset 2204 as determined by asset allocator 402 for the non-granular optimization problem are used to determine optimal asset allocation for the assets which define general asset 2204. For example, in FIG. 23, general asset 2204 consumes various amounts of resource A, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, subplant A consumes A_(consumed,1), subplant B consumes A_(consumed,2), etc. In order to meet the overall resource consumption/production of each resource as determined by the solution to the non-granular optimization problem, the sum of each resource entering and leaving general asset 2204 must equal the total resource as determined, according to some embodiments. For example, for resource A, a constraint based on the solution from FIG. 22B can be expressed as: A_(consumed,1)+A_(consumed,2)+A_(consumed,3)=A_(consumed,2204), where A_(consumed,2204) is known from the solution to the non-granular optimization problem. Likewise, for resource B, a constraint can be expressed as: B_(consumed,1)+B_(consumed,2)=B_(consumed,2204) and B_(produced)=B_(produced,2024), where B_(produced,2204) and B_(consumed,2204) are known from the solution to the non-granular optimization problem. For resource D, the constraint is: D_(produced,1)+D_(produced,2)±D_(stored)=D_(produced,2204), where D_(produced,2204) is known from the solution to the non-granular optimization problem. For resource E, the constraints are E_(produced)=E_(produced,2204) and E_(consumed)=E_(consumed,2204). It should be noted that resource production values have a positive value, while resource consumption values have a negative value as shown in the resource balances for each resource pool below.

Likewise, a constraint for each subplant can be determined using the subplant model. For subplant A, the constraint can be defined as: [E_(produced),D_(produced,1)]=A(A_(consumed,1), B_(consumed,1)) where f_(A) is a subplant model of subplant A which relates the consumed resource A and resource B to the produced resource E and the produced resource D. Likewise, for subplant B the constraint can be defined as [D_(produced,2),F_(produced)]=f_(B)(A_(consumed,2), B_(consumed,2)) where f_(B) is a subplant model of subplant B which relates the consumed resources A and B to the produced resources D and F. Likewise, for subplant E, the constraint can be defined as: B_(produced)=f_(E)(A_(consumed,3),E_(consumed)) where f_(E) is a subplant model of subplant E which relates the consumed resources A and E to the produced resource B.

In some embodiments, each of the resource pools as shown in FIG. 22B represent summing junctions, indicating a net amount of a particular resource. In some embodiments, resources which enter a resource pool have positive values, and resources which exit a resource pool have a negative value. For example, at resource pool 2228, a constraint can be defined as: F_(produced,2206)+F_(produced,2204)−F_(load)−F_(consumed,2026)±F_(storage)=0. Likewise, each of the resource pools can be considered summing junctions which sum to zero, with inputs being positive, and outputs being negative, which determines the constraints shown below:

F _(produced,2206) +F _(produced,2204) −F _(load) −F _(consumed,2026) ±F _(storage)=0

E _(produced,2204) +E _(produced,2206) −E _(consumed,2204)=0

D _(produced,2204) −D _(load)=0

General assets 2204 and 2206 may be treated as subplants and may be subject to a variety of constraints, generated similarly to the constraints in greater detail above with reference to FIG. 9. The constraints may define, for example, relationships between input resources and output resources (i.e., resource conversion rates), maximum and minimum rates at which resources can be produced or consumed, or other constraints that define how general assets 2204 and 2206 operate. In some embodiments, a model of each general asset (e.g., general asset 2204 and general asset 2206) is used by asset allocator 402 to determine asset allocation. The generation of the models for the general assets is described in greater detail below with reference to FIGS. 23-24. In some embodiments, the subplant models for general assets 2204 and 2206 are similar to the subplant models described in greater detail above with reference to FIG. 9. In some embodiments, a resource pool is created with a positive load for productions of the general assets and a negative load for usages of the general assets. In some embodiments, the resource pool is used by asset allocator 402 to solve the non-granular optimization problem represented by non-granular resource diagram 2201.

Asset allocator 402 uses these constraints to determine various sets of resource combinations which achieve the resource consumptions and productions as determined by the non-granular optimization problem, according to some embodiments. Since the resource consumptions and productions for general asset 2204 as determined by the non-granular optimization problem optimally satisfy the required resources for sinks 2214 and 2216, the various sets of resource combinations which achieve these resource consumptions and productions also satisfy the required resources for sinks 2214 and 2216. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 determines multiple combinations of resource allocation within general asset 2204 which satisfy the constraints as determined by the non-granular optimization problem. In this case, asset allocator 402 determines a cost function (described in greater detail above with reference to the description of asset allocator 402) for general asset 2204 and minimizes the cost function. In this way, asset allocator 402 determines asset allocation within general asset 2204 which cost-effectively provide sinks 2214 and 2216 with the required amount of resources.

Additionally, an overall model for general asset 2204 may be determined. The model may relate the resource production of general asset 2204 based on the resource consumptions of general asset 2204. In this way, the model can be used to determine resource productions for general asset 2204 based on the resources provided to and consumed by general asset 2204. In some embodiments, the model is an equation having the form:

[B _(produced) ,D _(produced,1) ,D _(produced,2) ,E _(produced) ,F _(produced)]=f ₂₂₀₄(A _(consumed,1) ,A _(consumed,2) ,A _(consumed,3) ,B _(consumed,1) ,B _(consumed,2) ,E _(consumed))

where f₂₂₀₄ is the model, relating the produced resources in terms of the consumed resources. In some embodiments, the model may be determined based on the models for each of the subplants which define general asset 2204. Each of these models may be added or otherwise combined to determine the overall model for general asset 2204. Adding the models for each of the subplants of general asset 2204 yields the equation:

[B_(produced), D_(produced, 1), D_(produced, 2), E_(produced), F_(produced)] = f_(A)(A_(consumed, 1), B_(consumed, 1)) + f_(B)(A_(consumed, 2), B_(consumed, 2)) + f_(E)(A_(consumed, 3), E_(consumed))

according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the model can be mathematically defined as: f₂₂₀₄=f_(A)+f_(B)+f_(E). More generally, this equation may be applied to any general asset as: f_(general,asset)=Σ(f_(A)+f_(B)+f_(C)+f_(D)+ . . . +f_(n)), where n is a number of subplants which make up the general asset. In some embodiments, the model takes into account an amount of a resource input/output (e.g., consumed and produced) by internal storage (e.g., storage 2218). For example, the model may include a storage model term f_(storage) which determines an amount of resource D input or output to general asset 2204 based on an input or output determination of asset allocator 402 and/or varies based on time.

In some embodiments, the model of the general asset (e.g., general asset 2204) may be determined by a regression process. In some embodiments, each of the various consumed resources are varied (e.g., A_(consumed,1) is varied), the produced resources are monitored, and a regression analysis is performed to determine a relationship between the consumed resources and the production resources. In some embodiments, one or both of the resource demand of sink 2214 and sink 2216 is varied and the consumed resources and produced resources of the general assets (e.g., general asset 2204) are monitored. A regression technique may be applied to the consumed resource information and the produced resource information to determine a model for the general asset which relates consumed resources to produced resources. The regression technique may be useful if one or more of the models of the subplants are unknown or if the subplant models cannot be combined to determine the model of general asset 2204.

Referring now to FIG. 24, general asset 2206 is shown, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general asset 2206 is analyzed similarly to general asset 2204 as described in greater detail above with reference to FIG. 23. For example, various resource constraints of the consumed and produced resources of general asset 2206 may be determined, an overall model of general asset 2206 may be determined, and various subplant constraints may be determined.

For example, the required resource production and resource consumption of general asset 2206 as determined by the non-granular optimization problem may be used as constraints for the specific resources which are consumed or produced by general asset 2206, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the determined resource production and resource consumption are goals or targets for the optimization of general assets 2204 and 2206. In some embodiments, if a solution determined for granular optimization problems of general assets 2204 and 2206 does not meet the target/goal, a penalty is incorporated into the cost function associated with the granular optimization problems. As shown in FIG. 24, general asset 2206 is fairly simple, and it can be determined that A_(consumed), B_(consumed), C_(consumed), E_(consumed), F_(consumed), and F_(produced) are all directly determined by the non-granular optimization problem. In this case, any resource allocation which may otherwise be determined by performing a granular asset allocation is already determined by the non-granular optimization, however, it should be noted that general asset 2206 could be more complex and could require an additional granular optimization.

Hierarchical Approach

Referring now to FIG. 25, a block diagram 2500 illustrating the logical progression of a hierarchical asset allocation method is shown, according to some embodiments. Each level of the hierarchy represents a view of the same underlying assets at a different level of abstraction or granularity. The top level is the least granular whereas the bottom level is the most granular. In some embodiments, top level assets 2502 include general asset 2504 and general asset 2506. In some embodiments, general asset 2504 and general asset 2506 include sub-general assets. For example, general asset 2504 includes sub-general asset 2508 and sub-general asset 2510, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general asset 2506 includes sub-general asset 2512 and sub-general asset 2514. Top level assets 2502 represent a non-granular (top level) optimization problem, which may include various sources, sinks, subplants, storage, etc., and may be optimized by asset allocator 402, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, top level assets 2502 are grouped into general assets 2504 and 2506. The top level assets 2502 may then be optimized with the general assets to determine general resource and model inputs for each of the general assets 2504 and 2506. In some embodiments, the general resource inputs for each of the general assets 2504 and 2506 can be used as constraints to perform an optimization for general assets 2504 and 2506. In some embodiments, general assets 2504 and 2506 are used to determine optimal resource allocation and model inputs for sub-general assets 2508-2514. Finally, sub-general assets 2508-2514 may each be optimized to determine optimal asset allocation (e.g., resource consumption, model inputs, etc.) of subplants 2516. In this way, general assets 2504 and 2506 may be treated themselves as top level assets 2502, having sub-general assets which asset allocator 402 can optimize.

Asset allocation may be performed from a top-down (e.g., non-granular to granular) approach. For example, asset allocation may first be performed for top level assets 2502 to determine asset allocation for general assets 2504 and 2506. The determined asset allocation of each of general asset 2504 and 2506 may be used to perform asset allocation for the sub-general assets of each of general asset 2504 and general asset 2506. In this way, asset allocation may be performed for each of general asset 2504 and 2506 to determine optimal asset allocation for sub-general assets (e.g., 2508 and 2510) which define each general asset. After the optimal asset allocation for each sub-general asset has been determined (e.g., an optimal amount of a particular resource to consume/produce), asset allocation may be performed on each sub-general asset to determine optimal asset allocation for subplants 2516 which define/make up sub-general assets. In this way, block diagram 2500 represents a series of asset allocation problems. Specifically, block diagram 2500 represents seven asset allocation/optimization problems. The first asset allocation problem is performed at a top/non-granular level to determine asset allocation for general assets 2504 and 2506 (e.g., resource consumption and production), the second and third asset allocation problems are performed at a more granular level to determine asset allocation (e.g., resource consumption and production) for each of sub-general assets 2508-2514, and the fourth, fifth, sixth, and seventh asset allocation problems are performed at a most granular level to determine asset allocation (e.g., resource consumption and production) for each of subplants 2516. The number of asset allocation problems which asset allocator 402 performs is determined by the following equation:

#asset allocation problems=# general assets+# sub general assets+1

according to some embodiments.

It should be noted that any number of general assets may be defined, and any number of sub-general assets may be defined. Additionally, further general assets may be defined within sub-general assets, further general assets may be defined within these general assets, etc.

While the hierarchical asset allocation method disclosed herein increases a number of asset allocation problems which must be optimized, each of the asset allocation problems are simpler (e.g., less resource inputs/outputs, etc.) when compared to an asset allocation problem which seeks to determine optimal asset allocation for all of the subplants without hierarchically grouping the subplants. In this way, the hierarchical asset allocation approach provides a non-granular approach to determining asset allocation by first determining overall asset allocation for general assets, and then progressively determining low-level asset allocation for the subplants. This approach reduces the complexity of the optimization processes and reduces the amount of processing time and processing resources required to complete the optimizations.

Airside System

Referring now to FIGS. 26-27, another example of a system which the hierarchical asset allocation may be applied to is shown. An airside system 2700 includes general assets 2600, shown in detail in FIG. 26, according to some embodiments. General assets 2600 receive electricity 2602, liquid refrigerant 2708, super-heated gas 2704, and a wetbulb temperature, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general assets 2600 output total thermal energy 2612, as shown. General assets 2600 include subplant 2604, which receives the inputs and produces cold air 2606 and hot air 2608, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, cold air 2606 and hot air 2608 are provided to general storage 2610. General storage 2610 may be building storage, a zone group, etc. In some embodiments, general storage 2610 is represented by a state space model, which relates the stored resource to time (e.g., varying with respect to time). Asset allocation may be performed to airside system 2700 to determine various inputs and required outputs of general assets 2600 to meet a required total thermal energy 2612. In some embodiments, the required inputs and outputs are provided to general assets 2600 as constraints, and asset allocation is performed to each of general assets 2600 to determine optimal asset allocation for each of general assets 2600 such that the required total thermal energy 2612 is met. When performing the asset allocation, the internal design of general assets 2600 can be run to improve the quality of the results. After the asset allocation for airside system 2700 has been completed, each general asset 2600 has estimates of productions and usages over a time window, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, for each resource consumed or produced by general assets 2600, a resource pool is created with a positive load for productions and a negative load for usages (e.g., consumptions). This process can be completed recursively until all general assets 2600 have been solved.

Referring still to FIGS. 26-27, outdoor unit 2702, and general assets 2600 are shown receiving a wetbulb temperature, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the wetbulb temperature is a measured value. In some embodiments, the wetbulb temperature is a model input. Outdoor unit 2702 is a subplant which consumes electricity 2602, suction gas 2706, and liquid refrigerant 2708, and produces super-heated gas 2704 which may be provided to subplants 2604 of general assets 2600, according to some embodiments.

General Asset Example Construction

Referring now to FIGS. 30-32, a construction of a general asset is shown. FIGS. 30-32 show a system 3000 including various zones 3002 served by an air handling unit 3004. Zones 3002 can be grouped into zone groups 3008 (as shown in FIG. 31), and/or into regions 3006 (as shown in FIG. 32). Any of the processes, techniques, functionality, methods, etc., described herein can be performed by general asset generator 2814 and/or general asset model generator 2812 (shown in FIG. 28). For example, general asset generator 2814 and/or general asset model generator 2812 can use any of the techniques, functionality, processes, methods, etc., described herein to construct a model for any general assets that asset allocator 402 can use to optimize asset allocation throughout the system.

For the construction of general assets, a set of integers is denoted by

and a set of positive integers is denoted by

, according to some embodiments. A set of integers contained in the interval [a, b] is denoted by

, according to some embodiments. For a time-dependent vector x(k)∈

^(n), {tilde over (x)}(i|k)∈

^(n) denotes the (open-loop) predicted value of x at time step i∈

_(≥0) with the prediction initialized at time k∈

, according to some embodiments. For notational simplicity, the notation of the predicted value of x at time i starting from time k is abbreviated to {tilde over (x)}(i), according to some embodiments. Boldface letters are used to represent a sequence with cardinality N∈

(i.e., x:={x(0), . . . , x(N−1)}), according to some embodiments. The notation ⋅* (e.g., x*) denotes an optimal quantity, according to some embodiments.

The class of system models used to represent general storage in an Enterprise Optimization Solution (EOS) is given by the following discrete-time mode-dependent linear time-invariant system model:

x(k+1)=A _(σ(k)) x(k)+B _(σ(k)) u(k)

y(k)=C _(σ(k)) x(k)+D _(σ(k)) u(k)

where k∈

is the discrete time index, x(k)∈

^(n) ^(x) is the state vector, y(k)∈

^(n) ^(y) is the measured output, u(k)∈

^(n) ^(u) is the input vector including manipulated (control) inputs and disturbances, according to some embodiments. The sequence {σ(k)}_(k)=0 denotes an HVAC mode, according to some embodiments. For example, the operation modes may be heating, cooling, standby/off, etc. The operation modes are such that σ(k)∈Γ for all k≥0 where Γ is a set representing all the operation modes, according to some embodiments. For each σ∈Γ, matrix A_(σ) is assumed to be stable; that is the real parts of eigenvalues of A_(σ) lie in the unit circle. The pair (A_(σ), B_(σ)) is assumed to be stabilizable and the pair (A_(σ), C_(σ)) is assumed to be observable for all σ∈Γ, according to some embodiments. The system mode shown above defines a general class of models, according to some embodiments. The thermal models used to model the temperature dynamics is described below and may be cast according to the general system model shown above. In particular, the system model shown above may be used to describe the dynamics of subsystems of the model predictive control (MPC) framework (e.g., the optimization problem as constructed and defined by asset allocator 402): zone groups in the mid-level MPCs and building mass storage in asset allocator 402 or high level MPC.

States, inputs, and outputs may all be subject to time-varying bound constraints of the form z_(lb)(k)≤z(k)≤z_(ub)(k) where z(k) is a state, input, or output at time k and z_(lb)(k) and z_(ub)(k) are its corresponding lower and upper bounds at time k, according to some embodiments. State and output bounds can be softened. Moreover, under a particular mode, a state, input, or output may have no impact to the model variables (e.g., the heating setpoint when the system is in cooling mode). These variables can be set to default values since they have negligible impact and are therefore not decision variables in the constructed optimization problem.

Building mass may be used as passive thermal storage. The underlying model describing the temporal evolution of the temperature(s) of a building is more complicated than the linear integrator model usually used to describe the thermal energy storage tank and battery state-of-charge as a function of the charge and discharge rates (described in greater detail above). The building mass temperature is estimated from air temperature measurements, according to some embodiments. Buildings have an internal heating load as a result of occupancy, lights and other electrical equipment, and solar radiation, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the buildings tend not to be as well-insulated as thermal energy storage tanks, which can result in an unmeasured disturbance. All these heat transfer phenomena require a more sophisticated model compared to that used to describe an (active) thermal energy storage tank (described in greater detail above).

Another potential complication is that the control volume (i.e., physical space of a building) over which a model is derived may not necessarily be the same and may vary from application to application due to, for example, the HVAC equipment, building configuration, and/or problem scope (single zone, single building, or campus of buildings). This motivates the need to adopt a general control-oriented building modeling framework to abstract application specific details.

To this end, the concept of a general storage, which is a general modeling framework adopted for describing the temporal evolution of temperatures and power consumptions of building spaces is introduced, according to some embodiments. A building mass storage unit is mathematically described by the system model shown above. Moreover, one key idea used in this modeling framework is the concept of aggregate models, according to some embodiments. The modeling terminology may refer to “HVAC/thermal zones,” an “HVAC zone group,” an “HVAC region,” “building mass storage,” and “general storage.” HVAC/thermal zone is a physical space within a building equipped with its own temperature control, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the temperature control is implemented through a local thermostat that controls the quantity and/or temperature of the supply air to the space. An HVAC zone group is a plurality of (e.g., more than one) zones over which a model is derived (i.e., the control volume of the resulting model is a plurality of zones), according to some embodiments. An HVAC zone group is the smallest area over which a thermal model is developed for use in the model predictive control scheme as described herein. It is important to note that an HVAC zone group may be a single zone for some applications, and for other applications, a zone group may be, for example, all the zones of a building floor.

An HVAC region is a zone group consisting of all the zones served by a single air handling unit (e.g., air handling unit 3004), according to some embodiments. A building mass storage is a plurality of zone groups over which an aggregate model is developed and used in the high level (e.g., the top-level optimization problem as solved by top level allocator 402 a), according to some embodiments. The zone group collection is used in the high level (e.g., the least granular optimization level, top level allocator 402 a), according to some embodiments. A general storage is a dynamic model of the form of the system model shown above, equipped with bound constraints, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the states and outputs may be hard or soft constraints, and default values for inputs and outputs for the general storage. Thus, a general storage model can be used to describe the temporal temperature evolution of a single HVAC zone (e.g., one of zones 3002) or a plurality of HVAC zones (e.g., region 3006).

The concept of building mass storage unit provides a general framework to include various types of system models, according to some embodiments. Referring particularly to FIG. 30-32, a few examples of building mass storage units (e.g., zones 3002) for a space served by an air handler unit 3004 are shown. Depending on several factors (scope/size of application) and desired model fidelity, a building mass storage unit model may be developed for (a) each zone 3002 within the region (e.g., each zone 3002 as shown in FIG. 30), (b) all the zones 3002 with the same exposure orientation (e.g., zone groups 3008 such as north facing zones, west facing zones, east facing zones, etc. as shown in FIG. 31), or (c) an entire region (e.g., region 3006 as shown in FIG. 32). It may not be desirable for large applications to model each zone individually as the number of models that need to be developed may be large (i.e., a building may contain hundreds of zones), according to some embodiments.

In the hierarchical model predictive control design described throughout the present disclosure, there may be two model types: (1) a high level subsystem model that captures the dynamics of a building mass storage (e.g., a general asset for building mass storage), and (2) a low level subsystem model that describes the dynamics of a zone group, according to some embodiments. Measurements are available for each zone and for each HVAC equipment, according to some embodiments. To develop and identify parameters of a model that describes a zone group (e.g., a north facing zone group 3008), the measurements obtained from each zone 3002 must be aggregated. In particular, the aggregate temperature and aggregate HVAC heating and cooling loads of each zone group 3008 are assumed to be computed from available measurements.

The zone group temperature may be an arithmetic mean:

$T_{ia} = \frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n_{zg}}T_{{zn},i}}{n_{zg}}$

where T_(ia) is the aggregate zone group temperature or indoor air temperature, T_(zn,i) is the ith zone temperature, and n_(zg) is the number of zones (e.g., number of zones 3002) in the zone group (e.g., zone group 3008), according to some embodiments. An arithmetic mean may be appropriate when all zone temperatures of the zone group (e.g., all the temperatures of zones 3002 in a zone group 3008) are similar. When some zones 3002 exhibit different behavior such there are significant differences in the zone temperatures of zone group 3008, a potentially better aggregate temperature for zone group 3008 is a weighted average of the zone temperatures:

T _(ia)=Σ_(i=1) ^(n) ^(zg) w _(i) T _(zn,i)

according to some embodiments.

The general aggregation to compute the zone group temperature of the weighted average of the zone temperatures may also be used, according to some embodiments. An appropriate choice of weights can reflect the size of zones 3002. One such weighting presented in the arithmetic mean equation shown above is to weight by the thermal capacitance: w_(i)=C_(zn,i)/Σ_(j) ^(n)C_(zn,j) of each zone 3002 in a zone group 3008. Nonetheless, this requires identification/estimation of the thermal capacitance of each zone 3002, which may or may not be practical for systems with many zones 3002. The default temperature aggregation method is the arithmetic mean method due to its simplicity, while the weighted average method allows for fine tuning during the commissioning phase, according to some embodiments.

Under cooling mode of the HVAC equipment (e.g., cooling mode of air handling unit 3004), the sensible cooling load of a zone group 3008 is given by:

${\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{clg} = {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^{n_{zg}}{{\overset{\cdot}{m}}_{i}{C_{p,{air}}\left( {T_{{zn},i} - T_{{SA},i}} \right)}}}$

where {dot over (m)}_(i) is the mass flow rate of conditioned air delivered to the ith zone 3002, C_(p,air) is the heat capacity of air (assumed to be constant), and T_(SA,i) is the supply air temperature to the ith zone 3002. Under heating mode, the sensible heating load of a zone group 3008 is given by:

${\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{htg} = {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^{n_{zg}}{{\overset{\cdot}{m}}_{i}{C_{p,{air}}\left( {T_{{SA},i} - T_{{zn},i}} \right)}}}$

according to some embodiments.

For systems with zone reheat, the sensible heating load of a zone group 3008 is:

${\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{htg} = {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^{n_{zg}}{{\overset{\cdot}{m}}_{i}{C_{p,{air}}\left( {T_{{DA},i} - T_{{zn},i}} \right)}}}$

where T_(DA,i) is the discharge air temperature of the ith zone 3002, according to some embodiments. To compute the sensible heating and cooling loads, measurements of the flow rate, discharge air temperature, supply air temperature, and zone air temperature are required, according to some embodiments. When the discharge air temperature of each zone is not measured, reheat may be considered to be a disturbance to the MPC (e.g., by hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800). If there is no measurement available to quantify the heat provided to zones 3002 by electric heaters, heat provided by electric heaters may also be treated as a disturbance. It is expected that the installation of sensors to measure the amount of reheat and electric heat and feed these measurements back to the MPC giving the MPC (e.g., hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800) visibility of both heating sources would improve the overall performance of the MPC scheme.

To describe the thermal dynamics of a zone group (e.g., zone groups 3008), a two thermal resistance, two thermal capacitance (2R2C) control-oriented thermal mass model is used and is given by the following linear differential equations:

${C_{ia}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{ia}} = {{\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{m} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{oi}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{ia}} \right)} - {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{clg} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{htg} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{other}}$ ${C_{m}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m}} = {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{ia} - T_{m}} \right)}$

T_(ia) is indoor air temperature, T_(oa) is outdoor air temperature, T_(m) is thermal mass temperature, T_(sp) is indoor air temperature setpoint, C_(m) is lumped mass thermal capacitance, C_(ia) is indoor air thermal capacitance, R_(mi) is indoor air-thermal mass thermal resistance, R_(oi) is indoor air-outdoor air thermal resistance, {dot over (Q)}_(clg) is sensible HVAC cooling load, {dot over (Q)}_(htg) is sensible HVAC heating load, and {dot over (Q)}_(other) is internal heat load/gains through solar radiation, occupancy, and electrical equipment, according to some embodiments.

The thermal dynamic model shown above describes the heat transfer between the indoor air and the thermal mass, the heat transfer through the building envelope and through infiltration/exfiltration, the sensible heating/cooling loads of the HVAC, and the internal heat load on the space generated by the occupants, electrical plug and lighting, and solar radiation, according to some embodiments. The model shown above can be referred to as “the thermal model”. The thermal model can be shown to yield acceptable prediction accuracy while managing the trade-off between model complexity (i.e., number of parameters that need to be estimated/identified) and model prediction accuracy, according to some embodiments. The internal heat load can be difficult to measure, and thus, is treated as an unmeasured, time-varying disturbance.

The sensible load provided by the HVAC equipment (e.g., air handling unit 3004) is a function of the temperature setpoint as well as other factors including the heat gained/lost through the building envelop, the internal heat load, and the heat transferred to/removed from the building thermal mass, according to some embodiments. To provide or remove heat to a particular zone 3002, several processes occur. For a chilled water cooled building with a central AHU serving several variable air volume (VAV) terminal boxes (shown in FIG. 30), the following processes occur to provide cool air to the particular zone 3002, according to some embodiments. First, a chiller generates chilled water that is pumped to the AHU cooling coil, according to some embodiments. Air is blown over the cooling coils of the AHU to cool the air to 55° F. (or any other desired value), according to some embodiments. The cooled air is then blown through the supply air duct, according to some embodiments. At terminal VAV boxes 3010 at the zone 3002 (shown in FIG. 30), the flow rate of cooled air is adjusted via a damper such that the zone (e.g., zones 3002) reaches and/or stays at the temperature setpoint.

The dynamics of the cooling or heating load with respect to a setpoint change tends not to be negligible over the time-scale of interest for utilizing the energy storage of a building mass, according to some embodiments. As a result, the dynamics the HVAC sensible load with the temperature setpoint are modeled, according to some embodiments. A model that has been can be effective is the use of a proportional-integral (PI) controller model:

${\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{j} = {{K_{c,j}\left( {T_{{sp},j} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\frac{K_{c,j}}{\tau_{I,j}}I_{j}}}$ ${\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{j} = {T_{{sp},j} - T_{ia}}$

where j∈{clg, hlg} is the index that is used to denote either heating or cooling mode, according to some embodiments. The model shown above is an appropriate model because it accounts for the error between the indoor air temperature and the setpoint along with an integrator to account for the time-varying nature of the HVAC load needed to force the indoor temperature to its setpoint (i.e., the integrator value will be correlated with the internal heat load disturbance and acts as an integrating disturbance in the model).

Buildings with staged HVAC equipment are very common especially in light commercial buildings, according to some embodiments. For staged equipment, the sensible heating and cooling load of the HVAC system is modeled to take values in the following set:

{dot over (Q)} _(j)={0,{dot over (Q)} _(j,s1) ,{dot over (Q)} _(j,s2) , . . . ,{dot over (Q)} _(j,sn)}

where {dot over (Q)}_(j,si) for i∈{1, . . . , n} is the HVAC load with the 1 to ith stage on, according to some embodiments. The model shown above, which allows for continuous values of {dot over (Q)}_(j), is not directly applicable to the stage equipment case, according to some embodiments. However, some scheme may be used to compute the time-averaged HVAC load over a time period, which gives a continuous version of the HVAC load needed to meet setpoint. Filtering techniques are used to filter the discrete sensible load signal and get a continuous representation of the HVAC load {dot over (Q)}_(j), according to some embodiments.

For the filtered version of the HVAC load, the PI controller model of the model shown above is a suitable choice of model to describe the behavior of the HVAC with the temperature setpoint, according to some embodiments. With slight change of notation, {dot over (Q)}_(j) (j∈{htg, clg}) is used to represent the heating/cooling load or the filtered heating/cooling load depending on whether the HVAC equipment is variable speed or staged, respectively, according to some embodiments.

The zone group model (e.g., zones 3008) for each of the modes is described herein below. In cooling mode, the zone group model is:

${C_{ia}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{ia}} = {{\frac{1}{R_{o\; i}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{m} - T_{ia}} \right)} - {K_{c,{clg}}\left( {T_{sp} - T_{ia}} \right)} - {\frac{K_{c,{clg}}}{\tau_{I,{clg}}}I_{clg}} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{other}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{C_{m}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m}} = {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{ia} - T_{m}} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{clg} = {T_{sp} - T_{ia}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{htg} = 0}$

where K_(c,clg)<0 (by sign convention), according to some embodiments. In heating mode, the model is given by:

${C_{ia}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{ia}} = {{\frac{1}{R_{o\; i}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{m} - T_{ia}} \right)} - {K_{c,{htg}}\left( {T_{sp} - T_{ia}} \right)} - {\frac{K_{c,{htg}}}{\tau_{I,{htg}}}I_{htg}} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{other}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{C_{m}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m}} = {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{ia} - T_{m}} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{clg} = 0}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{htg} = {T_{sp} - T_{ia}}}$

according to some embodiments.

In off/standby mode, the model is given by:

${C_{ia}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{ia}} = {{\frac{1}{R_{o\; i}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{m} - T_{ia}} \right)} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{other}}$ ${C_{m}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m}} = {\frac{1}{R_{m\; i}}\left( {T_{ia} - T_{m}} \right)}$ $\; {{\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{clg} = 0}$ ${\overset{\cdot}{I}}_{htg} = 0$

according to some embodiments.

Converting the continuous-time sets of ordinary differential equations of the models shown above to discrete-time and writing the equations in state-space form, gives the following discrete-time switched system:

$\underset{\underset{= {:{x{({k + 1})}}}}{}}{\begin{bmatrix} {T_{ia}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {T_{m}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {I_{clg}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {I_{htg}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \end{bmatrix}} = {{A_{\sigma {(k)}}\underset{\underset{= {:{x{(k)}}}}{}}{\begin{bmatrix} {T_{ia}(k)} \\ {T_{m}(k)} \\ {I_{clg}(k)} \\ {I_{htg}(k)} \end{bmatrix}}} + {B_{\sigma {(k)}}\underset{\underset{= {:{u{(k)}}}}{}}{\begin{bmatrix} {T_{sp}(k)} \\ {T_{oa}(k)} \end{bmatrix}}} + {B_{d}\underset{\underset{= {:{d{(k)}}}}{}}{{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{other}(k)}}}$

with measured outputs:

$\underset{\underset{= {:{y{(k)}}}}{}}{\begin{bmatrix} {T_{ia}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{clg}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{htg}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} = {{C_{\sigma {(k)}}\begin{bmatrix} {T_{ia}(k)} \\ {T_{m}(k)} \\ {I_{clg}(k)} \\ {I_{htg}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} + {D_{\sigma {(k)}}\begin{bmatrix} {T_{sp}(k)} \\ {T_{oa}(k)} \end{bmatrix}}}$

where σ(k)∈{off, htg, clg}, according to some embodiments. The models shown herein above have a similar form to the discrete-time mode-dependent linear time-invariant system model shown above. The elements of the state-space matrices are identified via the system identification algorithm (i.e., the weighted average of the zone temperatures shown above).

In higher level MPC (e.g., top level allocator 402 a), aggregate models that describe the dynamics of a zone group collection are used, according to some embodiments. The aggregate modeling adopted is similar to that presented in the arithmetic mean of the zone group temperature (shown above) and are constructed from the parameters of the zone group models, according to some embodiments. The following quantities are defined:

${C_{b}:={\sum\limits_{i}C_{{ia},i}}},{C_{m,b}:={\sum\limits_{i}C_{m,i}}}$ ${T_{b}:=\frac{\sum_{i}{C_{{ia},i}T_{{ia},i}}}{C_{b}}},{T_{m,b}:=\frac{\sum_{i}{C_{m,i}T_{m,i}}}{C_{m,b}}}$

where T_(b) and T_(m,b) are the aggregate air and mass temperatures of the zone group collection, according to some embodiments. It should be noted that:

${\sum\limits_{i}{C_{{ia},i}\frac{{dT}_{{ia},i}}{dt}}} = {{\sum\limits_{i}\frac{d\left( {C_{ia}T_{{ia},i}} \right)}{dt}} = {{C_{b}\frac{d\left( {\sum_{i}{C_{ia}{T_{{ia},i}/C_{b}}}} \right)}{dt}} = {C_{b}\frac{{dT}_{b}}{dt}}}}$

and similarly

${\sum\limits_{i}{c_{m,i}\frac{dT_{m,i}}{dt}}} = {c_{m,b}\frac{dT_{m,b}}{dt}}$

according to some embodiments.

Thus, an aggregate model describing the evolution of the aggregate temperature is:

${C_{{ia},b}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{ia},b}} = {{{\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},i}}\left( {T_{m,i} - T_{{ia},i}} \right)}} + {\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{R_{{oi},i}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{{ia},i}} \right)}}} = {{\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},i}} + {\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},i}} + {\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},i}}}}$ $\mspace{76mu} {{C_{m,b}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m,b}} = {\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},i}}\left( {T_{{ia},i} - T_{m,i}} \right)}}}$

according to some embodiments.

The sum of the differences between two zone group temperature (T _(1,i) and T _(2,i)) can be represented as:

${\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {{\overset{\_}{T}}_{1,i} - {\overset{\_}{T}}_{2,i}} \right)}} = {{\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {{\overset{\_}{T}}_{1,i} - T_{1,{agg}} + T_{1,{agg}} - T_{2,{agg}} + T_{2,{agg}} - {\overset{\_}{T}}_{2,i}} \right)}} = {{\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {\left( {{\overset{\_}{T}}_{1,i} - T_{1,{agg}}} \right) + \left( {T_{1,{agg}} - T_{2,{agg}}} \right) + \left( {T_{2,{agg}} - {\overset{\_}{T}}_{2,i}} \right)} \right)}} = {{\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {T_{1,{agg}} - T_{2,{agg}}} \right)}} + {\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {{\overset{\_}{T}}_{1,i} - T_{1,{agg}}} \right)}} + {\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{\_}{R}}_{i}}\left( {T_{2,{agg}} - {\overset{\_}{T}}_{2,i}} \right)}}}}}$

where T_(1,agg) and T_(2,agg) are the aggregate versions of the two temperatures, respectively, according to some embodiments. When all zones (e.g., all zones 3002) have similar dynamic behavior such that T _(1,i)≈T_(1,agg) and T _(2,i)≈T_(2,agg), the following approximation may be used:

${\sum\limits_{i}{\frac{1}{{\overset{¯}{R}}_{i}}\left( {{\overset{¯}{T}}_{1,i} - {\overset{¯}{T}}_{2,i}} \right)}} \approx {\frac{1}{{\overset{¯}{R}}_{b}}\left( {T_{1,{agg}} - T_{2,{agg}}} \right)}$

where 1/R _(b)=Σ_(i)1/R _(i), according to some embodiments. Thus, the following aggregate quantities can be defined:

${\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},b}}:={\sum\limits_{i}\frac{1}{R_{m,i}}}},{\frac{1}{R_{{oi},b}}:={\sum\limits_{i}\frac{1}{R_{{oi},i}}}},{{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b}:={\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},i}}},{{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b}:={\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},i}}},{{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}:={\sum\limits_{i}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},i}}}$

according to some embodiments.

The aggregate model describing the evolution of the aggregate temperatures (shown above) after applying the approximation yields:

${C_{{ia},b}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{ia},b}} = {{\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{m,b} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{{oi},b}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} - {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{C_{m,b}{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{m,b}} = {\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{{ia},b} - T_{m,b}} \right)}}$

according to some embodiments.

Furthermore, when C_(m,b)>>C_(ia,b), there exists an explicit time-scale separation and the model may be written as:

${ɛ\; {\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{ia},b}} = {{\frac{1}{C_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{m,b} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}R_{{oi},b}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} - {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b}} + {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b}} + {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{m\; i},b} = {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{{ia},b} - T_{m,b}} \right)}}$

where

${ɛ:={\frac{c_{{ia},b}}{c_{m,b}}{\operatorname{<<}1}}},$

according to some embodiments. Setting ε=0, an approximate reduced order model that describes the slow dynamics (i.e., the building mass temperature) is derived:

$0 = {{\frac{1}{R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{m,b} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} + {\frac{1}{R_{{oi},b}}\left( {T_{oa} - T_{{ia},b}} \right)} - {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b} + {\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{m\; i},b} = {\frac{1}{C_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}}\left( {T_{{ia},b} - T_{m,b}} \right)}}$

or written in state-space form:

${\overset{\cdot}{T}}_{{m\; i},b} = {{{k_{m,b}\left( {R_{{oi},b} - 1} \right)}T_{m,b}} - {k_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b}} + {k_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b}} + {k_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}T_{oa}} + {k_{m,b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}}}$ $T_{{ia},b} = {{k_{{ia},b}R_{{oi},b}T_{m,b}} + {k_{{ia},b}R_{{m\; i},b}T_{oa}} - {k_{{ia},b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},b}} + {k_{{ia},b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},b}} + {k_{{ia},b}R_{{m\; i},b}R_{{oi},b}{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{other},b}}}$

where

${{k_{{ia},b}:} = {{\frac{1}{\left( {R_{{mi},b} + R_{{oi},b}} \right)}\mspace{14mu} {and}\mspace{14mu} k_{m,b}} = \frac{k_{{ia},b}}{C_{m,b}R_{{mi},b}}}},$

according to some embodiments. Note that in either case, the system may be written in the following general form (after time-discretization):

x _(b)(k+1)=A _(b) x(k)+Bu _(b)(k)+B _(d) d _(b)(k)

y _(b)(k)=Cx _(b)(k)+Du _(b)(k)

where the subscript b is used to denote the asset laver aggregate model, with input/output constraints of the form u(k)∈

⊂

^(m) and y(k)∈

⊆

^(p), according to some embodiments. Again, the model shown above takes the form of the model of the discrete-time mode-dependent linear time-invariant system model as shown above.

The purpose of the building mass model predictive control is to determine zone group temperature setpoints within a range of temperatures that occupants find comfortable, according to some embodiments. The temperature setpoints are selected to minimize energy costs, according to some embodiments. For buildings with a few number of zone groups (e.g., 20-30 or less), a single centralized MPC scheme could be used to decide the zone group temperature setpoint for each zone group. For example, a (centralized) economic MPC scheme may be designed for a single zone application controlled by a smart thermostat. A centralized MPC scheme may provide the best closed-loop performance because it solves a problem that accounts for all subsystems, according to some embodiments. However, for applications with a larger number of zone groups, the resulting centralized MPC problem becomes large, potentially computationally intractable with optimization problem solvers, and also, the maintenance of the resulting MPC scheme may become more difficult.

To achieve scalability of the MPC architecture when applied to large-scale applications (e.g., buildings and campuses with hundreds/thousands of zones), the control problem is decomposed into hierarchical layers, and a distributed control strategy is used, as shown in FIGS. 33-34. The hierarchical MPC is responsible for load shifting utilizing the building thermal mass storage to account for time-varying energy prices and for electrical demand charges.

Referring now to FIGS. 33-34, a block diagram 3300 of a hierarchical MPC optimization is shown. At the highest layer (e.g., the top-level), the asset allocator (e.g., asset allocator 402 as shown in FIG. 28), which accounts for the entire system (e.g., airside system 2700), allocates loads across all the system assets. In particular, asset allocator 402 accounts for all the zones that are being controlled through the aggregate modeling described in greater detail hereinabove (i.e., it has a model for each zone group collection being controlled). For each zone group collection (e.g., a collection of zone groups 3304 represented by MPCs 3302), asset allocator 402 budgets the amount of sensible heating and cooling for each zone group collection, according to some embodiments. The optimal heating and cooling loads for each zone group collection are then sent down to the lower building mass MPC layer (e.g., MPCs 3302), according to some embodiments. Given the heating and cooling load allocated to each zone group collection, each lower layer building mass MPC (e.g., MPCs 3302) decides the zone group temperature setpoints (recall the zone group collection may consist of multiple zone groups), according to some embodiments. The zone group temperature setpoints are decided such that the sum of predicted heating and cooling load for each zone group 3304 is equal to (or approximately equal to) the allocated zone group collection load in the asset allocator layer (e.g., the top-level optimization problem as performed by top level allocator 402 a), according to some embodiments.

At the lowest level of the hierarchy (e.g., at the most-granular optimization problem as performed by bottom level allocator 402 b and represented by block diagram 3400 shown in FIG. 34), the zone group temperature setpoint decision are converted to individual zone temperature setpoints. In general, this may be a linear mapping from the zone group temperature setpoint:

T _(zn,sp,i,j,l) =w _(i,j,l) T* _(sp,i,j) +b _(i,j,l)

where w_(i,j,k) and b_(i,j,k) is the weight and bias associated with the linear mapping, according to some embodiments. The index l is zone number, the index j is the zone group number, and the index i is the zone group collection number, according to some embodiments. Thus, T_(zn,sp,i,j,l) is the lth zone of the jth zone group of the ith zone group collection, according to some embodiments. By default, the mapping is such that w_(i,j,k)=1 and b_(i,j,k)=0 so that all zone temperature setpoints are equal to the zone group temperature setpoint, according to some embodiments.

If the temperature range of the zone group temperatures (e.g., zone groups 3304) and individual zone temperature (e.g., zones 3306) are different the following mapping may be used:

$T_{{{zn}.{sp}},i,j,l} = {{\frac{T_{{m\; {ax}},i,j,l} - T_{{m\; i\; n},i,j,l}}{T_{{m\; {ax}},i,j} - T_{{m\; i\; n},{i\; j}}}\left( {T_{{sp},i,j}^{*} - T_{{m\; i\; n},i,j}} \right)} + T_{{m\; i\; n},i,j}}$

where T_(min,i,j,l) and T_(max,i,j,l) denote the minimum and maximum zone temperatures and T_(min,i,j) and T_(max,i,j) denote the minimum and maximum zone group temperatures, according to some embodiments. It should be noted that the minimums and maximum may vary with time.

Nonetheless, the general mapping as shown above allows for some customization if for example, a user/building operator would like to exclude zones from being controlled by the MPC and/or allow for zones of the same zone group to have different upper and lower comfort bounds, according to some embodiments. Finally, if the weight and bias change, the model parameters of the zone group model may need to be adjusted (from a strict mathematical point-of-view, the model parameters change, but from a practical point-of-view, the modification could be negligible), according to some embodiments.

Asset allocator 402 generates reference sensible HVAC heating and cooling loads budgeted for each zone group collection (e.g., a collection of zone groups 3304). The underlying dynamic model describing the jth zone group collection is given by:

x _(b,j)(k+1)=A _(b,j) x(k)+Bu _(b,j)(k)+B _(d) d _(b,j)(k)

y _(b,j)(k)=Cx _(b,j)(k)+Du _(b,j)(k)

where x_(b,j) ^(T)(k)=[T_(ia,b,j)(k), T_(m,b,j)(k),d_(i)(k)],u_(b,j) ^(T)(k)=[{dot over (Q)}_(clg,b,j)(k),{dot over (Q)}_(htg,b,j)(k)],y_(b,j)=T_(ia,b,j)(k) and d_(b,j) ^(T)(k)=[T_(oa)(k), {dot over (Q)}_(other,b,j)(k)], according to some embodiments. Soft box constraints are included on the aggregate zone group collection indoor air temperature (i.e., the output) to ensure that it is maintained within the acceptable comfort range, according to some embodiments.

An equipment model relates the fuel consumption with the HVAC load and potentially other factors (e.g., outdoor conditions), according to some embodiments. Since the zone group collection (e.g., a collection of zone groups 3304) may define zone groups 3304 served by different pieces of equipment, the equipment model describes the aggregate behavior between of all equipment similar to a subplant, according to some embodiments. In particular, the equipment models may be nonlinear static functions, which are approximated in the optimization problem as piecewise linear functions. For electric consumption, the equipment model is written as:

P _(elec,clg,b,total) =f _(elec,clg,b)({dot over (Q)} _(clg,b,1) , . . . ,{dot over (Q)} _(clg,b,m) ,T _(oa), . . . )

which may, for example, account for fan electrical consumption of airside equipment and similarly, for the heating equipment and other utility/fuel consumption, according to some embodiments. The dependence on outdoor air conditions (e.g., outdoor dry or wet bulb temperature) can also be modeled. For one simple example, a constant efficiency model would take the form of: P_(elec,b,total)=Σ_(j)K_(clg,eff,j){dot over (Q)}_(clg,b,j), according to some embodiments.

For illustrative purposes, an example optimization problem of the asset allocator which may account for price-based demand response and building mass thermal energy storage is presented below. Nevertheless, all the features currently implemented in the EOS asset allocator 402 may include battery storage, thermal energy tank storage, central plant equipment (subplants), and incentive-based demand response programs. An example optimization problem of asset allocator 402 accounting for building mass storage is:

${\min\limits_{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,i},{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,i},{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{peak}}{\sum\limits_{k = 0}^{N - 1}{{r_{elec}(k)}{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{purchased}(k)}\Delta}}} + {{r_{ng}(k)}{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{ng},b,{total}}(k)}\Delta} + {r_{d\; c}{w_{d\; c}(k)}{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{peak}}$ ${s.t.\mspace{14mu} \begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{b,i}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{m,b,i}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{d}}_{b,i}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \end{bmatrix}} = {{A_{b,i}\begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{b,i}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{m,b,i}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{d}}_{b,i}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} + {B_{b,i}\begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,i}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,i}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} + {B_{d,b,i}\begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{oa}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{other},b,i}(k)} \end{bmatrix}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {0 \leq {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,i}(k)} \leq {{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{clg},{m\; {ax}}}(k)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {0 \leq {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,i}(k)} \leq {{\overset{\cdot}{Q}}_{{htg},{m\; {ax}}}(k)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{T_{b,{m\; i\; n},i}(k)} \leq {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{b,i}(k)} \leq {T_{b,{m\; {ax}},i}(k)}}$      T_(b, i)(0) = T̂_(b, i), T_(m, i)(o) = T̂_(m, i)      ∀i ∈ {1, …  , m} ${{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{elec},{clg},b,{total}}(k)} = {f_{{elec},{clg},b}\left( {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,m}(k)},{{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{oa}(k)},\ldots}\mspace{14mu} \right)}$ ${{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{elec},{htg},b,{total}}(k)} = {f_{{elec},{htg},b}\left( {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,m}(k)},{{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{oa}(k)},\ldots}\mspace{14mu} \right)}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{ng},b,{total}}(k)} = {f_{{ng},b}\left( {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,m}(k)},\ldots}\mspace{14mu} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{purchased}(k)} = {{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{elec},{clg},b,{total}}(k)} + {{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{elec},{htg},b,{total}}(k)} + {{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{unc},{elec}}(k)}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{purhchased}(k)} \leq {\overset{\sim}{P}}_{peak}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{peak} \geq P_{{peak},{previous}}}$      ∀k ∈ {0, …  , N − 1}

where the optimization problem is solved to determine the optimal zone group collection cooling and heating load profiles, according to some embodiments.

The optimization problem includes a cost function that accounts for the cost of the predicted electric and natural gas along with the predicted electric demand charge, according to some embodiments. The symbols r_(elec)(k) and r_(ng)(k) denote the electric and natural gas rate at time step k, r_(dc) denotes the demand charge, w_(dc)(k) is the demand charge weight at time step k used to account for the fact that the period over which the demand charge is applied may be large than the period covered by the prediction horizon, and Δ>0 is the sample period, according to some embodiments. Additionally, the optimization problem includes a first constraint, according to some embodiments. The first constraint is the dynamic model of the jth zone group collection used to predict the temperatures over the prediction horizon, according to some embodiments. The forecasted/predicted outdoor air temperature and disturbance load trajectories over the horizon are provided via weather service and predictor, respectively, according to some embodiments.

Additionally, the optimization problem shown above includes a second and third constraint, according to some embodiments. The second and third constraints restrict the minimum and maximum cooling and heating loads, according to some embodiments. Additionally, the optimization problem shown above includes a fourth constraint that restricts the predicted aggregate temperature be contained within the comfort range, according to some embodiments. Additionally, the optimization problem includes a fifth constraint that is used to provide initial conditions to recursively solve the dynamic model, according to some embodiments. The initial conditions are computed from the state estimates of the zone group temperatures, according to some embodiments. Additionally, the optimization problem includes another four constraints (e.g., sixth, seventh, eighth, and ninth constraints) that are used to impose the relationship between HVAC load and fuel consumption, according to some embodiments. Piecewise linear approximations are used to model nonlinearities in these static relationships using the same concepts as that used for subplants, according to some embodiments. It should be noted that {tilde over (P)}_(unc,elec)(k) denotes the uncontrollable electric load (campus demand and/or electric consumption not due to HVAC equipment), according to some embodiments. Additionally, the last two constraints handle the predicted electric peak over the horizon and including any realized peak up until the current time, according to some embodiments.

Rate-of-change penalties on variables and soft constraints may readily be included given that there is a standard interface and constraint class implemented in the EOS asset allocator 402 code base, according to some embodiments.

Referring still to FIGS. 33 and 34, the purpose of the mid-level building mass MPCs (e.g., MPCs 3302) is to compute a temperature setpoint for each zone group 3304 such that the total sensible HVAC load allocated by asset allocator 402 is met by the zone group collection (e.g., collections of zone groups 3304), according to some embodiments. The ith MPC (e.g., one of MPCs 3302) formulated for the ith zone group collection is given by:

${\min\limits_{T_{{sp},i,j}}{q_{i,j}\Delta {{{\sum\limits_{j}{C_{{ia},i,j}T_{{ia},i,j}}} - {C_{b,i}T_{b,i}}}}}} + {\sum\limits_{k = 0}^{N - 1}{{r_{elec}(k)}{P_{{elec},i,{total}}(k)}\Delta}} + {{r_{ng}(k)}{{\overset{\sim}{P}}_{{ng},b,{total}}(k)}\Delta}$ ${s.t.\mspace{20mu} \begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{{ia},i,j}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{m,i,j}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{clg},i,j}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{htg},i,j}\left( {k + 1} \right)} \end{bmatrix}} = {{A_{{\sigma_{i,j}{(k)}},i,j}\begin{bmatrix} {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{{ia},i,j}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{m,i,j}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{clg},i,j}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{htg},i,j}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} + {B_{{\sigma_{i,j}{(k)}},i,j}\begin{bmatrix} {T_{{sp},i,j}(k)} \\ {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{oa}(k)} \end{bmatrix}} + {B_{d,{\sigma_{j}{(k)}},i,j}{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{other},i,j}(k)}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i,j}(k)} = {f_{{clg},{\sigma_{j}{(k)}},i,j}\left( {{T_{{ia},i,j}(k)},{T_{{sp},i,j}(k)},{I_{{clg},i,j}(k)}} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i,j}(k)} = {f_{{htg},{\sigma_{j}{(k)}},i,j}\left( {{T_{{ia},i,j}(k)},{T_{{sp},i,j}(k)},{I_{{htg},i,j}(k)}} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{T_{{m\; i\; n},i,j}(k)} \leq {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{{ia},i,j}(k)} \leq {T_{{m\; {ax}},i,j}(k)}}$      T_(sp, m i n, i, j  )(k) ≤ T_(sp, i, j)(k) ≤ T_(sp, m ax, i, j)(k) $\mspace{79mu} \begin{matrix} {{{{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{{ia},i,j}(0)} = {\hat{T}}_{{ia},i,j}},{{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{m,i,j}(0)}} \\ {{= {\hat{T}}_{m,i,j}},{{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{clg},i,j}(0)}} \\ {{= {\hat{I}}_{{clg},i,j}},{{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{htg},i,j}(0)}} \\ {= {\hat{I}}_{{htg},i,j}} \end{matrix}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{\forall{j \in \left\{ {1,\ldots \mspace{14mu},n_{i}} \right\}}},{{P_{{elec},i,{total}}(k)} = {f_{{elec},i,{total}}\left( {{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i,n_{i}}(k)},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i,n_{i}}(k)},{T_{oa}(k)},\ldots}\mspace{14mu} \right)}}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{P_{{ng},i,{total}}(k)} = {f_{{ng},i,{total}}\left( {{{\overset{\cdot}{\overset{\sim}{Q}}}_{{htg},i,1}(k)},\ldots \mspace{14mu},{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i,n_{i}}(k)},\ldots}\mspace{14mu} \right)}}$ $\mspace{79mu} {{{\sum\limits_{j}{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i,j}(k)}} \leq {{\overset{\sim}{Q}}_{{clg},b,i}^{*}(k)}},{{\sum\limits_{j}{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i,j}(k)}} \leq {{\overset{\sim}{Q}}_{{htg},b,i}^{*}(k)}},\mspace{79mu} {\forall{k \in \left\{ {0,\ldots \mspace{14mu},{N - 1}} \right\}}}}$

where the optimization problem is solved for all the optimal zone group temperature setpoint trajectories, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the cost function (the

$\min\limits_{T_{{sp},i,j}}$

equation) accounts for the all the cost of the electric and natural gas fuel consumption.

In some embodiments, the first constraint (the first s.t. “subject to” equation) is the dynamic model of the ith zone group 3304 used to predict the temperatures over the prediction horizon. The forecasted/predicted outdoor air temperature and disturbance load trajectories over the horizon are provided via weather service and predictor, respectively, according to some embodiments.

In some embodiments, the second and third constraints are the model of the HVAC cooling and heating load with the temperature setpoint, according to some embodiments. Recall, a proportional-integral controller is used for this prediction, according to some embodiments. As an example, for the cooling load the function is:

${{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i,j}(k)}\left\{ \begin{matrix} {\begin{matrix} {{K_{p,{clg},i,j}\left( {{T_{{sp},i,j}(k)} - {{\overset{\sim}{T}}_{{ia},i,j}(k)}} \right)} +} \\ {\frac{K_{p,{clg},i,j}}{\tau_{I,{clg},i,j}}{{\overset{\sim}{I}}_{{clg},i,j}(k)}} \end{matrix},} & {{if}\mspace{14mu} {in}\mspace{14mu} {cooling}\mspace{14mu} {mode}} \\ {0,} & {otherwise} \end{matrix} \right.$

according to some embodiments.

In some embodiments, the fourth constraint restricts the predicted zone group temperature to be contained within the comfort range, according to some embodiments. This constraint is imposed as soft constraints, according to some embodiments.

In some embodiments, the fifth constraint restricts the temperature setpoint to be contained within an acceptable range. In some embodiments, the sixth constraint is the initialization of the dynamic model provided by a state estimator (e.g., a state estimator of asset allocator 402). In some embodiments, the seventh and eighth constraints are models of the fuel consumption with the HVAC load and the other parameters (e.g., outdoor air conditions). In some embodiments, the last constraint (i.e., the ninth constraint) ensures that the sum of HVAC loads of all zone groups 3304 be equal to that requested by the high level asset allocator (e.g., asset allocator 402, or more particularly, top level allocator 402 a). This constraint must be imposed as a soft constraint to ensure feasibility.

Several alternative formulations exist for the lower layer MPCs (e.g., MPCs 3302), according to some embodiments. Let {tilde over ({dot over (Q)})}_(clg,i)(k)=Σ_(j){tilde over ({dot over (Q)})}_(clg,i,j)(k) and {tilde over ({dot over (Q)})}_(htg,i)(k)=Σ_(j){tilde over ({dot over (Q)})}_(htg,i,j)(k). One such formulation replaces the linear cost function with a quadratic stage cost function of the form:

${\sum\limits_{j}{{{T_{b,i}(k)} - {T_{{ia},i,j}(k)}}}_{Q}^{2}} + {{{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},i}(k)} - {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{clg},b,i}(k)}}}_{R_{clg}}^{2} + {{{{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},i}(k)} - {{\overset{\overset{\cdot}{\sim}}{Q}}_{{htg},b,i}^{*}(k)}}}_{R_{htg}}^{2}$

where Q, R_(clg), and R_(htg) are weighting matrices, according to some embodiments. The cost function is formulated to keep the temperatures of all zone groups close to the aggregate zone group collection temperature and the total HVAC load over all zone groups close to that computed in the upper layer asset allocator, according to some embodiments. The motivation behind this cost function is the aggregate models have been constructed under the assumption that the temperatures are approximately equal, according to some embodiments.

Any of these techniques, models, derivations, methods, processes, approaches, methodologies, etc., can be used in hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 (described in greater detail below) to achieve an MPC design that leverages the building mass as energy storage. To deal with the potentially large number of subsystems involved in buildings, aggregate models are derived for each layer of the model predictive control (e.g., the various more or less granular optimization problems), according to some embodiments. Asset allocator 402 is used to allocate building loads, according to some embodiments. The loads are sent down to the lower layer asset allocator (e.g., bottom level allocator 402 b), according to some embodiments.

The methods, techniques, functionality, etc., described herein with reference to FIGS. 30-34 demonstrate a design of a model predictive control (MPC) framework used to optimize the zone temperature setpoint with an Enterprise Optimization Solution (EOS), according to some embodiments. In particular, the MPC framework is a hierarchical control architecture designed to optimize the total operating cost associated with the fuel consumption of the HVAC equipment needed to heat and cool the building(s) zones, according to some embodiments. The MPC framework leverages the building mass as thermal energy storage to respond to time-varying electric rates/tariffs, electric demand charges, and other demand response programs that advantage from energy storage capability, according to some embodiments.

In some embodiments, any of the models or any of the model generation techniques described herein with FIGS. 30-34 can be used by general asset model generator 2812 and/or general asset generator 2814 to define general assets, and develop/generate models for the defined general assets. In some embodiments, any of the optimization problem frameworks, constraints, etc., or any of the techniques, functionality, methods, processes, etc., for defining optimization problems and optimization problem constraints can be performed by asset allocator 402.

In some embodiments, general asset model generator 2812 is configured to use a similar process, method, techniques, model generation techniques, etc., described herein with reference to FIGS. 30-34 to generate models for any of the general assets (e.g., general asset 2504, general asset 2506, general assets 2600, etc.). If a general asset includes both one or more subplants and one or more storage assets (e.g., zone storage, zone group storage, zone group collection storage, etc.) as general assets 2600 do, general asset model generator 2812 can use similar techniques to those described herein, but may generate both a static model, and a dynamic model. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 can receive both the static model and the dynamic model from general asset model generator 2812, construct an optimization problem that uses both the static and the dynamic model of the general asset, generate constraints, and solve (e.g., minimize a cost function of the optimization problem) subject to any generated constraints.

Hierarchical Asset Allocator Controller

Referring now to FIG. 28, a block diagram of a hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 in which asset allocator 402 can be implemented is shown, according to an exemplary embodiment. Hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 may be configured to use asset allocator 402 to simulate the operation of a central plant over a predetermined time period (e.g., a day, a month, a week, a year, etc.) for planning, budgeting, and/or design considerations. When implemented in hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800, asset allocator 402 may operate similarly to demand response optimizer 630 and/or asset allocator 402 as described with reference to FIG. 6. For example, asset allocator 402 may use building loads and utility rates to determine an optimal resource allocation to minimize cost over a simulation period. In some embodiments, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 is responsible for real-time control of a building management system or central plant. In some embodiments, any of the functionality of hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 is incorporated in any of AHU controller 330, BMS controller 366, central plant controller 600, and planning tool 700. Likewise, any of the functionality of AHU controller 330, BMS controller 366, central plant controller 600, and planning tool 700 may be incorporated in hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800.

In hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800, asset allocator 402 may receive planned loads and utility rates for the entire simulation period. The planned loads and utility rates may be defined by input received from a user via a client device 722 (e.g., user-defined, user selected, etc.) and/or retrieved from a plan information database 726. Asset allocator 402 uses the planned loads and utility rates in conjunction with subplant curves to determine an optimal resource allocation (i.e., an optimal dispatch schedule) for a portion of the simulation period.

The portion of the simulation period over which asset allocator 402 optimizes the resource allocation may be defined by a prediction window ending at a time horizon. With each iteration of the optimization, the prediction window is shifted forward and the portion of the dispatch schedule no longer in the prediction window is accepted (e.g., stored or output as results of the simulation). Load and rate predictions may be predefined for the entire simulation and may not be subject to adjustments in each iteration. However, shifting the prediction window forward in time may introduce additional plan information (e.g., planned loads and/or utility rates) for the newly-added time slice at the end of the prediction window. The new plan information may not have a significant effect on the optimal dispatch schedule since only a small portion of the prediction window changes with each iteration.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 requests all of the subplant curves used in the simulation and/or the general resource diagram at the beginning of the simulation. Since the planned loads and environmental conditions are known for the entire simulation period, asset allocator 402 may retrieve all of the relevant subplant curves at the beginning of the simulation.

Still referring to FIG. 28, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 is shown to include a communications interface 2618 and a processing circuit 2802. Communications interface 2618 may include wired or wireless interfaces (e.g., jacks, antennas, transmitters, receivers, transceivers, wire terminals, etc.) for conducting data communications with various systems, devices, or networks. For example, communications interface 2618 may include an Ethernet card and port for sending and receiving data via an Ethernet-based communications network and/or a Wi-Fi transceiver for communicating via a wireless communications network. Communications interface 2618 may be configured to communicate via local area networks or wide area networks (e.g., the Internet, a building WAN, etc.) and may use a variety of communications protocols (e.g., BACnet, IP, LON, etc.).

Communications interface 2618 may be a network interface configured to facilitate electronic data communications between hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 and various external systems or devices (e.g., client device 722, results database 728, plan information database 726, etc.). For example, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 may receive planned loads and utility rates from client device 722 and/or plan information database 726 via communications interface 2818. Hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 may use communications interface 2818 to output results of the simulation to client device 722 and/or to store the results in results database 728.

Still referring to FIG. 28, processing circuit 2802 is shown to include a processor 2806 and memory 2804. Processor 2806 may be a general purpose or specific purpose processor, an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), one or more field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs), a group of processing components, or other suitable processing components. Processor 2806 may be configured to execute computer code or instructions stored in memory 712 or received from other computer readable media (e.g., CDROM, network storage, a remote server, etc.).

Memory 2804 may include one or more devices (e.g., memory units, memory devices, storage devices, etc.) for storing data and/or computer code for completing and/or facilitating the various processes described in the present disclosure. Memory 2804 may include random access memory (RAM), read-only memory (ROM), hard drive storage, temporary storage, non-volatile memory, flash memory, optical memory, or any other suitable memory for storing software objects and/or computer instructions. Memory 2804 may include database components, object code components, script components, or any other type of information structure for supporting the various activities and information structures described in the present disclosure. Memory 2804 may be communicably connected to processor 2806 via processing circuit 2802 and may include computer code for executing (e.g., by processor 710) one or more processes described herein.

Referring still to FIG. 28, asset allocator 402 is shown to include top level allocator 402 a and bottom level allocator 402 b, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, top level allocator 402 a is configured to perform asset allocation for a high-level view of a system. For example, top level allocator 402 a may be configured to perform asset allocation for non-granular resource diagram 2201 as shown in FIG. 22B, to determine resource production, consumption, and model inputs for each of general asset 2204 and general asset 2206. In some embodiments, bottom level allocator 402 b is configured to perform asset allocation to determine operations of subplants which define general assets. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 uses an optimization framework manager. The optimization framework manager can be configured to define an optimization framework for the optimization problem solved by asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, optimization framework manager defines the optimization problem as a mixed integer linear program (MILP). The MILP framework provides several advantages over the linear programming framework used in previous systems. For example, the MILP framework can account for minimum turndowns on equipment, can ensure that the non-granular optimization problem computes a point on the subplant curve for heat recovery chillers, and can impose logical constraints on the optimization problem to compensate for poor mechanical design and/or design inefficiencies. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 uses the MILP framework to solve the optimization problem as described above in greater detail with reference to FIG. 9. In some embodiments, bottom level allocator 402 b uses the MILP framework.

In some embodiments, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 receives a resource diagram from a user interface. In some embodiments, the general resource diagram is defined by and received from a GUI as described above in greater detail with reference to FIG. 7. The resource diagram may include various assets such as subplants, storages, sources, sinks, load requirements, etc., of a system to be optimized. In some embodiments, the resource diagram includes information regarding connections and relationships between various assets (e.g., subplant W receives X and Y resources and produces resource B, providing resource B to supplant Z). In some embodiments, the resource diagram is directly provided to asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, general asset generator 2814 receives the resource diagram and defines general assets. For example, general asset generator 2814 may group various assets into any number of general assets arbitrarily. In some embodiments, general asset generator 2814 defines various sub-general assets. In some embodiments, general asset generator 2814 provides the general assets and/or the sub-general assets to asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 uses the defined general assets and/or the sub-general assets to perform asset allocation.

General asset generator 2814 provides the defined general assets and/or the sub-general assets to general asset model generator 2812, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, general asset model generator 2812 is configured to determine a model for each of the general assets and/or the sub-general assets. For example, general asset model generator 2812 may determine a model of the general assets based on models of the subplants which make up the general asset. In some embodiments, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 varies one or more parameters of the system (e.g., a required building load) and receives information from each of the assets (e.g., subplants, general assets, etc.). General asset model generator 2812 may receive the information from each of the assets and perform a regression to determine a model for each of the general assets. For example, if a general asset receives resource A and B, and produces resource C, general asset model generator 2812 may determine a relationship between resource C and resources A and B by performing the regression to resources A, B, and C. In some embodiments, general asset model generator 2812 determines a model of each general asset using any of the methods described in greater detail above with reference to FIG. 22B. In some embodiments, general asset model generator 2812 receives subplant models from subplant model database 2808 and uses the subplant models to determine a model for each of the general assets. For example, if general asset generator 2814 defines a general asset including subplant X, subplant Y, and subplant Z, general asset model generator 2812 may retrieve the subplant models for each of subplant X, Y, and Z from subplant model database 2808 and combine the subplant models to determine a model for the general asset. In some embodiments, general asset model generator 2812 provides the determined general asset models to asset allocator 402 for use in the optimization.

General asset model generator 2812 can generate a dynamic model and/or a static model for the various general assets defined by general asset generator 2814, according to some embodiments. For example, if a general asset defined by general asset generator 2814 includes both subplants and storage, general asset model generator 2812 can generate a static model (e.g., a static model that describes/represents the inputs and outputs of the general asset for the subplants) and a dynamic model (e.g., a dynamic model that describes/represents the inputs and outputs of the general asset for the storage).

Referring still to FIG. 28, asset allocator 402 is shown receiving the resource diagram, general asset definitions from general asset generator 2814, general asset models from general asset model generator 2812, and subplant models from subplant model database 2808, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 uses any of the resource diagram, general asset definitions, general asset models, and subplant models to determine asset allocation for the system.

In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 stores the asset allocation results to results database 2810. In some embodiments, asset allocator 402 may retrieve past asset allocation results from results database 2810 as a starting point for asset allocation or to compare newly determined asset allocation to previously determined asset allocation. For example, if the system is modified or if an environmental (e.g., outdoor air temperature) changes which affects the system, asset allocator 402 may compare the newly determined asset allocation results to previously determined asset allocation results from before the modification of the system or the environmental change.

Referring still to FIG. 28, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 is shown to include control signal generator 2816, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, control signal generator 2816 receives the asset allocation results and generates control signals for each of the subplants of the system to achieve the determined asset allocation. In some embodiments, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 outputs the generated control signals to the subplants (e.g., building equipment 2820) through communications interface 2818. In some embodiments, hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800 controls an operation of the subplants (e.g., building equipment 2820) to affect an operation of the building equipment and/or an environmental condition of a building.

Hierarchical Asset Allocation Method

Referring now to FIG. 29, a method 2900 illustrating a hierarchical asset allocation approach is shown, according to some embodiments. Method 2900 includes determining a resource diagram model (step 2902), according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the resource diagram is determined based on the number and type of assets (e.g., subplants, sources, sinks, storage, etc.) and the relationships between each of the assets. In some embodiments, the resource diagram is provided to hierarchical asset allocation controller 2800. In some embodiments, memory 2804 includes a resource diagram generator configured to generate a resource diagram based on the assets and the relationships between the assets.

Referring still to FIG. 29, method 2900 includes grouping one or more assets into one or more general assets (step 2904), according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, grouping one or more assets into one or more general assets is performed by general asset generator 2814. In some embodiments, the one or more assets are grouped into one or more general assets arbitrarily. In some embodiments, the one or more assets are grouped into the one or more general assets based on a relationship between the assets. For example, if subplant A produces resource X and provides resource X to subplant B, subplant A and subplant B may be grouped into a general resource.

Referring still to FIG. 29, method 2900 optionally includes grouping assets of each general asset into sub-general assets (step 2906), according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, for higher-complexity systems it is intractable to perform asset allocation on the bare assets. For higher-complexity systems, it is advantageous to define general assets and/or sub-general assets, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the sub-general assets are defined similarly to the general assets. In some embodiments, the sub-general assets are defined by general asset generator 2814.

Referring still to FIG. 29, method 2900 includes performing asset allocation on the resource diagram to determine optimal asset allocation to meet system requirements (step 2908), according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the asset allocation is performed by asset allocator 402 and/or top level allocator 402 a. In some embodiments, the determined asset allocation for the resource diagram includes determining asset allocation for the general assets (e.g., resource input, resource output, etc.) to meet the system requirements (e.g., a required resource production). In some embodiments, the asset allocation for the general assets are used as constraints to determine asset allocation for the assets (e.g., subplants) which define the general assets.

Referring still to FIG. 29, method 2900 includes performing asset allocation on general assets to determine optimal asset allocation for assets which define the general assets (step 2910), according to some embodiments. Performing asset allocation on the general assets determines resource consumption, production and model inputs for the various subplants or other assets which define the general assets, according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, if the general assets include sub-general assets, the determined asset allocations are used as constraints for the sub-general assets. In some embodiments, the asset allocation of general assets is performed by asset allocator 402 and/or bottom level allocator 402 b.

Referring still to FIG. 29, method 2900 includes performing asset allocation on sub-general assets (optional step 2912), according to some embodiments. In some embodiments, the asset allocation is performed by bottom level allocator 402 b and/or asset allocator 402. In some embodiments, the asset allocation of sub-general assets is performed subject to the constraints determined by performing asset allocation on the general assets. In some embodiments, performing asset allocation of sub-general assets determines resource consumption, production, and model inputs of one or more individual subplants which define the sub-general assets.

Configuration of Exemplary Embodiments

The construction and arrangement of the systems and methods as shown in the various exemplary embodiments are illustrative only. Although only a few embodiments have been described in detail in this disclosure, many modifications are possible (e.g., variations in sizes, dimensions, structures, shapes and proportions of the various elements, values of parameters, mounting arrangements, use of materials, colors, orientations, etc.). For example, the position of elements can be reversed or otherwise varied and the nature or number of discrete elements or positions can be altered or varied. Accordingly, all such modifications are intended to be included within the scope of the present disclosure. The order or sequence of any process or method steps can be varied or re-sequenced according to alternative embodiments. Other substitutions, modifications, changes, and omissions can be made in the design, operating conditions and arrangement of the exemplary embodiments without departing from the scope of the present disclosure.

The present disclosure contemplates methods, systems and program products on any machine-readable media for accomplishing various operations. The embodiments of the present disclosure can be implemented using existing computer processors, or by a special purpose computer processor for an appropriate system, incorporated for this or another purpose, or by a hardwired system. Embodiments within the scope of the present disclosure include program products comprising machine-readable media for carrying or having machine-executable instructions or data structures stored thereon. Such machine-readable media can be any available media that can be accessed by a general purpose or special purpose computer or other machine with a processor. By way of example, such machine-readable media can comprise RAM, ROM, EPROM, EEPROM, CD-ROM or other optical disk storage, magnetic disk storage or other magnetic storage devices, or any other medium which can be used to carry or store desired program code in the form of machine-executable instructions or data structures and which can be accessed by a general purpose or special purpose computer or other machine with a processor. Combinations of the above are also included within the scope of machine-readable media. Machine-executable instructions include, for example, instructions and data which cause a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, or special purpose processing machines to perform a certain function or group of functions.

Although the figures show a specific order of method steps, the order of the steps may differ from what is depicted. Also two or more steps can be performed concurrently or with partial concurrence. Such variation will depend on the software and hardware systems chosen and on designer choice. All such variations are within the scope of the disclosure. Likewise, software implementations could be accomplished with standard programming techniques with rule based logic and other logic to accomplish the various connection steps, processing steps, comparison steps and decision steps. 

What is claimed is:
 1. A method for controlling equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources, the method comprising: grouping a plurality of granular assets to form one or more general assets, each of the granular assets representing one or more devices of the equipment, and each of the general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; generating models of the general assets based on the granular assets that form the general assets, each model corresponding to a general asset and defining a relationship between one or more of the resources produced by the general asset and one or more of the resources consumed by the general asset; performing a first control process using the models of the general assets to determine a first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets, the first allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; and operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the one or more resources in accordance with the first allocation.
 2. The method of claim 1, wherein generating the models of the general assets comprises, for each general asset, combining a plurality of granular models of the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset to create a combined model for the general asset.
 3. The method of claim 1, wherein generating the models of the general assets comprises, for each general asset: obtaining resource production and consumption data for the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset; and performing a regression process using the resource production and consumption data to determine a relationship between amounts of the one or more resources produced by the general asset and amounts of the one or more resources consumed by the general asset.
 4. The method of claim 1, further comprising: obtaining a resource diagram defining a number and type of the plurality of granular assets and interconnections between the plurality of granular assets; and using the resource diagram to perform at least one of grouping the plurality of granular assets to form the one or more general assets or generating the models of the general assets.
 5. The method of claim 1, wherein operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the one or more resources in accordance with the first allocation comprises: using the first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets to formulate a second control process for each general asset; performing the second control process for each general asset to determine a second allocation of the one or more resources among the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset, the second allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset; and operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the amounts of the one or more resources defined by the second allocation.
 6. The method of claim 1, wherein one or more of the general assets comprise multiple sub-general assets, each of the sub-general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; and the method further comprises performing an intermediate control process for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resources among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.
 7. The method of claim 1, further comprising: generating constraints based on the first allocation defining the amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; and using one or more of the constraints that apply to a general asset to constrain a second control process for the general asset.
 8. A controller for equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources, the controller comprising one or more processing circuits configured to: group a plurality of granular assets to form one or more general assets, each of the granular assets representing one or more devices of the equipment, and each of the general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; generate models of the general assets based on the granular assets that form the general assets, each model corresponding to a general asset and defining a relationship between one or more of the resources produced by the general asset and one or more of the resources consumed by the general asset; perform a first control process using the models of the general assets to determine a first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets, the first allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; and operate the equipment to consume, produce, or store the one or more resources in accordance with the first allocation.
 9. The controller of claim 8, wherein generating the models of the general assets comprises, for each general asset, combining a plurality of granular models of the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset to create a combined model for the general asset.
 10. The controller of claim 8, wherein generating the models of the general assets comprises, for each general asset: obtaining resource production and consumption data for the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset; and performing a regression process using the resource production and consumption data to determine a relationship between amounts of the one or more resources produced by the general asset and amounts of the one or more resources consumed by the general asset.
 11. The controller of claim 8, wherein the one or more processing circuits are further configured to: obtain a resource diagram defining a number and type of the plurality of granular assets and interconnections between the plurality of granular assets; and use the resource diagram to perform at least one of grouping the plurality of granular assets to form the one or more general assets or generating the models of the general assets.
 12. The controller of claim 8, wherein operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the one or more resources in accordance with the first allocation comprises: using the first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets to formulate a second control process for each general asset; performing the second control process for each general asset to determine a second allocation of the one or more resources among the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset, the second allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset; and operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the amounts of the one or more resources defined by the second allocation.
 13. The controller of claim 8, wherein one or more of the general assets comprise multiple sub-general assets, each of the sub-general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; and the method further comprises performing an intermediate control process for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resources among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.
 14. The controller of claim 8, wherein the one or more processing circuits are further configured to: generate constraints based on the first allocation defining the amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; and use one or more of the constraints that apply to a general asset to constrain a second control process for the general asset.
 15. A method for controlling equipment that operate to produce, consume, or store one or more resources, the method comprising: grouping a plurality of granular assets to form one or more general assets, each of the granular assets representing one or more devices of the equipment, and each of the general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; performing a first control process to determine a first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets, the first allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; using the first allocation of the one or more resources among the general assets to formulate a second control process for each general asset; performing the second control process for each general asset to determine a second allocation of the one or more resources among the plurality of granular assets that form the general asset, the second allocation defining amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the granular assets that form the general asset; and operating the equipment to consume, produce, or store the amounts of the one or more resources defined by the second allocation.
 16. The method of claim 15, wherein: the plurality of granular assets comprise one or more subplants configured to convert one or more input resources into one or more output resources, one or more storage devices configured to store one or more of the resources, and one or more sinks configured to consume one or more of the resources; and at least one of the general assets comprises a plurality of the one or more subplants, the one or more storage devices, and the one or more sinks.
 17. The method of claim 15, wherein one or more of the general assets comprise multiple sub-general assets, each of the sub-general assets comprising a plurality of the granular assets; and the method further comprises performing an intermediate control process for each general asset to determine an intermediate allocation of the one or more resources among the multiple sub-general assets within the general asset.
 18. The method of claim 15, further comprising: generating constraints based on the first allocation defining the amounts of the one or more resources to be consumed, produced, or stored by each of the general assets; and using one or more of the constraints that apply to a general asset to constrain the second control process performed for the general asset.
 19. The method of claim 15, further comprising: obtaining a resource diagram defining a number and type of the plurality of granular assets and defining interconnections between the plurality of granular assets; and using the resource diagram to group the plurality of granular assets to form the one or more general assets
 20. The method of claim 15, further comprising: generating a model of each general asset, the model defining a relationship between one or more of the resources produced by the general asset and one or more resources consumed by the general asset; and using the model to perform the first control process. 